Minimal residual disease (MRD) is associated with adverse outcome in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) after myeloablative (MA) hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). We compared this association with ...that seen after nonmyeloablative (NMA) conditioning in 241 adults receiving NMA (n=86) or MA (n=155) HCT for AML in first remission with pre-HCT bone marrow aspirates assessed by flow cytometry. NMA patients were older and had more comorbidities and secondary leukemias. Three-year relapse estimates were 28% and 57% for MRD(neg) and MRD(pos) NMA patients, and 22% and 63% for MA patients. Three-year overall survival (OS) estimates were 48% and 41% for MRD(neg) and MRD(pos) NMA patients and 76% and 25% for MA patients. This similar OS after NMA conditioning was largely accounted for by higher non-relapse mortality (NRM) in MRD(neg) (30%) compared with MRD(pos) (10%) patients, whereas the reverse was found for MRD(neg) (7%) and MRD(pos) (23%) MA patients. A statistically significant difference between MA and NMA patients in the association of MRD with OS (P<0.001) and NRM (P=0.002) but not relapse (P=0.17) was confirmed. After adjustment, the risk of relapse was 4.51 times (P<0.001) higher for MRD(pos) patients. These data indicate that the negative impact of MRD on relapse risk is similar after NMA and MA conditioning.
We conducted a phase III study to test the hypothesis that initial therapy with "lower dose" prednisone is effective and safe for patients with newly diagnosed acute graft-versus-host disease. We ...hypothesized that a 50% decrease in the initial dose of prednisone for treatment of acute graft-versus-host disease would suffice to control graft-versus-host disease without increasing the incidence of secondary treatment. Patients with grade IIa manifestations (upper gastrointestinal symptoms, stool volumes <1.0 L/day, rash involving <50% of the body surface, no hepatic dysfunction; n=102) were randomized to start treatment with prednisone at 1 mg/kg/day or 0.5 mg/kg/day. Those with grade IIb or higher manifestations (rash involving ≥50% of the body surface, stool volumes ≥1.0 L/day or hepatic involvement; n=62) were randomized to start treatment with prednisone at 2 mg/kg/day or 1 mg/kg/day. The primary study end point (a ≥33% relative reduction of the mean cumulative prednisone dose by day 42 after initial treatment with lower dose prednisone) was not reached. With a median follow up of 36 months (range 7-53), initial treatment with lower dose prednisone appeared to be effective for patients presenting with grade IIa manifestations since it did not increase the likelihood of requiring secondary immunosuppressive therapy. Further exploratory analyses suggested that for patients presenting with skin-predominant grade IIb or higher manifestations, initial treatment with lower dose prednisone was associated with an increased risk of requiring secondary immunosuppressive therapy (41% vs. 7%; P=0.001). In summary, initial treatment of newly diagnosed acute graft-versus-host disease with lower dose prednisone is effective. Within the statistical limitations of the study, results showed no suggestion that initial use of lower dose prednisone adversely affected survival.
The cumulative incidence of National Institutes of Health (NIH)-defined chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) requiring systemic treatment is ∼35% at 1 year after transplantation of granulocyte ...colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF)–mobilized blood cells from HLA-matched related or unrelated donors. We hypothesized that high-dose cyclophosphamide given after G-CSF–mobilized blood cell transplantation would reduce the cumulative 1-year incidence of chronic GVHD to 15% or less. Forty-three patients with high-risk hematologic malignancies (median age, 43 years) were enrolled between December 2011 and September 2013. Twelve (28%) received grafts from related donors, and 31 (72%) received grafts from unrelated donors. Pretransplant conditioning consisted of fludarabine and targeted busulfan (n = 25) or total body irradiation (≥12 Gy; n = 18). Cyclophosphamide was given at 50 mg/kg per day on days 3 and 4 after transplantation, followed by cyclosporine starting on day 5. The cumulative 1-year incidence of NIH-defined chronic GVHD was 16% (95% confidence interval, 5-28%). The cumulative incidence estimates of grades 2-4 and 3-4 acute GVHD were 77% and 0%, respectively. At 2 years, the cumulative incidence estimates of nonrelapse mortality and recurrent malignancy were 14% and 17%, respectively, and overall survival was projected at 70%. Of the 42 patients followed for ≥1 year, 21 (50%) were relapse-free and alive without systemic immunosuppression at 1 year after transplantation. Thus, myeloablative pretransplant conditioning can be safely combined with high-dose cyclophosphamide after transplantation, and the risk of chronic GVHD associated with HLA-matched mobilized blood cell grafts can be substantially reduced. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01427881.
•With conventional immunosuppression, the incidence of chronic GVHD is higher after transplantation of mobilized blood compared with marrow.•Administration of cyclophosphamide after mobilized blood cell transplantation is associated with a low incidence of chronic GVHD.
We hypothesized that clinical risk factors could be identified within 2 weeks of onset of severe (stage 3 or 4) acute gut GVHD for identifying a patient population with a very poor outcome. Among ...1462 patients who had allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) between January 2000 and December 2005, 116 (7.9%) developed stage 3-4 gut GVHD. The median time for onset of stage 3-4 gut GVHD was 35 (4-135) days after allogeneic HCT. Eighty-five of the 116 patients (73%) had corticosteroid resistance before or within 2 weeks after the onset of stage 3-4 gut GVHD. Significant risk factors for mortality included corticosteroid resistance (hazards ratio (HR)=2.93; P=0.0005), age >18 years (HR=4.95; P=0.0004), increased serum bilirubin (HR 2.53; P=0.0001) and overt gastrointestinal bleeding (HR 2.88; P=0.0004). Among patients with stage 3-4 gut GVHD, the subgroup with 0, 1 or 2 risk factors had a favorable prognosis, whereas the subgroup with 3 or 4 risk factors had a dismal prognosis. This information should be considered in designing future studies of severe gut GVHD and in counseling patients about prognosis.
Background The management of Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) has been complicated by a lack of detailed prognostic data and by the presence of conflicting staging systems. Objective We sought to ...determine the prognostic significance of tumor size, clinical versus pathologic nodal evaluation, and extent of disease at presentation and thereby derive the first consensus staging/prognostic system for MCC. Methods A total of 5823 prospectively enrolled MCC cases from the National Cancer Data Base had follow-up data (median 64 months) and were used for prognostic analyses. Results At 5 years, overall survival was 40% and relative survival (compared with age- and sex-matched population data) was 54%. Among all MCC cases, 66% presented with local, 27% with nodal, and 7% with distant metastatic disease. For cases presenting with local disease only, smaller tumor size was associated with better survival (stage I, ≤2 cm, 66% relative survival at 5 years; stage II, >2 cm, 51%; P < .0001). Patients with clinically local-only disease and pathologically proven negative nodes had better outcome (76% at 5 years) than those who only underwent clinical nodal evaluation (59%, P < .0001). Limitations The National Cancer Data Base does not capture disease-specific survival. Overall survival for patients with MCC was therefore used to calculate relative survival based on matched population data. Conclusion Although the majority (68%) of patients with MCC in this nationwide cohort did not undergo pathologic nodal evaluation, this procedure may be indicated in many cases as it improves prognostic accuracy and has important treatment implications for those found to have microscopic nodal involvement.
Age has long been used as a major factor for assessing suitability for allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). The HCT-comorbidity index (HCT-CI) was developed as a measure of health ...status to predict mortality risk after HCT. Whether age, comorbidities, or both should guide decision making for HCT is unknown.
Data from 3,033 consecutive recipients of HLA-matched grafts from five institutions contributed to this analysis. Patients were randomly divided into a training set to develop weights for age intervals and a validation set to assess the performance of prognostic models.
In the training set, patients age 20 to 39 years, 40 to 49 years, 50 to 59 years, and ≥ 60 years had hazard ratios for nonrelapse mortality (NRM) of 1.21 (P = .29), 1.48 (P = .04), 1.75 (P = .004), and 1.84 (P = .005), respectively, compared with those age younger than 20 years. Consequently, age ≥ 40 years was assigned a weight of 1 to be added to the HCT-CI to constitute a composite comorbidity/age index. In the validation set, the composite comorbidity/age score had statistically significantly higher c-statistic estimates for prediction of NRM (0.664 v 0.556; P < .001) and survival (0.682 v 0.560; P < .001) compared with age, respectively. Patients with comorbidity/age scores of 0 to 2 had comparable mortality risks regardless of conditioning regimens. Patients with scores of 3 to 4 and ≥ 5 had statistically significant higher mortality risks after high-dose versus nonmyeloablative regimens.
Age is a poor prognostic factor. The proposed composite measure allows integration of both comorbidities and age into clinical decision making and comparative-effectiveness research of HCT.
Minimal residual disease (MRD) before myeloablative hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is associated with adverse outcome in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) in first complete remission (CR1). To ...compare this association with that for patients in second complete remission (CR2) and to examine the quantitative impact of MRD, we studied 253 consecutive patients receiving myeloablative HCT for AML in CR1 (n = 183) or CR2 (n = 70) who had pre-HCT marrow aspirates analyzed by 10-color flow cytometry. Three-year estimates of overall survival were 73% (64%-79%) and 32% (17%-48%) for MRDneg and MRDpos CR1 patients, respectively, and 73% (57%-83%) and 44% (21%-65%) for MRDneg and MRDpos CR2 patients, respectively. Similar estimates of relapse were 21% (14%-28%) and 58% (41%-72%) for MRDneg and MRDpos CR1 patients, respectively, and 19% (9%-31%) and 68% (41%-85%) for MRDneg and MRDpos CR2 patients, respectively. Among the MRDpos patients, there was no statistically significant evidence that increasing levels of MRD were associated with increasing risks of relapse and death. After multivariable adjustment, risks of death and relapse were 2.61 times and 4.90 times higher for MRDpos patients (P < .001). Together, our findings indicate that the negative impact of pre-HCT MRD is similar for AML in CR1 and CR2 with even minute levels (≤0.1%) as being associated with adverse outcome.
•The negative impact of pre-HCT flow cytometrically determined MRD is similar for AML in CR1 and CR2.•Even minute levels of MRD (≤0.1%) are associated with adverse outcome.
Risk factors for grades 2-4 acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) and for chronic GVHD as defined by National Institutes of Health consensus criteria were evaluated and compared in 2941 recipients ...of first allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation at our center. In multivariate analyses, the profiles of risk factors for acute and chronic GVHD were similar, with some notable differences. Recipient human leukocyte antigen (HLA) mismatching and the use of unrelated donors had a greater effect on the risk of acute GVHD than on chronic GVHD, whereas the use of female donors for male recipients had a greater effect on the risk of chronic GVHD than on acute GVHD. Total body irradiation was strongly associated with acute GVHD, but had no statistically significant association with chronic GVHD, whereas grafting with mobilized blood cells was strongly associated with chronic GVHD but not with acute GVHD. Older patient age was associated with chronic GVHD, but had no effect on acute GVHD. For all risk factors associated with chronic GVHD, point estimates and confidence intervals were not significantly changed after adjustment for prior acute GVHD. These results suggest that the mechanisms involved in acute and chronic GVHD are not entirely congruent and that chronic GVHD is not simply the end stage of acute GVHD.
It is unclear why disease occurs in only a small proportion of persons carrying common risk alleles of disease susceptibility genes. Here we demonstrate that an interaction between a specific virus ...infection and a mutation in the Crohn's disease susceptibility gene Atg16L1 induces intestinal pathologies in mice. This virus-plus-susceptibility gene interaction generated abnormalities in granule packaging and unique patterns of gene expression in Paneth cells. Further, the response to injury induced by the toxic substance dextran sodium sulfate was fundamentally altered to include pathologies resembling aspects of Crohn's disease. These pathologies triggered by virus-plus-susceptibility gene interaction were dependent on TNFα and IFNγ and were prevented by treatment with broad spectrum antibiotics. Thus, we provide a specific example of how a virus-plus-susceptibility gene interaction can, in combination with additional environmental factors and commensal bacteria, determine the phenotype of hosts carrying common risk alleles for inflammatory disease.
Display omitted
Display omitted
► Mice with mutations in the Crohn's disease gene Atg16L1 display intestinal disease ► Disease requires murine norovirus (MNV) infection together with Atg16L1 mutation ► Viral triggering of disease is dependent on virus strain and timing of infection ► Disease in response to mucosal injury involves cytokines and commensal bacteria
We identified plasma biomarkers that presaged outcomes in patients with gastrointestinal graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) by measuring 23 biomarkers in samples collected before initiation of ...treatment. Six analytes with the greatest accuracy in predicting grade 3-4 GVHD in the first cohort (74 patients) were then tested in a second cohort (76 patients). The same 6 analytes were also tested in samples collected at day 14 ± 3 from 167 patients free of GVHD at the time. Logistic regression and calculation of an area under a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve for each analyte were used to determine associations with outcome. Best models in the GVHD onset and landmark analyses were determined by forward selection. In samples from the second cohort, collected a median of 4 days before start of treatment, levels of TIM3, IL6, and sTNFR1 had utility in predicting development of peak grade 3-4 GVHD (area under ROC curve, 0.88). Plasma ST2 and sTNFR1 predicted nonrelapse mortality within 1 year after transplantation (area under ROC curve, 0.90). In the landmark analysis, plasma TIM3 predicted subsequent grade 3-4 GVHD (area under ROC curve, 0.76). We conclude that plasma levels of TIM3, sTNFR1, ST2, and IL6 are informative in predicting more severe GVHD and nonrelapse mortality.
•Before GVHD treatment, informative plasma biomarkers included TIM3, IL6, sTNFR1 (for grade 3-4 GVHD), and ST2 and sTNFR1 (for NRM at 1 year).•In a day 14 landmark analysis, plasma TIM3 was predictive of grade 3-4 GVHD.