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Andrej Udovč; Davor Deranja; Sarah Mubareka; Anton Perpar; Marina Pintar
Geodetski vestnik, 01/2010, Volume: 54, Issue: 4Journal Article
Mestna občina (MO) Koper je ena od študij primera v evropskem raziskovalnem projektu PLUREL1. Namen projekta je razviti nove strategije in orodja za načrtovanje ter napovedovanje prihodnjih rab prostora. Za MO Koper so bili ≫preigrani≪ trije scenariji mogočeprihodnje rabe zemljišč, ki so bili na podlagi številnih kazalcev in trendov prostorsko opredeljeni z modelom MOLAND2. Model temelji na prostorski dinamiki, glavna spremenljivka v njem pa je raba zemljišč. Na podlagi različnih scenarijev se z modelom projicirajo spremembe rabe zemljišč v prihodnosti glede na vrsto rabe in sprememba se prostorsko opredeli. : The Municipality of Koper is one of the case studies in the European research project PLUREL. The project isaimed at developing new strategies and tools for future land use planning and prediction. Some scenarios for possible future land use have been prepared and spatially defined, based upon different indicators and trends, using the MOLAND model. The model is basedon spatial dynamics, a key variable being the land use and the state of each cell is its land use class (e.g. residential, industrial, commercial, forest, agricultural land etc.). Based on the developed storylines of the scenarios, the model simulates changes in future land use and spatially defines the changes.
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