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  • Trade Wars and Trade Talks ...
    Ossa, Ralph

    The American economic review, 12/2014, Letnik: 104, Številka: 12
    Journal Article

    How large are optimal tariffs? What tariffs would prevail in a world-wide trade war? How costly would a breakdown of international trade policy cooperation be? And what is the scope for future multilateral trade negotiations? I address these and other questions using a unified framework which nests traditional, new trade, and political economy motives for protection. I find that optimal tariffs average 62 percent, world trade war tariffs average 63 percent, the government welfare losses from a breakdown of international trade policy cooperation average 2.9 percent, and the possible government welfare gains from future multilateral trade negotiations average 0.5 percent.