The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), also known as coronavirus disease (COVID-19), is a major pandemic challenging health care systems around the world. The optimal ...management of patients infected with COVID-19 is still unclear, although the consensus is moving toward the need of a biphasic approach. During the first phase of the disease (from onset of the symptoms up to 7–10 days) viral-induced effects are prominent, with the opportunity to institute antiviral therapy. In the second inflammatory phase of the disease, immunosuppressive strategies (for example with glucocorticoids or anticytokine drugs) may be considered. This latter stage is characterized by the development of progressive lung involvement with increasing oxygen requirements and occasionally signs of the hemophagocytic syndrome. The management of the disease in patients with kidney disease is even more challenging, especially in those who are immunosuppressed or with severe comorbidities. Here we present the therapeutic approach used in Brescia (Italy) for managing patients infected with COVID-19 who underwent kidney transplantation and are receiving hemodialysis. Furthermore, we provide some clinical and physiopathological background, as well as preliminary outcome data of our cohort, to better clarify the pathogenesis of the disease and clinical management.
The SARS-CoV-2 epidemic is pressuring healthcare systems worldwide. Disease outcomes in certain subgroups of patients are still scarce, and data are needed. Therefore, we describe here the experience ...of four dialysis centers of the Brescia Renal COVID Task Force. During March 2020, within an overall population of 643 hemodialysis patients, SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity was detected in 94 (15%). At disease diagnosis, 37 of the 94 (39%) patients (group 1) were managed on an outpatient basis, whereas the remaining 57 (61%) (group 2) required hospitalization. Choices regarding management strategy were made based on disease severity. In group 1, 41% received antivirals and 76% hydroxychloroquine. Eight percent died and 5% developed acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). In group 2, 79% received antivirals and 77% hydroxychloroquine. Forty two percent died and 79% developed ARDS. Overall mortality rate for the entire cohort was 29%. History of ischemic cardiac disease, fever, older age (over age 70), and dyspnea at presentation were associated with the risk of developing ARDS, whereas fever, cough and a C-reactive protein higher than 50 mg/l at disease presentation were associated with the risk of death. Thus, in our population of hemodialysis patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection, we documented a wide range of disease severity. The risk of ARDS and death is significant for patients requiring hospital admission at disease diagnosis.
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Abstract
Background and Aims
Etelcalcetide (ETC) is an intravenous calcimimetic approved for the management of secondary hyperparathyroidism (sHPT) in hemodialysis (HD) patients, with benefits in ...terms of reduction of FGF23 levels and prevention of progression of left ventricular hypertrophy. The label recommendation is a starting dose of 5 mg after HD, to be titrated every 4 weeks according to parathyroid hormone (PTH) and calcium levels. However, it remains unclear what dosage is best to start with and, thus, how this treatment can be implemented in a real-life setting. The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of ETC started at lower doses than those suggested by the manufacturer in patients with moderate sHPT.
Methods
This is a retrospective observational study comparing two different initial ETC dosing strategies, a “Low-dose approach” (LD, ETC starting dose<10 mg/week) and a “Classic approach” (CL, ETC starting dose≥10 mg/week), in terms of effects on CKD-MBD related biomarkers and costs during the first year of prescription. The study was conducted on HD patients with basal PTH between 500 and 1500 ng/l, treated with ETC for at least 3 months between 2018 and 2022 at ASST Spedali Civili di Brescia. Monthly monitoring of serum calcium, phosphorus and PTH was performed in both groups for dose adjustment.
Results
Overall, 53 patients were identified, 24 in the LD and 29 in the CL group. Both groups showed similar baseline characteristics (Table 1). Median follow-up was 52 weeks, during which 4 patients (one in the LD and three in the CL group) discontinued ETC (Table 1). At the end of follow-up, 92% of patients in the LD and 90% in the CL group achieved a decrease in PTH ≥30% compared to baseline, with median PTH levels of 282 (207 - 332) and 294 (151 – 382) ng/l, respectively (p = 0.825). Other CKD-MBD biochemical parameters were comparable between the two groups at all timepoints (Figure 1). The median of average ETC weekly doses per patient was 7.6 (6.2 – 10.2) mg in the LD and 10.6 (9.7 – 15) mg in the CL group (p<0.001). During follow-up, the median ETC dose remained stable in the LD group, while partially decreasing in the CL group (Figure 1). Use of paricalcitol was comparable in both groups. At cost analysis, the median of average ETC weekly costs per patient was €36.6 (29.6 – 50.0) in the LD and €50.5 (46.4 – 71.7) in the CL group (p<0.001). This translates into an average yearly cost per patient of €1909 and €2635 using the LD and CL approach, respectively, with a saving of €726 per patient-year in favour of the LD strategy.
Conclusion
In this retrospective study in HD patients with moderate sHPT, we showed that starting ETC at a lower dose than the one suggested by the manufacturer is as effective as the classic approach in terms of control of CKD-MBD parameters, with a significant reduction in treatment costs. Future prospective studies will be needed to validate the results in bigger cohorts, test whether these benefits can extend beyond the first year of treatment and assess the effects on FGF23 levels and other relevant clinical outcomes.
Abstract
Background and Aims
Rituximab (RTX) has emerged as the first-line treatment to maintain remission in ANCA-Associated Vasculitis (AAV). However, the ideal strategy to RTX re-dosing is still ...unclear 1.
Method
In this monocentric and retrospective study we evaluated the efficacy and safety of two RTX-based maintenance regimens in patients with AAV. Fixed-dose (FD) RTX dosing, consisting of at least 3 pre-emptive RTX administrations every 6 months, was preferred in patients judged to be at high relapse risk. Instead, a biomarker-guided on-demand (OD) RTX dosing strategy was preferred for patients deemed at lower risk of relapse; this consisted in RTX re-treatment only in case of B-cell repopulation or rise in ANCA titer. The single patient relapse risk was assessed according to the disease phenotype (granulomatous vs vasculitic), the ANCA specificity and the disease status (onset vs relapse). Relapses were defined as increase of disease activity requiring escalation of immunosuppression; major relapses were defined in case of life/organ-threatening manifestations.
Results
The study included 100 patients followed for a median of 24 months (IQR 20-30), 51% treated with an OD and 49% with a FD strategy. The main baseline characteristics of our cohort are shown in the Table; patients treated with a FD strategy were more often GPA, PR3-ANCA positive, with relapsing disease and ENT involvement and less frequent renal involvement. The FD group received a median of 4 (IQR 4-4) administrations of RTX for a median cumulative dose of 2 g (IQR 2-2). Only 6 (11.8%) patients in the OD group received RTX as maintenance therapy with a median of 1 (IQR 1-3) administration of RTX for a median cumulative dose of 0.75 g (IQR 0.5-1.75). Thirteen relapses occurred, 6 in the FD group and 7 in the OD one. Remission rates were comparable in the two cohorts, with respectively 87.6% and 85.9% of the patients in remission at 24 months (Figure 1 - panel A). No significant differences in remission rates across the 2 groups were observed after considering only major flares or after stratification according to clinical diagnosis (MPA/GPA) and ANCA specificity (Figure 1 - panel B to F). Ten and 20 severe infections (p = 0.383) and 3 and 1 cancer (p = 0.581) occurred respectively in the FD and OD group.
Conclusion
In our case series, a phenotypic-driven approach to RTX maintenance showed comparable efficacy and safety between fixed and on-demand dosing, despite different baseline characteristics between the two groups. These results suggest that personalizing RTX maintenance may be a feasible and safe strategy.
MCMC calibration of spot‐prices models in electricity markets Guerini, Alice; Marziali, Andrea; De Nicolao, Giuseppe
Applied stochastic models in business and industry,
January/February 2020, 2020-01-00, 20200101, Volume:
36, Issue:
1
Journal Article
Peer reviewed
The calibration of some stochastic differential equation used to model spot prices in electricity markets is investigated. As an alternative to relying on standard likelihood maximization, the ...adoption of a fully Bayesian paradigm is explored, that relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) stochastic simulation and provides the posterior distributions of the model parameters. The proposed method is applied to one‐ and two‐factor stochastic models, using both simulated and real data. The results demonstrate good agreement between the maximum likelihood and MCMC point estimates. The latter approach, however, provides a more complete characterization of the model uncertainty, an information that can be exploited to obtain a more realistic assessment of the forecasting error. In order to further validate the MCMC approach, the posterior distribution of the Italian electricity price volatility is explored for different maturities and compared with the corresponding maximum likelihood estimates.
Despite the increasing use of rituximab in anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV), it remains unclear what the optimal dosing is, especially for maintenance of ...remission. A deeper understanding of post-rituximab B-cell repopulation patterns may aid better-tailored treatment.
This is a monocentric, retrospective study including ANCA-positive AAV patients receiving a single course of rituximab induction. CD19+ B cells were longitudinally monitored with flow cytometry. B-cell repopulation was defined as CD19+ >10 cells/μL.
Seventy-one patients were included, the majority with microscopic polyangiitis (75%), myeloperoxidase-ANCA positivity (75%) and with renal involvement (79%). During a median follow-up of 54 months since the first rituximab infusion, 44 patients (62%) repopulated B cells, with a median time to repopulation of 39 months (range 7-102). Patients experiencing B-cell depletion lasting longer than the overall median time to repopulation (39 months) exhibited a lower risk of flare and higher risk of serious infection. In multivariate Cox regression, higher estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) hazard ratio (HR) 1.84, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-2.98 per 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 eGFR and female sex (HR 2.70, 95% CI 1.37-5.31) were independent predictors of increased rate of B-cell repopulation.
A subset of AAV patients develop sustained post-rituximab B-cell depletion, which associates with reduced risk of flare and increased risk of serious infection in the long term. Preserved renal function and female sex are associated with faster B-cell repopulation. These observations further highlight the need to personalize immunosuppression to improve clinical outcomes.
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