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  • Business-Cycle Anatomy
    Angeletos, George-Marios; Collard, Fabrice; Dellas, Harris

    The American economic review, 10/2020, Volume: 110, Issue: 10
    Journal Article

    We propose a new strategy for dissecting the macroeconomic time series, provide a template for the business-cycle propagation mechanism that best describes the data, and use its properties to appraise models of both the parsimonious and the medium-scale variety. Our findings support the existence of a main business-cycle driver but rule out the following candidates for this role: technology or other shocks that map to TFP movements; news about future productivity; and inflationary demand shocks of the textbook type. Models aimed at accommodating demand- driven cycles without a strict reliance on nominal rigidity appear promising.