•A predictive model for COVID-19 hospitalization or death was developed.•This model was based on 7 risk factors for COVID-19.•This model identified high-risk subjects who could benefit from ...colchicine therapy.
A predictive model for hospitalization due to COVID-19 or death was developed in the placebo group (N=2,084) from a large clinical trial of colchicine in COVID-19 patients (N = 4,159).
The 7 variables retained in the predictive model were age, gender, body-mass index, history of respiratory disease, use of diabetes drugs, use of anticoagulants, and use of oral steroids at the time of randomization. An optimal threshold value identified from the predictive model was used to classify high-risk patients (those with a predicted probability above the optimal threshold) and low-risk patients (those with a predicted probability below the optimal threshold). The number needed to treat to prevent 1 hospitalization or death with colchicine treatment decreased from 71 in the whole study population (N = 4,159) to 29 in the high-risk subgroup (N=1,692).
This model could serve to identify high-risk subjects who will particularly benefit from early colchicine therapy.
Background. Cases of infection due to a novel swine-origin variant of influenza A virus subtype H3N2 (H3N2v) have recently been identified in the United States, primarily among children. We estimate ...levels of cross-reactive antibody to H3N2v by age and assess whether seasonal trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (TIV), with or without adjuvant, may increase seroprotection. Methods. Antibody to H3N2v was assessed by hemagglutination inhibition (HI) assay and, for a subset, also by microneutralization assay. Seroprevalence and seroprotection were defined as an HI titer of ≥40, and levels were compared with those for ancestral and contemporary human strains. The analysis included 1116 sera collected during fall 2010, corresponding to approximately 100 sera per decade of life. Vaccine-induced antibody levels were also assessed in sera from 136 children aged <10 years and 65 adults aged 20-59 years before and after receipt of 2010-2011 split TIV and in sera from 182 elderly individuals aged > 65 years before and after receipt of 2011-2012 split TIV (for 31 individuals), MF59-adjuvanted TIV (for 72), or unadjuvanted subunit TIV (for 79). Results. The overall prevalence of HI titers of ≥40 against A(H3N2) v was 25%. No children aged <5 years and <20% of individuals aged ≤14 years or ≥40 years had an HI titer of ≥40. Conversely, among individuals aged 15-39 years, half of teens and adults showed H3N2v seroprotection. Following TIV receipt, <15% of individuals in any vaccine group developed a 4-fold increase in antibody level. Conclusions. A substantial proportion of adolescents and young adults have cross-reactive antibody against emerging H3N2v, whereas children and older adults show broad susceptibility. Recent formulations of TIV do not substantially increase seroprotection. A specific vaccine would be needed if H3N2v establishes epidemic spread.
Influenza virus infections remain a major and recurrent public health burden. The intrinsic ever-evolving nature of this virus, the suboptimal efficacy of current influenza inactivated vaccines, as ...well as the emergence of resistance against a limited antiviral arsenal, highlight the critical need for novel therapeutic approaches. In this context, the aim of this study was to develop and validate an innovative strategy for drug repurposing as host-targeted inhibitors of influenza viruses and the rapid evaluation of the most promising candidates in Phase II clinical trials. We exploited
global transcriptomic signatures of infection directly obtained from a patient cohort to determine a shortlist of already marketed drugs with newly identified, host-targeted inhibitory properties against influenza virus. The antiviral potential of selected repurposing candidates was further evaluated
, and
. Our strategy allowed the selection of a shortlist of 35 high potential candidates out of a rationalized computational screening of 1,309 FDA-approved bioactive molecules, 31 of which were validated for their significant
antiviral activity. Our
and
results highlight diltiazem, a calcium channel blocker currently used in the treatment of hypertension, as a promising option for the treatment of influenza infections. Additionally, transcriptomic signature analysis further revealed the so far undescribed capacity of diltiazem to modulate the expression of specific genes related to the host antiviral response and cholesterol metabolism. Finally, combination treatment with diltiazem and virus-targeted oseltamivir neuraminidase inhibitor further increased antiviral efficacy, prompting rapid authorization for the initiation of a Phase II clinical trial. This original, host-targeted, drug repurposing strategy constitutes an effective and highly reactive process for the rapid identification of novel anti-infectious drugs, with potential major implications for the management of antimicrobial resistance and the rapid response to future epidemic or pandemic (re)emerging diseases for which we are still disarmed.
The 2009 pandemic H1N1 (H1N1pdm09) influenza virus is naturally susceptible to neuraminidase (NA) inhibitors, but mutations in the NA protein can cause oseltamivir resistance. The H275Y and I223V ...amino acid substitutions in the NA of the H1N1pdm09 influenza strain have been separately observed in patients exhibiting oseltamivir-resistance. Here, we apply mathematical modelling techniques to compare the fitness of the wild-type H1N1pdm09 strain relative to each of these two mutants. We find that both the H275Y and I223V mutations in the H1N1pdm09 background significantly lengthen the duration of the eclipse phase (by 2.5 h and 3.6 h, respectively), consistent with these NA mutations delaying the release of viral progeny from newly infected cells. Cells infected by H1N1pdm09 virus carrying the I223V mutation display a disadvantageous, shorter infectious lifespan (17 h shorter) than those infected with the wild-type or MUT-H275Y strains. In terms of compensating traits, the H275Y mutation in the H1N1pdm09 background results in increased virus infectiousness, as we reported previously, whereas the I223V exhibits none, leaving it overall less fit than both its wild-type counterpart and the MUT-H275Y strain. Using computer simulated competition experiments, we determine that in the presence of oseltamivir at doses even below standard therapy, both the MUT-H275Y and MUT-I223V dominate their wild-type counterpart in all aspects, and the MUT-H275Y outcompetes the MUT-I223V. The H275Y mutation should therefore be more commonly observed than the I223V mutation in circulating H1N1pdm09 strains, assuming both mutations have a similar impact or no significant impact on between-host transmission. We also show that mathematical modelling offers a relatively inexpensive and reliable means to quantify inter-experimental variability and assess the reproducibility of results.
Abstract Background The IMPACT study was a randomized, double-blind study comparing 100 to 200 days of VGCV prophylaxis (900 mg once daily) in D+/R− kidney transplant recipients. Although extending ...the duration of prophylaxis resulted in a significant reduction in confirmed cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease (100-day: 36.8% vs 200-day: 16.1% ), the consequence of extending the duration of prophylaxis on the development of viral resistance remains unknown. Objective To determine whether extending valganciclovir prophylaxis from 100 days to 200 days increased the incidence of ganciclovir resistance. Study design Genotypic analysis of CMV UL97 and UL54 was conducted on virus isolated from patients meeting the predefined resistance analysis criteria (RAC). Results A greater number of patients met the RAC in the 100 day prophylaxis arm (50/163; 31%) compared to the 200 day prophylaxis arm (22/155; 14%). Sequence data were successfully generated for all 200-day patients and 48/50 100-day patients. Three patients in each treatment arm (100 day: 3/163 (1.8%) vs 200 day: 3/155 (1.9%)) had a single known valganciclovir resistance mutation detected (100 day: UL97 gene: M460V, C592G twice; 200 day: UL97 gene: C603W, M460V and UL54 gene: P522S). Overall, a resistance mutation was more likely to be detected if the patient met the RAC during prophylaxis (5/12 (42%)) compared to post-prophylaxis (1/58 (2%)). All six patients with known ganciclovir resistance mutations cleared the virus; three cleared virus without treatment and three cleared virus following treatment. Conclusions Extending valganciclovir prophylaxis from 100 days to 200 days did not significantly affect the incidence of ganciclovir resistance.
•Over the counter medicines (OTC) are only licensed for treatment of common cold and flu.•OTC medicines are used to treat COVID-19 symptoms.•The innate immune response that causes symptoms is the ...same for COVID-19 colds and flu.•Review provides information that OTC medicines are safe and effective for treating COVID-19 symptoms.
Persons suffering from acute upper respiratory tract viral infections (URTI) commonly use over the counter (OTC) medicines to relieve symptoms such as fever, muscle aches, cough, runny nose, sore throat and nasal congestion. At present OTC medicines are only licensed for treatment of common cold and flu symptoms and not for treatment of the same symptoms associated with COVID-19. The innate immune response responsible for the mechanisms of the symptoms of URTI is the same for all respiratory viruses including SARS-CoV-2 and these symptoms can be relieved by treatment with the same OTC medicines as available for treatment of colds and flu. This review provides scientific information that OTC treatments for common cold and flu-like illness caused by respiratory viruses are safe and effective treatments for the same symptoms associated with COVID-19.
Amino acid substitutions at residue I223 of the neuraminidase (NA) protein have been identified in 2009 pandemic influenza (pH1N1) variants with altered susceptibilities to NA inhibitors (NAIs). We ...used reverse genetics and site-directed mutagenesis to generate the recombinant A/Québec/144147/09 pH1N1 wild-type virus (WT) and five (I223R, I223V, H275Y, I223V-H275Y, and I223R-H275Y) NA mutants. A fluorimetry-based assay was used to determine 50% inhibitory concentrations (IC50s) of oseltamivir, zanamivir, and peramivir. Replicative capacity was analyzed by viral yield assays in ST6GalI-MDCK cells. Infectivity and transmission of the WT, H275Y, and I223V-H275Y recombinant viruses were evaluated in ferrets. As expected, the H275Y mutation conferred resistance to oseltamivir (982-fold) and peramivir (661-fold) compared to the drug-susceptible recombinant WT. The single I223R mutant was associated with reduced susceptibility to oseltamivir (53-fold), zanamivir (7-fold) and peramivir (10-fold), whereas the I223V virus had reduced susceptibility to oseltamivir (6-fold) only. Interestingly, enhanced levels of resistance to oseltamivir and peramivir and reduced susceptibility to zanamivir (1,647-, 17,347-, and 16-fold increases in IC50s, respectively) were observed for the I223R-H275Y recombinant, while the I223V-H275Y mutant exhibited 1,733-, 2,707-, and 2-fold increases in respective IC50s. The I223R and I223V changes were associated with equivalent or higher viral titers in vitro compared to the recombinant WT. Infectivity and transmissibility in ferrets were comparable between the recombinant WT and the H275Y or I223V-H275Y recombinants. In conclusion, amino acid changes at residue I223 may alter the NAI susceptibilities of pH1N1 variants without compromising fitness. Consequently, I223R and I223V mutations, alone or with H275Y, need to be thoroughly monitored.
A third serotype of human parechovirus (HPeV) has been recently isolated from stool specimens of a young Japanese child with transient paralysis. We report 3 additional cases of neonatal sepsis ...caused by HPeV-3 in the fall of 2001 in Canadian infants 7-27 days old. All children were hospitalized with high fever, erythematous rash, and tachypnea for a median of 5 days. The viruses isolated from nasopharyngeal aspirates grew slowly on tertiary monkey kidney cells and were successfully passaged on Vero cells. The predicted amino acid identity of the VP0-VP3-VP1 region of the three viruses was 74.6%-74.8%, 73.4%-73.6%, and 97.0%-97.1% when compared to HPeV-1, -2, and -3 prototype strains, respectively. Although different, our isolates were closely related; amino acid identity was 99.6%-100% for the last 3 proteins.
We report the specific detection of a few hundred molecules of genetic material using a fluorescent polythiophene biosensor. Such recognition is based on simple electrostatic interactions between a ...cationic polymeric optical transducer and the negatively charged nucleic acid target and can be done in less than 1 h, simply and affordably, and without any chemical reaction. This simple system is versatile enough to detect nucleic acids of various lengths, including a segment from the RNA genome of the Influenza virus.
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