There are no risk stratification tools for morbidity and mortality in bronchiectasis. Identifying patients at risk of exacerbations, hospital admissions, and mortality is vital for future research.
...This study describes the derivation and validation of the Bronchiectasis Severity Index (BSI).
Derivation of the BSI used data from a prospective cohort study (Edinburgh, UK, 2008-2012) enrolling 608 patients. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to identify independent predictors of mortality and hospitalization over 4-year follow-up. The score was validated in independent cohorts from Dundee, UK (n = 218); Leuven, Belgium (n = 253); Monza, Italy (n = 105); and Newcastle, UK (n = 126).
Independent predictors of future hospitalization were prior hospital admissions, Medical Research Council dyspnea score greater than or equal to 4, FEV1 < 30% predicted, Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization, colonization with other pathogenic organisms, and three or more lobes involved on high-resolution computed tomography. Independent predictors of mortality were older age, low FEV1, lower body mass index, prior hospitalization, and three or more exacerbations in the year before the study. The derived BSI predicted mortality and hospitalization: area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.74-0.86) for mortality and AUC 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 0.84-0.91) for hospitalization, respectively. There was a clear difference in exacerbation frequency and quality of life using the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire between patients classified as low, intermediate, and high risk by the score (P < 0.0001 for all comparisons). In the validation cohorts, the AUC for mortality ranged from 0.81 to 0.84 and for hospitalization from 0.80 to 0.88.
The BSI is a useful clinical predictive tool that identifies patients at risk of future mortality, hospitalization, and exacerbations across healthcare systems.
Exacerbations are key events in the natural history of bronchiectasis, but clinical predictors and outcomes of patients with frequently exacerbating disease are not well described.
To establish if ...there is a "frequent exacerbator phenotype" in bronchiectasis and the impact of exacerbations on long-term clinical outcomes.
We studied patients with bronchiectasis enrolled from 10 clinical centers in Europe and Israel, with up to 5 years of follow-up. Patients were categorized by baseline exacerbation frequency (zero, one, two, or three or more per year). The repeatability of exacerbation status was assessed, as well as the independent impact of exacerbation history on hospitalizations, quality of life, and mortality.
A total of 2,572 patients were included. Frequent exacerbations were the strongest predictor of future exacerbation frequency, suggesting a consistent phenotype. The incident rate ratios for future exacerbations were 1.73 (95% confidence interval CI, 1.47-2.02; P < 0.0001) for one exacerbation per year, 3.14 (95% CI, 2.70-3.66; P < 0.0001) for two exacerbations, and 5.97 (95% CI, 5.27-6.78; P < 0.0001) for patients with three or more exacerbations per year at baseline. Additional independent predictors of future exacerbation frequency were Haemophilus influenzae and Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection, FEV
, radiological severity of disease, and coexisting chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Patients with frequently exacerbating disease had worse quality of life and were more likely to be hospitalized during follow-up. Mortality over up to 5 years of follow-up increased with increasing exacerbation frequency.
The frequent exacerbator phenotype in bronchiectasis is consistent over time and shows high disease severity, poor quality of life, and increased mortality during follow-up.
Sputum neutrophil elastase and serum desmosine, which is a linked marker of endogenous elastin degradation, are possible biomarkers of disease severity and progression in bronchiectasis. This study ...aimed to determine the association of elastase activity and desmosine with exacerbations and lung function decline in bronchiectasis.
This was a single-center prospective cohort study using the TAYBRIDGE (Tayside Bronchiectasis Registry Integrating Datasets, Genomics, and Enrolment into Clinical Trials) registry in Dundee, UK. A total of 433 patients with high-resolution computed tomography-confirmed bronchiectasis provided blood samples for desmosine measurement, and 381 provided sputum for baseline elastase activity measurements using an activity-based immunosassay and fluorometric substrate assay. Candidate biomarkers were tested for their relationship with cross-sectional markers of disease severity, and with future exacerbations, mortality and lung function decline over 3 years.
Elastase activity in sputum was associated with the bronchiectasis severity index (r = 0.49; P < 0.0001) and was also correlated with the Medical Research Council dyspnea score (r = 0.34; P < 0.0001), FEV
% predicted (r = -0.33; P < 0.0001), and the radiological extent of bronchiectasis (r = 0.29; P < 0.0001). During a 3-year follow-up, elevated sputum elastase activity was associated with a higher frequency of exacerbations (P < 0.0001) but was not independently associated with mortality. Sputum elastase activity was independently associated with FEV
decline (β coefficient, -0.139; P = 0.001). Elastase showed good discrimination for severe exacerbations with an area under the curve of 0.75 (95% confidence interval CI, 0.72-0.79) and all-cause mortality (area under the curve, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.67-0.73). Sputum elastase activity increased at exacerbations (P = 0.001) and was responsive to treatment with antibiotics. Desmosine was correlated with sputum elastase (r = 0.42; P < 0.0001) and was associated with risk of severe exacerbations (hazard ratio 2.7; 95% CI, 1.42-5.29; P = 0.003) but not lung function decline.
Sputum neutrophil elastase activity is a biomarker of disease severity and future risk in adults with bronchiectasis.
Patients with bronchiectasis often have concurrent comorbidities, but the nature, prevalence, and impact of these comorbidities on disease severity and outcome are poorly understood. We aimed to ...investigate comorbidities in patients with bronchiectasis and establish their prognostic value on disease severity and mortality rate.
An international multicentre cohort analysis of outpatients with bronchiectasis from four European centres followed up for 5 years was done for score derivation. Eligible patients were those with bronchiectasis confirmed by high-resolution CT and a compatible clinical history. Comorbidity diagnoses were based on standardised definitions and were obtained from full review of paper and electronic medical records, prescriptions, and investigator definitions. Weibull parametric survival analysis was used to model the prediction of the 5 year mortality rate to construct the Bronchiectasis Aetiology Comorbidity Index (BACI). We tested the BACI as a predictor of outcomes and explored whether the BACI added further prognostic information when used alongside the Bronchiectasis Severity Index (BSI). The BACI was validated in two independent international cohorts from the UK and Serbia.
Between June 1, 2006, and Nov 22, 2013, 1340 patients with bronchiectasis were screened and 986 patients were analysed. Patients had a median of four comorbidities (IQR 2-6; range 0-20). 13 comorbidities independently predicting mortality rate were integrated into the BACI. The overall hazard ratio for death conferred by a one-point increase in the BACI was 1·18 (95% CI 1·14-1·23; p<0·0001). The BACI predicted 5 year mortality rate, hospital admissions, exacerbations, and health-related quality of life across all BSI risk strata (p<0·0001 for mortality and hospital admissions, p=0·03 for exacerbations, p=0·0008 for quality of life). When used in conjunction with the BSI, the combined model was superior to either model alone (p=0·01 for combined vs BACI; p=0·008 for combined vs BSI).
Multimorbidity is frequent in bronchiectasis and can negatively affect survival. The BACI complements the BSI in the assessment and prediction of mortality and disease outcomes in patients with bronchiectasis.
European Bronchiectasis Network (EMBARC).
is responsible for chronic infection in many bronchiectasis patients but it is not known whether it is associated with worse clinical outcomes independent of the underlying severity of disease.This ...study analysed data from 2596 bronchiectasis patients included from 10 different bronchiectasis clinical centres across Europe and Israel, with a 5-year follow-up period. Prevalence of
chronic infection and its independent impact on exacerbations, hospitalisations, quality of life and mortality was assessed.The prevalence of
chronic infection was 15.0% (n=389).
was associated with a higher mortality in a univariate analysis (hazard ratio (HR) 2.02; 95% (confidence interval) CI 1.53-2.66; p<0.0001) but an independent impact on mortality was not found in a multivariate analysis (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.70-1.36; p=0.89).
was independently associated with increased mortality only in patients with frequent exacerbations (two or more per year) (HR 2.03; 95% CI 1.36-3.03; p=0.001). An independent association with worse quality of life of 7.46 points (95% CI 2.93-12.00; p=0.001) was found in a multivariable linear regression.
was therefore found to be independently associated with exacerbation frequency, hospital admissions and worse quality of life. Mortality was increased in patients with
particularly in the presence of frequent exacerbations.
Bronchiectasis is a heterogeneous disease. This study aimed at identifying discrete groups of patients with different clinical and biological characteristics and long-term outcomes.This was a ...secondary analysis of five European databases of prospectively enrolled adult outpatients with bronchiectasis. Principal component and cluster analyses were performed using demographics, comorbidities, and clinical, radiological, functional and microbiological variables collected during the stable state. Exacerbations, hospitalisations and mortality during a 3-year follow-up were recorded. Clusters were externally validated in an independent cohort of patients with bronchiectasis, also investigating inflammatory markers in sputum.Among 1145 patients (median age 66 years; 40% male), four clusters were identified driven by the presence of chronic infection with Pseudomonas aeruginosaor other pathogens and daily sputum: "Pseudomonas" (16%), "Other chronic infection" (24%), "Daily sputum" (33%) and "Dry bronchiectasis" (27%). Patients in the four clusters showed significant differences in terms of quality of life, exacerbations, hospitalisations and mortality during follow-up. In the validation cohort, free neutrophil elastase activity, myeloperoxidase activity and interleukin-1β levels in sputum were significantly different among the clusters.Identification of four clinical phenotypes in bronchiectasis could favour focused treatments in future interventional studies designed to alter the natural history of the disease.
•Fewer hypocretin neurons are found in humans with alcohol use disorder.•Smaller size of hypocretin, MCH neurons and activation of microglia was detected.•No changes were observed in the histamine ...cell group in this same human population.•Rats exposed to alcohol do not show changes hypocretin, MCH or microglia.•Factors secondary to AUD might be responsible for the changes in humans.
Human heroin addicts and mice administered morphine for a 2 week period show a greatly increased number of hypothalamic hypocretin (Hcrt or orexin) producing neurons with a concomitant reduction in Hcrt cell size. Male rats addicted to cocaine similarly show an increased number of detectable Hcrt neurons. These findings led us to hypothesize that humans with alcohol use disorder (AUD) would show similar changes. We now report that humans with AUD have a decreased number and size of detectable Hcrt neurons. In addition, the intermingled melanin concentrating hormone (MCH) neurons are reduced in size. We saw no change in the size and number of tuberomammillary histamine neurons in AUD. Within the Hcrt/MCH neuronal field we found that microglia cell size was increased in AUD brains. In contrast, male rats with 2 week alcohol exposure, sufficient to elicit withdrawal symptoms, show no change in the number or size of Hcrt, MCH and histamine neurons, and no change in the size of microglia. The present study indicates major differences between the response of Hcrt neurons to opioids and that to alcohol in human subjects with a history of substance abuse.
Objective assessment of symptoms in bronchiectasis is important for research and in clinical practice. The COPD Assessment Test (CAT) is a short, simple assessment tool widely used in COPD. The items ...included in the CAT are not specific to COPD and also reflect the dominant symptoms of bronchiectasis. We therefore performed a study to validate the CAT as an outcome measure in bronchiectasis.
The CAT was administered to two cohorts of bronchiectasis patients along with other quality of life questionnaires. Patients underwent comprehensive clinical assessment. One cohort had repeated questionnaires collected before-and-after treatment of acute exacerbations. We analyzed convergent validity, repeatability, and responsiveness of the score and calculated the minimum clinically important difference (MCID) using a combination of distribution and anchor-based methods.
In both cohorts there were positive correlations between the CAT and the St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire (r = 0.90, P < .0001 and r = 0.87, P < .0001). There was an inverse relationship between CAT and Quality of Life – Bronchiectasis Respiratory Symptoms Scale (r = −0.75, P < .0001) and Leicester Cough Questionnaire score (r = −0.77, P < .0001). Patients with more severe disease, based on the bronchiectasis severity index, had significantly higher CAT scores. CAT also correlated with FEV1 % predicted and 6-min walk distance (6MWD). CAT increased significantly at exacerbation and fell at recovery. The intraclass correlation coefficient for two measurements four-weeks apart while clinically stable was 0.88 (95% CI, 0.73-0.95, P < .0001). An MCID of 4 was most consistent.
CAT is a valid, responsive symptom assessment tool in bronchiectasis. The MCID is estimated as 4 points.
Bronchiectasis guidelines regard treatment to prevent exacerbation and treatment of daily symptoms as separate objectives.
We hypothesized that patients with greater symptoms would be at higher risk ...of exacerbations and therefore that a treatment aimed at reducing daily symptoms would also reduce exacerbations in highly symptomatic patients.
Our study comprised an observational cohort of 333 patients from the East of Scotland (2012-2016). Either symptoms were modeled as a continuous variable or patients were classified as having high, moderate, or low symptom burden (>70, 40-70, and <40 using the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire symptom score). The hypothesis that exacerbation reductions would only be evident in highly symptomatic patients was tested in a
analysis of a randomized trial of inhaled dry powder mannitol (
= 461 patients).
In the observational cohort, daily symptoms were a significant predictor of future exacerbations (rate ratio RR, 1.10; 95% confidence interval CI, 1.03-1.17;
= 0.005). Patients with higher symptom scores had higher exacerbation rates (RR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.12-2.72;
= 0.01) over 12-month follow-up than those with lower symptoms. Inhaled mannitol treatment improved the time to first exacerbation (hazard ratio, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.40-0.77;
< 0.001), and the proportion of patients remaining exacerbation free for 12 months of treatment was higher in the mannitol group (32.7% vs. 14.6%; RR, 2.84; 95% CI, 1.40-5.76;
= 0.003), but only in highly symptomatic patients. In contrast, no benefit was evident in patients with lower symptom burden.
Highly symptomatic patients have increased risk of exacerbations, and exacerbation benefit with inhaled mannitol was only evident in patients with high symptom burden.
This study assessed if bronchiectasis (BR) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA), when manifesting as an overlap syndrome (BROS), were associated with worse outcomes than other BR etiologies applying the ...Bronchiectasis Severity Index (BSI).
Data were collected from the BSI databases of 1,716 adult patients with BR across six centers: Edinburgh, United Kingdom (608 patients); Dundee, United Kingdom (n = 286); Leuven, Belgium (n = 253); Monza, Italy (n = 201); Galway, Ireland (n = 242); and Newcastle, United Kingdom (n = 126). Patients were categorized as having BROS (those with RA and BR without interstitial lung disease), idiopathic BR, bronchiectasis-COPD overlap syndrome (BCOS), and "other" BR etiologies. Mortality rates, hospitalization, and exacerbation frequency were recorded.
A total of 147 patients with BROS (8.5% of the cohort) were identified. There was a statistically significant relationship between BROS and mortality, although this relationship was not associated with higher rates of BR exacerbations or BR-related hospitalizations. The mortality rate over a mean of 48 months was 9.3% for idiopathic BR, 8.6% in patients with other causes of BR, 18% for RA, and 28.5% for BCOS. Mortality was statistically higher in patients with BROS and BCOS compared with those with all other etiologies. The BSI scores were statistically but not clinically significantly higher in those with BROS compared with those with idiopathic BR (BSI mean, 7.7 vs 7.1, respectively; P < .05). Patients with BCOS had significantly higher BSI scores (mean, 10.4), Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization rates (24%), and previous hospitalization rates (58%).
Both the BROS and BCOS groups have an excess of mortality. The mechanisms for this finding may be complex, but these data emphasize that these subgroups require additional study to understand this excess mortality.