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Wu, Xing; Chen, Haolei; Wang, Jianjia; Troiano, Luigi; Loia, Vincenzo; Fujita, Hamido
Information sciences, October 2020, 2020-10-00, Volume: 538Journal Article
•Gated Recurrent Unit is proposed to extract informative features from raw financial data.•Reward function is designed with risk-adjusted ratio for trading strategies for stable returns in the volatile condition.•Two adaptive stock trading strategies are proposed for quantitative stock trading.•The system outperforms the Turtle trading strategy and achieve more stable returns. The increasing complexity and dynamical property in stock markets are key challenges of the financial industry, in which inflexible trading strategies designed by experienced financial practitioners fail to achieve satisfactory performance in all market conditions. To meet this challenge, adaptive stock trading strategies with deep reinforcement learning methods are proposed. For the time-series nature of stock market data, the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) is applied to extract informative financial features, which can represent the intrinsic characteristics of the stock market for adaptive trading decisions. Furthermore, with the tailored design of state and action spaces, two trading strategies with reinforcement learning methods are proposed as GDQN (Gated Deep Q-learning trading strategy) and GDPG (Gated Deterministic Policy Gradient trading strategy). To verify the robustness and effectiveness of GDQN and GDPG, they are tested both in the trending and in the volatile stock market from different countries. Experimental results show that the proposed GDQN and GDPG not only outperform the Turtle trading strategy but also achieve more stable returns than a state-of-the-art direct reinforcement learning method, DRL trading strategy, in the volatile stock market. As far as the GDQN and the GDPG are compared, experimental results demonstrate that the GDPG with an actor-critic framework is more stable than the GDQN with a critic-only framework in the ever-evolving stock market.
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