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  • Birth Cohort Effects in Inf...
    Budd, Alicia P; Beacham, Lauren; Smith, Catherine B; Garten, Rebecca J; Reed, Carrie; Kniss, Krista; Mustaquim, Desiree; Ahmad, Farida B; Cummings, Charisse N; Garg, Shikha; Levine, Min Z; Fry, Alicia M; Brammer, Lynnette

    The Journal of infectious diseases, 07/2019, Letnik: 220, Številka: 5
    Journal Article

    The evolution of influenza A viruses results in birth cohorts that have different initial influenza virus exposures. Historically, A/H3 predominant seasons have been associated with more severe influenza-associated disease; however, since the 2009 pandemic, there are suggestions that some birth cohorts experience more severe illness in A/H1 predominant seasons. United States influenza virologic, hospitalization, and mortality surveillance data during 2000-2017 were analyzed for cohorts born between 1918 and 1989 that likely had different initial influenza virus exposures based on viruses circulating during early childhood. Relative risk/rate during H3 compared with H1 predominant seasons during prepandemic versus pandemic and later periods were calculated for each cohort. During the prepandemic period, all cohorts had more influenza-associated disease during H3 predominant seasons than H1 predominant seasons. During the pandemic and later period, 4 cohorts had higher hospitalization and mortality rates during H1 predominant seasons than H3 predominant seasons. Birth cohort differences in risk of influenza-associated disease by influenza A virus subtype can be seen in US influenza surveillance data and differ between prepandemic and pandemic and later periods. As the population ages, the amount of influenza-associated disease may be greater in future H1 predominant seasons than H3 predominant seasons.