DIKUL - logo
E-resources
Full text
Peer reviewed
  • Nurse migration: Long-run d...
    Botezat, Alina; Incaltarau, Cristian; Nijkamp, Peter

    World development, February 2024, 2024-02-00, Volume: 174
    Journal Article

    •Using gravity models and 2001-2021 data, we study nurse migration drivers and the influence of health and economic shocks.•Health-related shocks in origin countries lead to a decline in nurse migration flows.•While economic crises in origin countries push more nurse migration, recessions at destination reduce the number of arrivals.•When health shocks are preceded by recessions origin countries struggle to cope with the increase in healthcare demand.•The study shows substantial heterogeneity across geographical regions in terms of the drivers of nurse migration.•Nurses are generally attracted to the OECD destinations by the better institutional and labour market conditions. The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated the global shortage of nurses and doctors, highlighting the need for countries to aim for greater self-sufficiency in their health workforce rather than relying on foreign recruitment to meet excess demand. By using gravity models and taking advantage of rich data over the period 2001–2021, we examine the determinants of qualified nurse migration to OECD countries and investigate how macroeconomic imbalances impact nursing labour markets across time and place. We find evidence that economic recession in origin countries can lead to an increased loss of medical personnel, which could worsen the nurse deficit there. Source countries are particularly vulnerable to a nurse deficit if a recession is followed by a health shock that increases the demand for healthcare. However, a health shock temporarily reduces the number of nurses leaving and hence decreases the number of incoming nurses in destination countries. Recessions in destination countries reduce the number of arriving nurses there. Our study also captures the role of place in nurse migration by investigating heterogeneity in nurse migration across the main geographic source regions worldwide.