V članku so predstavljeni metodološki problemi in možne rešitve za izdelavo demografskih analiz in projekcij v izrednih razmerah. Take okoliščine zahtevajo sistematičen pristop, ki se ne omeji samo ...na klasične demografske analize, ampak zahteva širšo presojo. Metodologija je preizkušena pri izdelavi študije Demografija i sistem naselja za potrebe izrade prostornog plana Kantona Sarajevo za period od 2003 do 2023 godine. V prvem delu so predvsem ugotavljali demografske smernice in stanje, v drugem pa opredelili variantne parametre, ki so namenjeni pripravi projekcij prebivalstva za potrebe usmerjanja razvoja. Prav v tem je metodološka novost izdelave projekcij. Projekcije se tesno navezujejo na problematiko razvoja v prostoru in preobrazbe demografske in socialne strukture prebivalstva. Metodologija, ki smo jo uporabili v študiji, se razlikuje od običajnih metod izdelave projekcij prebivalstva. Prav v tem vidimo njihovo praktično uporabnost. Ker so se demografske razmere med vojno bistveno spremenile v vsej BiH, ne moremo delati niti ocene bodočega demografskega razvoja v Kantonu Sarajevo, ne da bi upoštevali politiko uvajanja skladnega razvoja v vsej državi. Torej bi bilo treba narediti podobne analize tudi za druga območja BiH, s čimer bi uporabljene hipoteze za Kanton Sarajevo samo utrdile pomen.
The article presents methodological issues and possible solutions for execution of demographic analyses and projections in contingency circumstances. These demand a systematic approach, which isn’t ...limited to classical demographic analyses, but demands wider assessment. The methodology was tested in a study entitled “Demography and the system of settlements for the spatial plan of the Sarajevo Canton for the period 2003 to 2023”. In the first part evidence of demographic trends and conditions was established, while the second defined variation parameters, which are used for preparation of population projections needed for directing development. This in fact is the methodological novelty in calculating projections. These are closely linked to issues in spatial development and transformations in the demographic and social structure of the population. The applied methodology differs from the most commonly used methods for calculation of population projections. Here we see its practicality. Because of the war demographic conditions changed significantly in the entire Bosnia and Hercegovina, thus also estimates of future demographic development in the Sarajevo canton cannot be conducted without consideration of the policy of balanced development in the country. Therefore similar analyses should also be undertaken in other parts of the country, which would prove the significance of the hypothesis applied to the Sarajevo Canton.
Immediately after the institutionalisation of regions in Slovenia it will be necessary to introduce an efficient coordination among different decision making levels between the state administration ...on one side and municipalities and regions on the other. The purpose of my paper is not to deal with details but to show the possibilities of a gradual and systematic professional and organisational support to the representatives of municipalities and regions as well as the state administration units on the other side. The purpose of the table is to show, in a simplified way, the relation between the contents of formal interest coordination and development promotion on different levels. It represents first of all the complexity ofinterlinkages of economic and non-economic branches. Such an approach could facilitate the preparation of more realistic decrees, efficient work of inspections as well as cheaper preparation of planning documents.
Integracija in decentralizacija se le navidezno izključujeta. Če ju pravilno pojmujemo, se lahko oba vidika uspešno uskladita tako na področju javne uprave kot tudi prostorskega razvoja. Integration ...and decentralization arc only apparently exclusive. If properly comprehended these stand-points can be sucessfully made compatible in public policies as well as urban and rural development.