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Poplavno tveganje v Sloveniji in podnebna spremenljivost
Šraj, Mojca, hidrologija ...
Podnebne spremembe oziroma podnebna spremenljivost ima lahko ali pozitiven ali negativen vpliv na različne naravne procese, kot so izredne padavine ali poplavni dogodki. V svetovnem merilu ni mogoče ...določiti enoznačnega trenda visokih voda, ki povzročajo poplave. Prispevek prikazuje rezultate analiz prisotnosti trenda v največjih letnih pretokih v slovenskih vodotokih do leta 2010. Analize so bile izvedene z uporabo dveh metod: Mann-Kendallovega statističnega testa in verjetnostnih analiz. Za izbrano obdobje meritev (1961-2010) za 55 vodomernih postaj v Sloveniji nismo zaznali ali izrazito pozitivnega ali negativnega trenda visokih vod, vendar ne gre zanemariti dejstva da so bile zaznane spremembe pri določenih postajah relativno izrazite, kar ima lahko vpliv na obstoječo poplavno varnost.
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