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  • Epidemiology of COVID‐19: A...
    Li, Jie; Huang, Daniel Q.; Zou, Biyao; Yang, Hongli; Hui, Wan Zi; Rui, Fajuan; Yee, Natasha Tang Sook; Liu, Chuanli; Nerurkar, Sanjna Nilesh; Kai, Justin Chua Ying; Teng, Margaret Li Peng; Li, Xiaohe; Zeng, Hua; Borghi, John A.; Henry, Linda; Cheung, Ramsey; Nguyen, Mindie H.

    Journal of medical virology, March 2021, Letnik: 93, Številka: 3
    Journal Article

    Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) has become a pandemic, but its reported characteristics and outcomes vary greatly amongst studies. We determined pooled estimates for clinical characteristics and outcomes in COVID‐19 patients including subgroups by disease severity (based on World Health Organization Interim Guidance Report or Infectious Disease Society of America/American Thoracic Society criteria) and by country/region. We searched Pubmed, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane, Chinese Medical Journal, and preprint databases from 1 January 2020 to 6 April 2020. Studies of laboratory‐confirmed COVID‐19 patients with relevant data were included. Two reviewers independently performed study selection and data extraction. From 6007 articles, 212 studies from 11 countries/regions involving 281 461 individuals were analyzed. Overall, mean age was 46.7 years, 51.8% were male, 22.9% had severe disease, and mortality was 5.6%. Underlying immunosuppression, diabetes, and malignancy were most strongly associated with severe COVID‐19 (coefficient =  53.9, 23.4, 23.4, respectively, all P < .0007), while older age, male gender, diabetes, and hypertension were also associated with higher mortality (coefficient = 0.05 per year, 5.1, 8.2, 6.99, respectively; P = .006‐.0002). Gastrointestinal (nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain) and respiratory symptoms (shortness of breath, chest pain) were associated with severe COVID‐19, while pneumonia and end‐organ failure were associated with mortality. COVID‐19 is associated with a severe disease course in about 23% and mortality in about 6% of infected persons. Individuals with comorbidities and clinical features associated with severity should be monitored closely, and preventive efforts should especially target those with diabetes, malignancy, and immunosuppression. Highlights 1. In this systematic review and meta‐analysis of 212 studies involving 281,461 individuals with COVID‐19 from 11 countries/regions, the overall mortality was 5.6%, and 22.9% had severe disease. Immunosuppression, diabetes, malignancy and abdominal pain were strongly associated with severe disease. 2. Close to one‐quarter of individuals with COVID‐19 develop a severe disease course, and individuals with clinical features associated with severity should be monitored closely.