Politicians and journalists who participate in the policymaking process fail to appreciate the limitations of the analytical models used by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). The demand for ...pseudoscience leads to unwise policy choices. Although the CBO is nonpartisan, the presentation of its model results serves to focus attention on scenarios that are favorable to intervention and to deficit spending. But the policy discussion does not include scenarios in which intervention fails to accomplish intended results or where economic shocks make a large government debt problematic. This Essay recommends ways for Congress to redirect the CBO, resulting in analysis and reporting that would provide better support for public policy.
This study compared the effects of worked example and scripting on students' argumentative peer feedback, essay and learning qualities. Participants were 80 BSc students who were randomly divided ...over 40 dyads and assigned to two experimental conditions (worked example and scripting). An online peer feedback environment named EduTech was designed and students were tasked with writing an argumentative essay, engaging in peer feedback, and revising their essay. The results indicate that students in the scripting condition benefited more than students in the worked example condition regarding peer feedback quality. Furthermore, the scores of students in both conditions improved from pre-test to post-test in terms of argumentative essay writing and learning. This difference was significant, however, between the two conditions only with regard to argumentative essay writing favoring the scripting condition. We explain how each of these approaches can be used to improve students' argumentative peer feedback and essay writing and learning.
Misinterpretation and abuse of statistical tests, confidence intervals, and statistical power have been decried for decades, yet remain rampant. A key problem is that there are no interpretations of ...these concepts that are at once simple, intuitive, correct, and foolproof. Instead, correct use and interpretation of these statistics requires an attention to detail which seems to tax the patience of working scientists. This high cognitive demand has led to an epidemic of shortcut definitions and interpretations that are simply wrong, sometimes disastrously so—and yet these misinterpretations dominate much of the scientific literature. In light of this problem, we provide definitions and a discussion of basic statistics that are more general and critical than typically found in traditional introductory expositions. Our goal is to provide a resource for instructors, researchers, and consumers of statistics whose knowledge of statistical theory and technique may be limited but who wish to avoid and spot misinterpretations. We emphasize how violation of often unstated analysis protocols (such as selecting analyses for presentation based on the P values they produce) can lead to small P values even if the declared test hypothesis is correct, and can lead to large P values even if that hypothesis is incorrect. We then provide an explanatory list of 25 misinterpretations of P values, confidence intervals, and power. We conclude with guidelines for improving statistical interpretation and reporting.
У Виктора Чубарова есть стихотворение, которое начинается так: Когда перевернулась лодка, когда торчали из воды интеллигентная бородка и две лохматых бороды… Интеллигентная бородка принадлежала Саше ...Сопровскому, две лохматые – Сереже Гандлевскому и самому Чубарову. Торчали они из озера в центре Друскининкай, где час назад была взята напрокат двухместная прогулочная лодка. Кроме Сопровского, Гандлевского и Чубарова, в ней помещались еще двое – Максим, королевский пудель Гандлевского шоколадной масти, и я. Цвет своих волос я забыл. До этого мы хорошо посидели в пивном баре, потом взяли в гастрономе с собой, переправились на другой берег и приняли еще, а когда то, что было с собой, закончилось, снова загрузились в лодку.
Popsat příběh seznámení s Josefem Hiršalem a Bohumilou Grögerovou epicky by nemělo moc velký smysl. Já o nich samozřejmě věděl, seznámili jsme se pak ale asi až po dvaceti letech. O to intenzivněji ...jsme nakonec naše pravidelná setkání v devadesátých letech prožívali.
Z dvojhlasu k sobě Daněk, Václav
Literární archív,
2021
53
Journal Article
Odprti dostop
Kultivovaná mladá dáma, jazykově vybavená, svým zvláštním způsobem zvídavosti obdařená, přestala psát básně – věřme jejím slovům – už v šestnácti letech, neboť jí to veršování připadalo příliš ...jednoduché. Zato své deníky – po tatínkově příkladu a nadělení – nikdy psát nepřestala. Přesedlala k próze. Po spoustě drobných povídek, milostných i vzpomínkových črt dospěla k dramatické novele i k románu. Pod Jonescovým vlivem k absurdnímu dramatu. A to už bylo něco! Něco příznačného?
Kai žiemą Telšiuose pasukdavau iš Luokės gatvės į Vilniaus gatvę, vieno daugiabučio ketvirtajame aukšte visada degdavo spingsė. Žinojau – Vytautui Telšiečiui dabar pagavų metas. Tokiose erdvėse juk ...ir gimsta laisviausi tekstai. Justiniškių narvelyje, Sapiegiškio trobelėje, daugiabučio blokelyje.
Jubilant je emeritním profesorem lékařské psychologie na univerzitě v německém Řezně, kde založil v r. 1976 Institut lékařské psychologie. V jeho čele stál až do doby emeritování r. 2006. Je lékařem, ...psychologem a doyenem německé rogersovské – na člověka zaměřené psychoterapie.
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