ALL libraries (COBIB.SI union bibliographic/catalogue database)
-
Prediction of energy consumption and risk of excess demand in a distribution systemThaler, Marko ; Grabec, Igor ; Poredoš, AlojzAn empirical model for prediction of energy consumption in a distribution system is described. The model resembles a normalized radial basis function neural network whose neurons contain prototype ... joint data about the consumption process and the environment. A set of prototype patterns of consumption and environmental variables is formed from a record of a multi-component time series by a self-organized process. Prediction of energy consumption is performed by a conditional average estimator based upon known prototype patterns and given future values of environmental variables. Importance of these variables for the prediction is determined by a genetic algorithm. Prediction performance of the model is tested on a one-year-long consumption record of a gas distribution system. Prediction error is determined by the difference between predicted and actually observed consumption. Its value depends on time and amounts to a few percent of the actual consumption. The probability distribution of prediction error is estimated from a properly selected time interval of prediction. This distribution can be used to estimate the risk of energy demand beyond some prescribed value. For an optimization of the distribution process, a cost function that includes operation and control costs of a distribution system aswell as penalties related to excess energy demand is proposed. Its minimum corresponds to an economically optimal energy distribution.Source: Physica. A, Statistical mechanics and its applications. - ISSN 0378-4371 (Letn. 355, Št. 1, 2005, str. 46-53)Type of material - article, component partPublish date - 2005Language - englishCOBISS.SI-ID - 8407835
Author
Thaler, Marko |
Grabec, Igor |
Poredoš, Alojz
Topics
poraba energije |
predvidevanje porabe |
samoorganizacija |
algoritmi genetski |
upoštevanje rizikov |
modeli empirični |
sistemi distribucijski |
energy consumption prediction |
self-organisation |
conditional average |
genetic algorithm |
risk of exces demand
![loading ... loading ...](themes/default/img/ajax-loading.gif)
source: Physica. A, Statistical mechanics and its applications. - ISSN 0378-4371 (Letn. 355, Št. 1, 2005, str. 46-53)
![loading ... loading ...](themes/default/img/ajax-loading.gif)
![loading ... loading ...](themes/default/img/ajax-loading.gif)
![loading ... loading ...](themes/default/img/ajax-loading.gif)
Shelf entry
Permalink
- URL:
Impact factor
Access to the JCR database is permitted only to users from Slovenia. Your current IP address is not on the list of IP addresses with access permission, and authentication with the relevant AAI accout is required.
Year | Impact factor | Edition | Category | Classification | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP |
Select the library membership card:
If the library membership card is not in the list,
add a new one.
DRS, in which the journal is indexed
Database name | Field | Year |
---|
Links to authors' personal bibliographies | Links to information on researchers in the SICRIS system |
---|---|
Thaler, Marko | 25462 |
Grabec, Igor | 00800 |
Poredoš, Alojz | 06415 |
Source: Personal bibliographies
and: SICRIS
Select pickup location:
Material pickup by post
Delivery address:
Address is missing from the member's data.
The address retrieval service is currently unavailable, please try again.
By clicking the "OK" button, you will confirm the pickup location selected above and complete the reservation process.
By clicking the "OK" button, you will confirm the above pickup location and delivery address, and complete the reservation process.
By clicking the "OK" button, you will confirm the address selected above and complete the reservation process.
Notification
Automatic login and reservation service currently not available. You can reserve the material on the Biblos portal or try again here later.
Subject headings in COBISS General List of Subject Headings
Select pickup location
The material from the parent unit is free. If the material is delivered to the pickup location from another unit, the library may charge you for this service.
Pickup location | Material status | Reservation |
---|
Reservation in progress
Please wait a moment.
Reservation was successful.
Reservation failed.
Reservation...
Membership card:
Pickup location: