To estimate the incidence and severity of invasive group A streptococcal infection in Victoria, Australia.
Prospective active surveillance study.
Public and private laboratories, hospitals and ...general practitioners throughout Victoria.
People in Victoria diagnosed with group A streptococcal disease notified to the surveillance system between 1 March 2002 and 31 August 2004.
Confirmed invasive group A streptococcal disease.
We identified 333 confirmed cases: an average annual incidence rate of 2.7 (95% CI, 2.3-3.2) per 100,000 population per year. Rates were highest in people aged 65 years and older and those younger than 5 years. The case-fatality rate was 7.8%. Streptococcal toxic shock syndrome occurred in 48 patients (14.4%), with a case-fatality rate of 23%. Thirty cases of necrotising fasciitis were reported; five (17%) of these patients died. Type 1 (23%) was the most frequently identified emm sequence type in all age groups. All tested isolates were susceptible to penicillin and clindamycin. Two isolates (4%) were resistant to erythromycin.
The incidence of invasive group A streptococcal disease in temperate Australia is greater than previously appreciated and warrants greater public health attention, including its designation as a notifiable disease.
The Alaska blackfish (
) remains active at cold temperatures when experiencing aquatic hypoxia without air access. To discern the cardiophysiological adjustments that permit this behaviour, we ...quantified the effect of acclimation from 15°C to 5°C in normoxia (15N and 5N fish), as well as chronic hypoxic submergence (6-8 weeks; ∼6.3-8.4 kPa; no air access) at 5°C (5H fish), on
and spontaneous heart rate (
), electrocardiogram, ventricular action potential (AP) shape and duration (APD), the background inward rectifier (
) and rapid delayed rectifier (
) K
currents and ventricular gene expression of proteins involved in excitation-contraction coupling.
was ∼50% slower in 5N than in 15N fish, but 5H fish did not display hypoxic bradycardia. Atypically, cold acclimation in normoxia did not induce shortening of APD or alter resting membrane potential. Rather, QT interval and APD were ∼2.6-fold longer in 5N than in 15N fish because outward
and
were not upregulated in 5N fish. By contrast, chronic hypoxic submergence elicited a shortening of QT interval and APD, driven by an upregulation of
The altered electrophysiology of 5H fish was accompanied by increased gene expression of
(3.5-fold; K
11.2 of
),
(7.4-fold; K
2.2 of
) and
(2.9-fold; K
2.4 of
). 5H fish also exhibited a unique gene expression pattern that suggests modification of ventricular Ca
cycling. Overall, the findings reveal that Alaska blackfish exposed to chronic hypoxic submergence prioritize the continuation of cardiac performance to support an active lifestyle over reducing cardiac ATP demand.
Advances in multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) technology now permit three-dimensional cardiac imaging with high spatial and temporal resolution. Historically, transesophageal echocardiography ...(TEE) has been the gold standard for assessment of the left atrial appendage (LAA) in patients with atrial fibrillation and other atrial arrhythmias. Findings on TEE, including demonstration of LAA thrombus and dense nonclearing spontaneous echocardiographic contrast (SEC), predict future fatal and nonfatal thromboembolic events.
The purpose of this study was to compare the diagnostic performance of 64-detector row MDCT in detecting LAA thrombus and dense nonclearing SEC as identified by TEE in patients undergoing pulmonary vein isolation for treatment of atrial fibrillation.
A total of 72 consecutive patients (69.4% male; mean age 56.1 +/- 10.3 years) underwent both MDCT and TEE for evaluation of the LAA (median intertest interval 0 days, interquartile range 0-5 days). MDCT assessment of the LAA was performed by two methods: (1) comparison of Hounsfield unit (HU) densities in the LAA apex to the ascending aorta (AscAo) in the same axial plane and (2) nonquantitative visual identification of a filling defect in the LAA. TEE evaluation of the LAA included identification of echodense intracavitary masses in the LAA as well as pulsed-wave Doppler interrogation of the LAA ostium.
Patients with LAA thrombus or dense nonclearing SEC by TEE exhibited significantly lower LAA/AscAo HU ratios than patients who did not (0.82 +/- 0.22 vs 0.39 +/- 0.19, P <.001). LAA/AscAo HU cutoff ratios < or = 0.75 correlated to LAA thrombus or dense nonclearing SEC by TEE, with 100% sensitivity, 72.2% specificity, 28.6% positive predictive value, and 100% negative predictive value. HU ratios < or = 0.75 were associated with pulsed-wave Doppler velocities <50 cm/s of the LAA ostium (P <.001). In multivariable analysis, LAA/AscAo HU ratio < or = 0.75 remained a robust predictor of LAA thrombus or dense nonclearing SEC by TEE (P <.001). In contrast, MDCT identification of TEE-identified LAA thrombus or dense nonclearing SEC by visual detection of LAA filling defects resulted in lower sensitivity (50%) and negative predictive value (95.1%).
Current-generation MDCT successfully identifies LAA thrombus and dense nonclearing SEC with high sensitivity and moderate specificity. Importantly, LAA/AscAo HU ratios >0.75 demonstrate 100% negative predictive value for exclusion of LAA thrombus or dense nonclearing SEC. These results suggest that in patients undergoing pulmonary vein isolation procedures, MDCT examinations that demonstrate LAA/AscAo HU ratios >0.75 may preclude the need for preprocedural TEE.
Myocarditis is a potentially fatal complication of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). Sparse data exist on the use of cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) in ICI-associated myocarditis. In this ...study, the CMR characteristics and the association between CMR features and cardiovascular events among patients with ICI-associated myocarditis are presented.
From an international registry of patients with ICI-associated myocarditis, clinical, CMR, and histopathological findings were collected. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were a composite of cardiovascular death, cardiogenic shock, cardiac arrest, and complete heart block. In 103 patients diagnosed with ICI-associated myocarditis who had a CMR, the mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 50%, and 61% of patients had an LVEF ≥50%. Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) was present in 48% overall, 55% of the reduced EF, and 43% of the preserved EF cohort. Elevated T2-weighted short tau inversion recovery (STIR) was present in 28% overall, 30% of the reduced EF, and 26% of the preserved EF cohort. The presence of LGE increased from 21.6%, when CMR was performed within 4 days of admission to 72.0% when CMR was performed on Day 4 of admission or later. Fifty-six patients had cardiac pathology. Late gadolinium enhancement was present in 35% of patients with pathological fibrosis and elevated T2-weighted STIR signal was present in 26% with a lymphocytic infiltration. Forty-one patients (40%) had MACE over a follow-up time of 5 months. The presence of LGE, LGE pattern, or elevated T2-weighted STIR were not associated with MACE.
These data suggest caution in reliance on LGE or a qualitative T2-STIR-only approach for the exclusion of ICI-associated myocarditis.
Background: Prognostic modeling allows personalized risk prediction for individual patients (pt). The A-HIPI model in advanced stage classical Hodgkin lymphoma (AS-HL), developed and validated by the ...HoLISTIC Consortium (www.hodgkinconsortium.org), generates the individualized probability of a progression-free survival (PFS) event or death (OS) within the first 5 years (y) from diagnosis in pts based on continuous variables (www.qxmd.com/calculate/calculator_869/a-hipi). Clinical prognostic tools in lymphoma (eg, IPS, IPI, FLIPI, etc) typically use groupings of categorical values to define risk. Grouping a continuous value often results in loss of information, and most tools are not predictive for individual pts. However, discrete groupings have clinical utility & practicality for a) defining pt populations for clinical trials & real world studies, b) stratification within clinical trials, and c) crafting treatment guidelines. We studied potential approaches for utilizing the A-HIPI model to generate risk groups with input on strengths & limitations from the HoLISTIC modeling team & clinical experts. Methods: The A-HIPI model was developed via TRIPOD guidelines on 4,022 pts treated on 8 international clinical trials for AS-HL (Rodday. JCO 2023). External validation was performed on a dataset of 1,431 pts from 4 prospective registries. The 5y PFS (PFS5) in the A-HIPI development dataset was 77% (95% CI: 76-78); the 5y OS (OS5) was 92% (95% CI: 91-93). This represented the average outcome for a pt with AS-HL pt naïve to other clinical data at presentation. The distribution of PFS5 & OS5 predictions were heavily skewed (ie, asymmetric distribution) in both the A-HIPI discovery and validation dataset. While not unexpected due to the excellent PFS & OS in this disease setting, this presents challenges in the delineation of risk groups as depicted below . Three approaches were examined for the generation of A-HIPI risk groups. Proposed cutoffs were defined using the distribution of A-HIPI risk scores and data from the model-building cohort (ie, clinical trials). Validation was done using the A-HIPI validation cohort (ie, HL registries). Results: Approach 1: Risk groups based on clinical thresholds. Clinicians were queried what estimates of PFS5 would constitute high vs low risk. The positive, right-skewed distribution of A-HIPI risk scores limited this approach ( Figure), as cutoffs of PFS5 <70 and PFS5> 90 would only identify 15% and <1% of the population, respectively. Approach 2: Risk groups based on deviation from “average” pt. The 5-y PFS was 77% (95% CI: 76-78). We explored defining “standard risk” based on this confidence interval as well as clinical boundaries, with pts above or below this classified as decreased or increased risk, respectively. Results of a +/-5% clinical boundary are presented in the Table. Approach 3: Risk groups based on “ranking” of pts. Here we ranked the A-HIPI risk scores of the 4022 AS-HL pts in the model building cohort and used the distribution of the risk scores as a benchmark. The risk profile for a future pt is then compared to this distribution (eg, how do you rank compared to your peers). Continuous results are often presented this way (eg, tertiles or quartiles). It also allows flexibility for the user to define the size of the risk groups and/or clinical threshold of interest. Application of this approach showed good alignment between the predicted model percentiles and the observed distribution of scores in the validation cohort ( Table). This is also reflected in calibration curves presented in the primary manuscript. An online application (eg, R-Shiny) will be provided at the meeting to allow users to define their own cutoffs to aid in pt prognostication as well as identify populations for clinical trial development. Conclusions: There are challenges with defining risk groups from individual risk prediction modeling in AS-HL. Different applications and purposes, the skewed distribution of events/risk estimates, as well as varying clinical definitions of high risk, make it challenging to define consensus expert-based risk groupings for AS-HL. A flexible “rank-based” approach appeared to provide the most clinical utility & data granularity, which may be leveraged for clinical trial design and pt stratification. Further analysis and discussion of how to optimally define high-risk and low-risk populations in AS-HL will be needed as new therapeutic options emerge.
7053 Background: In ECHELON-1 (NCT01712490), 6-year follow-up (FU) analyses demonstrated significant improvements in overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) with A+AVD (brentuximab ...vedotin plus doxorubicin, vinblastine, and dacarbazine) versus ABVD (doxorubicin, bleomycin, vinblastine, and dacarbazine), with a comparable safety profile. Here, we report data at 7-year median FU. Methods: Analyses of OS and PFS per investigator were conducted in the intent-to-treat (ITT) population (data cut-off March 11, 2023). Patients (pts) were randomized 1:1 to receive ≤6 cycles of A+AVD (n=664) or ABVD (n=670) on days 1 and 15, every 28 days. PET scan after cycle 2 (PET2) evaluation was mandatory. Long-term safety outcomes in the safety population included resolution or improvement of peripheral neuropathy (PN), second malignancies, and pregnancies. Results: At median FU of 89.3 months (95% CI 87.0–90.2), 7-year OS rates were 93.5% (95% CI 91.1–95.2) with A+AVD and 88.8% (95% CI 85.8–91.1) with ABVD; OS favored A+AVD over ABVD (HR 0.62; 95% CI 0.42–0.90; p=0.011). Subgroup analyses showed consistent OS benefit for A+AVD, including in the age <40 years and Stage IV disease subgroups (Table). 7-year PFS rates with A+AVD vs ABVD were 82.3% (95% CI 79.1–85.0) vs 74.5% (95% CI 70.8–77.7; HR 0.68 95% CI 0.53–0.86; p=0.001). PN improved/resolved in most pts at last FU (A+AVD: 86%; ABVD: 87%). Median (range) time to complete resolution of PN (A+AVD vs ABVD) was 16 (0–373) vs 10 (0–343) weeks; median (range) time to improvement was 42 (2–182) vs 19 (15–142) weeks. PN was ongoing in 28% (4% grade ≥3) of A+AVD and 20% (1% grade ≥3) of ABVD pts. Second malignancies were reported in 5% of A+AVD and 6% of ABVD pts. Pts and their partners reported 84/92 livebirths/pregnancies with A+AVD and 59/73 with ABVD; no stillbirths were recorded. Conclusions: At 7-year median FU, pts with stage III/IV cHL who received A+AVD showed a sustained PFS and OS benefit vs ABVD, with PFS rates indicating potential curability. The safety profile in pts treated with A+AVD showed no new safety signals at 7 years. Clinical trial information: NCT01712490 . Table: see text
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