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  • Georgakis, Marios K; Malik, Rainer; Björkbacka, Harry; Pana, Tiberiu Alexandru; Demissie, Serkalem; Ayers, Colby; Elhadad, Mohamed A; Fornage, Myriam; Beiser, Alexa S; Benjamin, Emelia J; Boekholdt, S Matthijs; Engström, Gunnar; Herder, Christian; Hoogeveen, Ron C; Koenig, Wolfgang; Melander, Olle; Orho-Melander, Marju; Schiopu, Alexandru; Söderholm, Martin; Wareham, Nick; Ballantyne, Christie M; Peters, Annette; Seshadri, Sudha; Myint, Phyo K; Nilsson, Jan; de Lemos, James A; Dichgans, Martin

    Circulation research, 2019-September-27, Letnik: 125, Številka: 8
    Journal Article

    Proinflammatory cytokines have been identified as potential targets for lowering vascular risk. Experimental evidence and Mendelian randomization suggest a role of MCP-1 (monocyte chemoattractant protein-1) in atherosclerosis and stroke. However, data from large-scale observational studies are lacking. To determine whether circulating levels of MCP-1 are associated with risk of incident stroke in the general population. We used previously unpublished data on 17 180 stroke-free individuals (mean age, 56.7±8.1 years; 48.8% men) from 6 population-based prospective cohort studies and explored associations between baseline circulating MCP-1 levels and risk of any stroke, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke during a mean follow-up interval of 16.3 years (280 522 person-years at risk; 1435 incident stroke events). We applied Cox proportional-hazards models and pooled hazard ratios (HRs) using random-effects meta-analyses. After adjustments for age, sex, race, and vascular risk factors, higher MCP-1 levels were associated with increased risk of any stroke (HR per 1-SD increment in ln-transformed MCP-1, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01-1.14). Focusing on stroke subtypes, we found a significant association between baseline MCP-1 levels and higher risk of ischemic stroke (HR, 1.11 1.02-1.21) but not hemorrhagic stroke (HR, 1.02 0.82-1.29). The results followed a dose-response pattern with a higher risk of ischemic stroke among individuals in the upper quartiles of MCP-1 levels as compared with the first quartile (HRs, second quartile: 1.19 1.00-1.42; third quartile: 1.35 1.14-1.59; fourth quartile: 1.38 1.07-1.77). There was no indication for heterogeneity across studies, and in a subsample of 4 studies (12 516 individuals), the risk estimates were stable after additional adjustments for circulating levels of IL (interleukin)-6 and high-sensitivity CRP (C-reactive protein). Higher circulating levels of MCP-1 are associated with increased long-term risk of stroke. Our findings along with genetic and experimental evidence suggest that MCP-1 signaling might represent a therapeutic target to lower stroke risk.Visual Overview: An online visual overview is available for this article.