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Razvoj porabe električne energije in koničnih obremenitev na območju Elektro Gorenjska : REDOS 2045 : študija št. 2474/1Ivanjko, Štefan ; Hlebčar, Brane ; Valenčič, LeonV študiji smo, za potrebe priprave nadaljnjih analiz razvoja distribucijskega omrežja podjetja Elektro Gorenjska, pripravili tri ocene razvoja odjema električne energije in koničnih obremenitev do ... leta 2045. Po ustaljenem pristopu smo: upoštevali napoved odjema za največje odjemalce, ki so odgovorili na anketo, upoštevali ocene pričakovanega novega odjema na novih lokacijah, kot jih je za potrebe študije pripravil naročnik, in nato izdelali modelske ocene razvoja preostalega odjema. Razvoj sodobnih sistemov upravljanja omrežij je v celoti upoštevan na način, ki je za strateško načrtovanje primeren. Dodatno smo ocenili vpliv, ki bi ga na razvoj lahko imela svetovna pandemija koronavirusa SARSCoV-2 (COVID-19), zaradi katere bosta v letu 2020 znatno padla gospodarska aktivnost ter obseg porabe energije in katere posledice bomo čutili še nekaj časa. V razvojni oceni smo dodatno predpostavili še intenzivno elektrifikacijo prometa in ogrevanja. V obdobju 2019-2045 pričakujemo: porast odjema električne energije z 1,16 TWh v letu 2019 na med 1,67 in 1,84 TWh v letu 2045 po stagnantni in osrednji oceni ter na 2,00 TWh po razvojni oceni. Pričakovano povečanje konične obremenitev podjetja, ki je leta 2019 bila 207 MW, do leta 2045 znaša med 86 in 140 MW po stagnantni in osrednji oceni in kar 259 MW po razvojni oceni. V letu 2045 tako pričakujemo, da bo konična obremenitev med 293 MW in 347 MW ter po razvojni oceni 465 MW.Type of material - treatise, study ; adult, seriousPublication and manufacture - Ljubljana : Elektroinštitut Milan Vidmar, 2021Language - slovenianCOBISS.SI-ID - 54585859
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Database name | Field | Year |
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Links to authors' personal bibliographies | Links to information on researchers in the SICRIS system |
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Ivanjko, Štefan | 11911 |
Hlebčar, Brane | 12051 |
Valenčič, Leon | 08691 |
Source: Personal bibliographies
and: SICRIS
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