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Fuest, Clemens; Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas; Ruthardt, Fabian
Journal of public economics, August 2024, 2024-08-00, Volume: 236Journal Article
Recent research has found distinct electoral cycles in public spending, but the evidence for cycles in taxation is scarce, reflecting a lack of cross-nationally comparable measures of tax reforms. We use qualitative data provided by the IMF (Amaglobeli et al., 2018) to compile comprehensive tax reform indicators that cover the entire tax system for 22 countries between 1960–2014, including reforms of tax rates and bases for six tax types. Relating tax reforms to the timing of elections, we find results that are consistent with politicians postponing tax reforms to periods after elections. The results are most pronounced for tax increases, are stronger for tax rates than bases, and are driven by particularly salient tax types (personal income taxes and the VAT). •We compile comprehensive tax reform indicators that cover the entire tax system.•The sample includes 22 countries between 1960–2014.•The sample includes reforms of tax rates and bases for six tax types.•The results suggest that politicians postpone tax reforms to periods after elections.•The results are pronounced for tax increases and stronger for tax rates than bases.•The results are driven by salient tax types (personal income taxes and the VAT).
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