Heart failure (HF) complicating ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is recognized as an ominous complication. The HAS-BLED and Outcomes Registry for Better Informed Treatment (ORBIT) ...scores are used to assess the bleeding risk in patients with anticoagulated atrial fibrillation. This study aimed to investigate the relationship of the ORBIT and HAS-BLED scores with Killip class 3-4 in patients with STEMI.639 patients with STEMI were enrolled in this study. The ORBIT and HAS-BLED scores were recorded after admission, and all patients were divided into 2 groups: the Killip class 1-2 and Killip class 3-4 groups. Different clinical parameters were compared. The predictive values of the ORBIT and HAS-BLED scores for Killip classes 3 to 4 were assessed using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analyses. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were used to evaluate the relationships between variables and Killip class 3-4.The ORBIT and HAS-BLED scores were higher in the Killip class 3-4 group than in the Killip class 1-2 group (P < .05). The areas under the ROC curve of the ORBIT and HAS-BLED scores for predicting the higher Killip classification were 0.818 (95% CI: 0.786-0.847, P < .0001) and 0.674 (95% CI: 0.636-0.710, P < .0001), respectively. In multivariate logistic analysis, the high ORBIT score was positively associated with Killip classes 3 to 4 after adjustment (odds ratio: 2.306, 95% CI: 1.084-4.911, P = .012).A graded relationship was found in the elevated ORBIT and HAS-BLED scores and Killip classes 3 to 4 in patients with STEMI. The ORBIT score is independently associated with the Killip 3-4 in patients with STEMI.
ABSTRACT
Background
In the general population, the CHA2DS2-VASC and the HAS-BLED scores are helpful to predict cerebrovascular events and hemorrhage in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). ...However, their predictive value remains controversial in the dialysis population. This study aims to explore the association between these scores and cerebral cardiovascular events in hemodialysis (HD) patients.
Methods
This is a retrospective study including all HD patients treated between January 2010 and December 2019 in two Lebanese dialysis facilities. Exclusion criteria are patients younger than 18 years old and patients with a dialysis vintage less than 6 months.
Results
A total of 256 patients were included (66.8% men; mean age 69.3 ± 13.9 years). The CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly higher in patients with stroke (P = .043). Interestingly, this difference was significant in patients without AF (P = .017). Using receiver operating curve analysis, CHA2DS2-VASc score had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.628 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.539–0.718) and the best cut-off value for this score was 4. The HAS-BLED score was also significantly higher in patients with a hemorrhagic event (P < .001). AUC for HAS-BLED score was 0.756 (95% CI: 0.686–0.825) and the best cut-off value was also 4.
Conclusions
In HD patients, CHA2DS2-VASc score can be associated with stroke and HAS-BLED score can be associated with hemorrhagic events even in patients without AF. Patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥4 are at the highest risk for stroke and adverse cardiovascular outcomes, and those with a HAS-BLED score ≥4 are at the highest risk for bleeding.
Major bleeding in the treatment of atrial fibrillation is closely associated with an increased risk of death and major adverse outcomes in both the short and long term, but all bleeding events are ...associated with a reduced quality of life. Bleeding events are also known to reduce medication adherence. In this sense, bleeding risk scores are important tools to help predict major bleeding. However, it is not clear which scoring system is superior.
In this study, our aim was to compare bleeding risk scores and to examine the factors associated with bleeding in patients with major bleeding while using vitamin K antagonists.
In this retrospective and single-center study, scoring, laboratory and demographic data were analyzed with SPSS 20.0 statistical program.
The mean age of a total of 1434 patients included in our study was 68.2 ± 11.3 years, range was 39–93 years and 769 (53.6%) of these patients were male. Of 588 patients with major bleeding, 93 (15.8%) had intracranial hemorrhage. Logistic regression analysis comparing the scoring systems among themselves revealed that the GARFIELD-AF scoring system had a predictive effect on major bleeding independent of the effect of other scoring systems (OR: 1.532, 95% CI 1.348–1.741, p < 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) for GARFIELD-AF was 0.690 (0.662–0.718) as a result of the ROC analysis considering the best cut-off point of 3.2% calculated for 2 years. AUC 0.659 (0.630–0.687) for HAS-BLED, AUC 0.636 (0.606–0.665) for ORBIT and AUC 0.611 (0.5810.642) for ATRIA. When we compare the patient group with the control group, it can be said that intracranial hemorrhage occurred independently of INR and TTR values, unlike in the major bleeding group (p:0.129, p:0.545).
In patients using vitamin K antagonists for atrial fibrillation, the GARFIELD-AF risk score was found to be superior to important bleeding risk scores such as HAS-BLED, ORBIT and ATRIA in terms of predicting major bleeding. It is an important result that intracranial hemorrhages, which have a special place among major hemorrhages, were independent of INR and TTR levels. It is noteworthy that 8.2% of patients with major bleeding had a history of minor bleeding in the last year.
Summary
Many of the risk factors for stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) are also important risk factors for bleeding. We tested the hypothesis that the CHADS
2
and CHA
2
DS
2
-VASc scores (used for ...stroke risk assessment) could be used to predict serious bleeding, and that these scores would compare well against the HAS-BLED score, which is a specific risk score designed for bleeding risk assessment. From the AMADEUS trial, we focused on the trial’s primary safety outcome for serious bleeding, which was “any clinically relevant bleeding”. The predictive value of HAS-BLED/CHADS
2
/CHA
2
DS
2
-VASc were compared by area under the curve (AUC, a measure of the c-index) and the Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI). Of 2,293 patients on VKA, 251 (11%) experienced at least one episode of “any clinically relevant bleeding” during an average 429 days follow up period. Incidence of “any clinically relevant bleeding” rose with increasing HAS-BLED/CHADS
2
/CHA
2
DS
2
-VASc scores, but was statistically significant only for HAS-BLED (p<0.0001). Only HAS-BLED demonstrated significant discriminatory performance for “any clinically relevant bleeding” (AUC 0.60, p<0.0001). There were significant AUC-differences between HAS-BLED (which had the highest AUC) and both CHADS
2
(p<0.001) and CHA
2
DS
2
VASc (p=0.001). The HAS-BLED score also demonstrated significant NRI for the outcome of “any clinically relevant bleeding” when compared with CHADS
2
(p=0.001) and CHA
2
DS
2
-VASc (p=0.04). In conclusion, the HAS-BLED score demonstrated significant discriminatory performance for “any clinically relevant bleeding” in anticoagulated patients with AF, whilst the CHADS
2
and CHA
2
DS
2
-VASc scores did not. Bleeding risk assessment should be made using a specific bleeding risk score such as HAS-BLED, and the stroke risk scores such as CHADS
2
or CHA
2
DS
2
-VASc scores should not be used.
Rapid scoring systems validated in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) may be useful beyond their original purpose. Our aim was to assess the utility of CHA2DS2-VASc, HAS−BLED, and 2MACE scores in ...predicting long-term mortality in the population of the Białystok Coronary Project, including AF patients. The initial study population consisted of 7409 consecutive patients admitted for elective coronary angiography between 2007 and 2016. The study endpoint was all-cause mortality, which occurred in 1244 (16.8%) patients during the follow-up, ranging from 1283 to 3059 days (median 2029 days). We noticed substantially increased all-cause mortality in patients with higher values of all compared scores. The accuracy of the scores in predicting all-cause mortality was also assessed using the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves. The greatest predictive value for mortality was recorded for the CHA2DS2-VASc score in the overall study population (area under curve AUC = 0.665; 95% confidence interval 95%CI 0.645−0.681). We observed that the 2MACE score (AUC = 0.656; 95%CI 0.619−0.681), but not the HAS−BLED score, had similar predictive value to the CHA2DS2-VASc score for all-cause mortality in the overall study population. In AF patients, all scores did not differ in all-cause mortality prediction. Additionally, we found that study participants with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥3 vs. <3 had a 3-fold increased risk of long-term all-cause mortality (odds ratio 3.05; 95%CI 2.6−3.6). Our study indicates that clinical scores initially validated in AF patients may be useful for predicting mortality in a broader population (e.g., in patients referred for elective coronary angiography). According to our findings, all compared scores have a moderate predictive value. However, in our study, the CHA2DS2-VASc and 2MACE scores outperformed the HAS−BLED score in terms of the long-term all-cause mortality prediction.
The 2021 UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence guidelines tend to recommend the ORBIT score for predicting bleeding risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) with anticoagulants. ...Herein, we comprehensively re-assessed the predicted abilities of the HAS-BLED vs. ORBIT score since several newly published data showed different findings.
We comprehensively searched the PubMed electronic database until December 2021 to identify relevant studies reporting the ORBIT vs. HAS-BLED scores in anticoagulated patients with AF. Their predicted abilities were assessed using the C-index, reclassification, and calibration analysis.
Finally, 17 studies were included in this review. In the pooled analysis, the ORBIT score had a C-index of 0.63 (0.60-0.66), 0.59 (0.53-0.66), and 0.57 (0.48-0.67) for major bleeding, any clinically relevant bleeding, and intracranial bleeding, respectively, while the HAS-BLED score had a C-index of 0.61 (0.59-0.63), 0.59 (0.56-0.63), and 0.57 (0.51-0.64) for major bleeding, any clinically relevant bleeding, and intracranial bleeding, respectively. There were no statistical differences in the accuracy of predicting these bleeding events between the two scoring systems. For the outcome of major bleeding, the subgroup analyses based on vitamin K antagonists vs. direct oral anticoagulants suggested no differences in the discrimination ability between the HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores. Reclassification and calibration analyses of HAS-BLED vs. ORBIT should be further assessed due to the limited and conflicting data.
Our current findings suggested that the HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores at least had similar predictive abilities for major bleeding risk in anticoagulated (vitamin K antagonists or direct oral anticoagulants) patients with AF, supporting the use of the HAS-BLED score in clinical practice.
Abstract
Aims
Bleeding risk assessment is recommended in guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation (AF). The HAS-BLED score was proposed prior to non-vitamin K antagonist oral ...anticoagulants (NOACs) and it has been suggested that the ORBIT score may be superior in predicting bleeds in NOAC users. We aimed to compare the HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores in contemporary AF patients treated with NOACs.
Methods and results
We analysed patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF (EURObservational Research Programme in AF) General Long-Term Registry. HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores were computed based on original schemes. The primary outcome was the occurrence of major bleeding (MB). A total of 3018 patients (median age 70; 39.6% females) were included: median interquartile range (IQR) HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores were 1 1–2 and 1 0–2, respectively; 356 (11.8%) patients were at high risk for MB using HAS-BLED (≥3) and 123 (4.1%) using ORBIT (≥4). Overall, 60 (2.0%) MB events were recorded, with an incidence of 1.1 per 100 patient-years. Both HAS-BLED and ORBIT were associated with outcome, modestly predicting MB area under the curve (AUC) 0.653, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.593–0.714 and AUC 0.601, 95% CI 0.526–0.677, respectively. Calibration plots showed that both scores were poorly calibrated, particularly the ORBIT score, which showed consistent poorer calibration. Time-dependent reclassification analysis showed a trend towards incorrect lower risk reclassification using ORBIT compared with HAS-BLED.
Conclusion
In this real-life contemporary cohort of AF patients treated with NOACs, the ORBIT score did not provide reclassification improvement, showing even poorer calibration compared with HAS-BLED. Our findings do not support the preferential use of ORBIT in NOAC-treated AF patients.
The aim of this study was prospective evaluation of the performance of the HAS-BLED score in predicting major bleeding complications in a real-world outpatient cohort, during long-term ...anticoagulation for venous thromboembolism (VTE), treated with a broad spectrum of anticoagulants. We analyzed 111 outpatients objectively diagnosed with VTE and treated long-term with various anticoagulants. Patients were grouped in three cohorts based on the anticoagulant regimen. Calculation of the HAS-BLED score and documentation of bleeding events were performed every 6 months for 1 year. Patients with a HAS-BLED score ≥ 3 had an increased risk for major bleeding events (odds ratio OR: 13.05, 95% confidence interval CI: 0.96-692.58,
= 0.028) and a trend to higher risk for minor bleeding events as well (OR: 2.25, 95% CI: 0.87-5.85,
= 0.091) when compared with patients with a HAS-BLED score < 3.This indicates that a HAS-BLED score ≥ 3 allows for identification of patients with VTE on long-term anticoagulation at an increased risk for major bleeding events, irrespective of the anticoagulant agent used.
Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and the associated possible complication of pulmonary artery embolism (LAE) represent a recognized reason for significant perioperative morbidity and mortality. There is a ...risk of pulmonary artery embolism through embolization. The aim of the study was to investigate the influence of various risk factors on the clinical outcome of the therapy, particularly regarding whether maintenance therapy offers a benefit in terms of the frequency of bleeding and thrombotic events. 80 patients were included, some of them retrospectively from July 2018. The observational period was set to 12 months after the DVT event. In the present sample with n = 80, with 57.5% men and 42.5% women (after 12 months of observation: n = 78), a success rate of the therapies administered of 89.7% was recorded. Only 8.9% showed partial recanalization. 3.8% of the patients had a relapse (also beyond the localization of the leg and pelvic veins) and 8.8% had a residual thrombus during the first 12 months of observation. In this study, BARC (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium) and HAS-BLED (Hypertension, Abnormal renal and liver function, Stroke, Bleeding, Labile INR, Elderly, Drugs or alcohol) scores for identifying the risk of bleeding and Wells scores for assessing the risk of having a thrombosis were used. The Villalta score tested in this study showed significant correlations with residual thrombus (P < .001), recurrence within 12 months (P < .001), and the risk of bleeding (P < .001) and is capable to provide an assessment of the variables mentioned not only at the possible end of therapy but also at the start of anticoagulant therapy.
PDF
