The IPSL-CM5A climate model was used to perform a large number of control, historical and climate change simulations in the frame of CMIP5. The refined horizontal and vertical grid of the atmospheric ...component, LMDZ, constitutes a major difference compared to the previous IPSL-CM4 version used for CMIP3. From imposed-SST (Sea Surface Temperature) and coupled numerical experiments, we systematically analyze the impact of the horizontal and vertical grid resolution on the simulated climate. The refinement of the horizontal grid results in a systematic reduction of major biases in the mean tropospheric structures and SST. The mid-latitude jets, located too close to the equator with the coarsest grids, move poleward. This robust feature, is accompanied by a drying at mid-latitudes and a reduction of cold biases in mid-latitudes relative to the equator. The model was also extended to the stratosphere by increasing the number of layers on the vertical from 19 to 39 (15 in the stratosphere) and adding relevant parameterizations. The 39-layer version captures the dominant modes of the stratospheric variability and exhibits stratospheric sudden warmings. Changing either the vertical or horizontal resolution modifies the global energy balance in imposed-SST simulations by typically several W/m
2
which translates in the coupled atmosphere-ocean simulations into a different global-mean SST. The sensitivity is of about 1.2 K per 1 W/m
2
when varying the horizontal grid. A re-tuning of model parameters was thus required to restore this energy balance in the imposed-SST simulations and reduce the biases in the simulated mean surface temperature and, to some extent, latitudinal SST variations in the coupled experiments for the modern climate. The tuning hardly compensates, however, for robust biases of the coupled model. Despite the wide range of grid configurations explored and their significant impact on the present-day climate, the climate sensitivity remains essentially unchanged.
El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) flavors have been defined to characterize ENSO events and their teleconnections. Studying El Niño flavor evolution during the Holocene period can provide valuable ...insights into changes over long time scales. We investigated ENSO flavor evolution using simulations spanning the last 6,000 years and present‐day observations. Two approaches to computing ENSO flavors, in agreement in the present, lead to opposite trends in the last 6,000 years. The methods also differ significantly in their representation of ENSO flavor patterns. However, incorporating the sensitivity of the methods to calibration periods and mean state changes yields similar interpretations of ENSO variability changes. Both methods suggest an increase in El Niño variability spreading to the west and east tropical Pacific over the past 6,000 years. Standardizing El Niño flavor definitions is necessary for meaningful comparisons between studies and robust climate variability analysis.
Plain Language Summary
El Niño events are the dominant mode of interannual variability. Looking at El Niño events in the past, during the Holocene period, could shed light on the linkages between the characteristics of El Niño patterns and changes in the climate mean state. Different indicators are used to characterize El Niño pattern diversity depending on the available data. While equivalent under present‐day conditions, these indicators lead to opposite conclusions on the evolution of El Niño patterns over the last 6,000 years. An in‐depth analysis indicates that all the methods suggest that El Niño‐related variance has spread to the west and east tropical Pacific over time when accounting for sensitivity to calibration periods and changes in the mean state during the Holocene. Agreeing on a standard definition for El Niño flavors is essential for accurate comparison between studies and for avoiding misleading conclusions.
Key Points
Two equivalent indicators of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) flavors in the present give opposite evolution during the Holocene
Results show that the conflict between methods comes from the representation of ENSO flavor patterns on short and long timescales
A proper assessment must account for the indicator's patterns and calibration, as well as the climate mean‐state change over time
Based on the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)-generation previous Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL)
Earth system model, we designed a new version, IPSL-CM5A2, ...aiming at running multi-millennial simulations typical of deep-time paleoclimate studies. Three priorities were followed during the setup of the model: (1) improving the overall model computing performance, (2) overcoming a persistent cold bias depicted in the previous model generation and (3) making the model able to handle the specific continental configurations of the geological past. These developments include the integration of hybrid parallelization Message Passing Interface – Open Multi-Processing (MPI-OpenMP) in the atmospheric model of the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMDZ), the use of a new library to perform parallel asynchronous input/output by using computing cores as “I/O servers” and the use of a parallel coupling library between the ocean and the atmospheric components. The model, which runs with an atmospheric resolution of 3.75∘×1.875∘ and 2 to 0.5∘ in the ocean, can now simulate ∼100 years per day, opening new possibilities towards the production of multi-millennial simulations with a full Earth system model. The tuning strategy employed to overcome a persistent cold bias is detailed. The confrontation of a historical simulation to climatological observations shows overall improved ocean meridional overturning circulation, marine productivity and latitudinal position of zonal wind patterns. We also present the numerous steps required to run IPSL-CM5A2 for deep-time paleoclimates through a preliminary case study for the Cretaceous. Namely, specific work on the ocean model grid was required to run the model for specific continental configurations in which continents are relocated according to past paleogeographic reconstructions. By briefly discussing the spin-up of such a simulation, we elaborate on the requirements and challenges awaiting paleoclimate modeling in the next years, namely finding the best trade-off between the level of description of the processes and the computing cost on supercomputers.
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key feature of the North Atlantic with global ocean impacts. The AMOC's response to past changes in forcings during the Holocene provides ...important context for the coming centuries. Here, we investigate AMOC trends using an emerging set of transient simulations using multiple global climate models for the past 6,000 years. Although some models show changes, no consistent trend in overall AMOC strength during the mid‐to‐late Holocene emerges from the ensemble. We interpret this result to suggest no overall change in AMOC, which fits with our assessment of available proxy reconstructions. The decadal variability of the AMOC does not change in ensemble during the mid‐ and late‐Holocene. There are interesting AMOC changes seen in the early Holocene, but their nature depends a lot on which inputs are used to drive the experiment.
Plain Language Summary
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a deep ocean circulation system that is both important for climate and vulnerable to climate changes. Here we use a set of multiple climate models to look at how the AMOC responded to changes in climate drivers over the past few thousand years. The changes are only small in all of the models, and do not agree in their direction. The AMOC naturally varies on decadal timescales, but we do not see any strong trends in its variability either. We consider these simulations to indicate that the overall AMOC has not changed over the past 6,000 years, which fits with recent data reconstructions.
Key Points
A multi‐model ensemble of Holocene transient simulations by general circulation models has been assembled
Although some models show changes, no consistent trend in overall Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) strength during the mid‐to‐late Holocene emerges from the ensemble
We interpret this result to suggest no overall change in AMOC, which fits with our assessment of available proxy reconstructions
During the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) substantial efforts were made to systematically assess the skill of Earth system models. One goal was to check how ...realistically representative marine biogeochemical tracer distributions could be reproduced by models. In routine assessments model historical hindcasts were compared with available modern biogeochemical observations. However, these assessments considered neither how close modeled biogeochemical reservoirs were to equilibrium nor the sensitivity of model performance to initial conditions or to the spin-up protocols. Here, we explore how the large diversity in spin-up protocols used for marine biogeochemistry in CMIP5 Earth system models (ESMs) contributes to model-to-model differences in the simulated fields. We take advantage of a 500-year spin-up simulation of IPSL-CM5A-LR to quantify the influence of the spin-up protocol on model ability to reproduce relevant data fields. Amplification of biases in selected biogeochemical fields (O2, NO3, Alk-DIC) is assessed as a function of spin-up duration. We demonstrate that a relationship between spin-up duration and assessment metrics emerges from our model results and holds when confronted with a larger ensemble of CMIP5 models. This shows that drift has implications for performance assessment in addition to possibly aliasing estimates of climate change impact. Our study suggests that differences in spin-up protocols could explain a substantial part of model disparities, constituting a source of model-to-model uncertainty. This requires more attention in future model intercomparison exercises in order to provide quantitatively more correct ESM results on marine biogeochemistry and carbon cycle feedbacks.
Ocean-driven basal melting has been shown to be the main ablation process responsible for the recession of many Antarctic ice shelves and marine-terminating glaciers over the last decades. However, ...much less is known about the drivers of ice shelf melt prior to the short instrumental era. Based on diatom oxygen isotope (δ18Odiatom; a proxy for glacial ice discharge in solid or liquid form) records from western Antarctic Peninsula (West Antarctica) and Adélie Land (East Antarctica), higher ocean temperatures were suggested to have been the main driver of enhanced ice melt during the Early-to-Mid Holocene while atmosphere temperatures were proposed to have been the main driver during the Late Holocene. Here, we present a new Holocene δ18Odiatom record from Prydz Bay, East Antarctica, also suggesting an increase in glacial ice discharge since ~4500 years before present (~4.5 kyr BP) as previously observed in Antarctic Peninsula and Adélie Land. Similar results from three different regions around Antarctica thus suggest common driving mechanisms. Combining marine and ice core records along with new transient accelerated simulations from the IPSL-CM5A-LR climate model, we rule out changes in air temperatures during the last ~4.5 kyr as the main driver of enhanced glacial ice discharge. Conversely, our simulations evidence the potential for significant warmer subsurface waters in the Southern Ocean during the last 6 kyr in response to enhanced summer insolation south of 60°S and enhanced upwelling of Circumpolar Deep Water towards the Antarctic shelf. We conclude that ice front and basal melting may have played a dominant role in glacial discharge during the Late Holocene.
•Similar δ18O Holocene pattern in three distinct coastal regions off Antarctica•Geological records and models against atmospheric control of ice shelves melting over Late Holocene•Subsurface ocean warming explains ice shelves melting over the Late Holocene.•Increasing summer insolation and CDW upwelling warmed subsurface ocean during the Late Holocene.
•Fossil corals interpretation is limited by the fact that the SPCZ is not fully constrained by ENSO.•SPCZ variability and its response to ENSO were different in the past and will change in the ...future.•Calls for a careful interpretation of climate archives from this area in terms of ENSO.•Raises questions concerning the future of the affected islands.
The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) is the main climate feature of the Southwest Pacific. It is characterized by a band of intense convective rainfall extending from the western Pacific warm pool to French Polynesia. Strong precipitation gradients within the SPCZ make local hydrologic conditions very sensitive to small displacements of this rainfall band, as those caused by El Niño and La Niña events. The associated rainfall fluctuations strongly impact the vulnerable Southwest Pacific countries. They are recorded in environmental indicators such as corals, used as proxies of past evolution of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Here we analyze a set of paleoclimate and future climate simulations and present evidence that changes in the background tropical state largely control the mean SPCZ location. In contrast, changes in the background tropical state do not directly control the interannual variability of the SPCZ location. We show that changes in the interannual variability of the SPCZ location cannot be directly imputable to changes in the ENSO amplitude, or rather the relationship between ENSO and the SPCZ location varies from one climate to another. We thus demonstrate that the teleconnection mechanisms inferred from the modern climate cannot be directly extrapolated to other climates. This study therefore calls for a cautious interpretation of climate reconstructions from environmental indicators in the Southwest Pacific with regard to ENSO variations.
The Tuning Strategy of IPSL‐CM6A‐LR Mignot, Juliette; Hourdin, Frédéric; Deshayes, Julie ...
Journal of advances in modeling earth systems,
20/May , Volume:
13, Issue:
5
Journal Article
Peer reviewed
Open access
The assessment of current and future risks for natural and human systems associated with climate change largely relies on numerical simulations performed with state‐of‐the‐art climate models. Various ...steps are involved in the development of such models, from development of individual components of the climate system up to free parameter calibration of the fully coupled model. Here, we describe the final tuning phase for the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR climate model. This phase alone lasted more than 3 years and relied on several pillars: (i) the tuning against present‐day conditions given a small adjustment of the ocean surface albedo to compensate for the current oceanic heat uptake, (ii) the release of successive versions after adjustments of the individual components, implying a systematic and recurrent adjustment of the atmospheric energetics, and (iii) the use of a few metrics based on large scale variables such as near‐global mean temperature, summer Arctic sea‐ice extent, as targets for the tuning. Successes, lessons and prospects of this tuning strategy are discussed.
Plain Language Summary
Evaluating current and future risks for natural and human systems associated with climate change is largely based on numerical simulations performed with models of the climate system, which includes the atmosphere, the land, the ocean, the cryosphere, and the oceanic and terrestrial biosphere. Various steps are involved in the development of such models. First, models for individual components are developed and tested. Second, many aspects are represented with parameterizations that summarize the effect of a missing process, such as those happening on scales that are smaller than the model grid sizes. The parameterizations in turn involve many parameters, sometimes poorly estimated from observations, that have to be calibrated. Here, we describe the final tuning phase of the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR climate model, which includes several novel aspects: first, the choice to calibrate the model against present‐day observations, which implies taking into account the transient nature of the observed climate; second, the systematic and recurrent adjustment of the atmospheric radiative budget; third, the use of a few large scale observable variables as targets. Successes, lessons and prospects of this tuning strategy are discussed.
Key Points
The tuning process of IPSL‐CM6A‐LR under present‐day control conditions is described
The associated continuous atmospheric energetics adjustment is presented
Successes, lessons and prospects of the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR tuning strategy are discussed
Biochemical purifications from mammalian cells and Xenopus oocytes revealed that vertebrate Mi-2 proteins reside in multisubunit NuRD (Nucleosome Remodeling and Deacetylase) complexes. Since all NuRD ...subunits are highly conserved in the genomes of C. elegans and Drosophila, it was suggested that NuRD complexes also exist in invertebrates. Recently, a novel dMec complex, composed of dMi-2 and dMEP-1 was identified in Drosophila. The genome of C. elegans encodes two highly homologous Mi-2 orthologues, LET-418 and CHD-3. Here we demonstrate that these proteins define at least three different protein complexes, two distinct NuRD complexes and one MEC complex. The two canonical NuRD complexes share the same core subunits HDA-1/HDAC, LIN-53/RbAp and LIN-40/MTA, but differ in their Mi-2 orthologues LET-418 or CHD-3. LET-418 but not CHD-3, interacts with the Krüppel-like protein MEP-1 in a distinct complex, the MEC complex. Based on microarrays analyses, we propose that MEC constitutes an important LET-418 containing regulatory complex during C. elegans embryonic and early larval development. It is required for the repression of germline potential in somatic cells and acts when blastomeres are still dividing and differentiating. The two NuRD complexes may not be important for the early development, but may act later during postembryonic development. Altogether, our data suggest a considerable complexity in the composition, the developmental function and the tissue-specificity of the different C. elegans Mi-2 complexes.
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