TEČAJNI MEHANIZAM ERM 2: ISKUSTVO ESTONIJE

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TEČAJNI MEHANIZAM ERM 2: ISKUSTVO ESTONIJE

Ćorić, Tomislav; Mesić, Maja

Ekonomska misao i praksa 21, Issue: 2

Journal Article

Tečajni mehanizam ERM 2 može se smatrati posljednjom fazom operacionalizacije teorijskog koncepta optimalnog valutnog područja. Uspješan boravak u mehanizmu i mogućnost ulaska u Eurozonu usko su povezani s ispunjenjem nominalnih i realnih kriterija konvergencije. Boravak Estonije u tečajnom mehanizmu ERM 2 obilježen je relativno niskim kamatnim stopama, fiskalnom stabilnošću i stabilnošću deviznog tečaja, ali i relativno visokom inflacijom. Analiza ekonomskih pokazatelja ukazuje na realnu konvergenciju zemlje tijekom boravka u ERM 2, slično drugim zemljama pristupnicama. Međutim, usporedo s rastom BDP-a javlja se problem snažnog rasta vanjskog duga.

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