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  • Data-driven prediction of A...
    Bastas, Alevizos; Vouros, George

    Information sciences, October 2022, 2022-10-00, Volume: 613
    Journal Article

    •This article formulates the Air Traffic Controllers’ (ATCOs’) reaction problem;•proposes a data-driven method simulating the uncertainty in the trajectories’ evolution;•proposes a methodology for evaluating methods resolving the ATCOs’ reaction problem;•proposes using a Variational Auto-Encoder to model ATCOs’ reactions;•evaluates the proposed method using real world data, also w.r.t. a baseline method. With the aim to enhance automation in conflict detection and resolution (CD&R) tasks in the Air Traffic Management domain, this article proposes deep learning (DL) techniques that model Air Traffic Controllers’ reactions in resolving conflicts violating aircraft trajectories separation minimum constraints: This implies learning when the Air Traffic Controller reacts towards resolving a conflict, and how he/she reacts. Timely reactions, to which this article aims, focus on when do reactions happen, aiming to predict the trajectory points, as the aircraft state evolves, that the Air Traffic Controller (ATCO) issues a conflict resolution action. Towards this goal, the article formulates the Air Traffic Controllers’ reaction prediction problem for CD&R, presents DL methods that can model Air Traffic Controllers’ timely reactions, and evaluates these methods in real-world data sets, showing their efficacy in solving the problem with very high accuracy.