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Walsh, Michael; Srinathan, Sadeesh K; McAuley, Daniel F; Mrkobrada, Marko; Levine, Oren; Ribic, Christine; Molnar, Amber O; Dattani, Neil D; Burke, Andrew; Guyatt, Gordon; Thabane, Lehana; Walter, Stephen D; Pogue, Janice; Devereaux, P.J
Journal of clinical epidemiology, 06/2014, Letnik: 67, Številka: 6Journal Article
Abstract Objectives A P -value <0.05 is one metric used to evaluate the results of a randomized controlled trial (RCT). We wondered how often statistically significant results in RCTs may be lost with small changes in the numbers of outcomes. Study Design and Setting A review of RCTs in high-impact medical journals that reported a statistically significant result for at least one dichotomous or time-to-event outcome in the abstract. In the group with the smallest number of events, we changed the status of patients without an event to an event until the P -value exceeded 0.05. We labeled this number the Fragility Index; smaller numbers indicated a more fragile result. Results The 399 eligible trials had a median sample size of 682 patients (range: 15–112,604) and a median of 112 events (range: 8–5,142); 53% reported a P -value <0.01. The median Fragility Index was 8 (range: 0–109); 25% had a Fragility Index of 3 or less. In 53% of trials, the Fragility Index was less than the number of patients lost to follow-up. Conclusion The statistically significant results of many RCTs hinge on small numbers of events. The Fragility Index complements the P -value and helps identify less robust results.
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JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP |
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Povezave do osebnih bibliografij avtorjev | Povezave do podatkov o raziskovalcih v sistemu SICRIS |
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Vir: Osebne bibliografije
in: SICRIS
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