Scheduling is an important technique to improve the productivity of workflow applications in a grid system. Serving workflow applications added overhead on the scheduling system since the scheduler ...should choose the best zero‐dependent job that improves the performance of a grid system. This paper proposes two dependent job scheduling algorithms based on analyzing the effect of categorical and continuous variables of the job, which are used in the calculation of job weight. To find the job weight, twostep clustering is used with 10 groups and the ranking equation. In addition, to verify the ability to apply the proposed algorithms in a real environment, weighted least squares estimation is used. The results showed that the prediction rate is equal to 99.88%, which indicates that the proposed algorithms could be applied in a real grid system with low overhead. Through simulations and after testing the proposed algorithms, the average results showed that the Dependent Job Scheduling (DJS) algorithm outperformed the previous algorithms, in total execution time and an average waiting time with an improvement value of 1.18 and 1.92 times, respectively. While DJS algorithm with weighting factor (DJSJP) outperformed the previous algorithms in total execution time only with an improvement value equal to 1.17 times. The overall results indicated that the proposed algorithms are efficient to be used in a grid system, besides four bits are sufficient to improve the performance of the job scheduling system.
This study investigates the effectiveness of six of the key international indices in estimating Saudi financial market (TADAWUL) index (TASI) movement. To investigate the relationship between TASI ...and other variables, six equations were built using two independent variables of time and international index, while TASI was the dependent variable. Linear, logarithmic, quadratic, cubic, power, and exponential equations were separately used to achieve the targeted results. The results reveal that power equation is the best equation for forecasting the TASI index with a low error rate and high determination coefficient. Additionally, findings of the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model represent the most important variables to use in order to build a prediction model that can estimate the TASI index. The ARIMA model (with Expert Modeler) coefficients are described as ARIMA (0,1,14). The results show that the SP500, NIKKEI, CAC40, and HSI indices are the most suitable variables for estimating TASI with an R2 and RMSE equal to 0.993 and 113, respectively. This relationship can be used on the previous day to estimate the opening price of TASI based on the closing prices of international indices.
Solar photovoltaic technology is one of the most important resources of renewable energy. However, the current solar photovoltaic systems have significant drawbacks, such as high costs compared to ...fossil fuel energy resources, low efficiency, and intermittency. Capturing maximum energy from the sun by using photovoltaic systems is challenging. Several factors that affect the energy output of such systems include the photovoltaic material, geographical location of solar irradiances, ambient temperature and weather, angle of sun incidence, and orientation of the panel. This study reviews the principles and mechanisms of photovoltaic tracking systems to determine the best panel orientation. The tracking techniques, efficiency, performance, advantages, and disadvantages of simple tracking systems are compared with those of state-of-the-art tracking systems. Diverse types of solar tracking systems based on their technologies and driving methods will be presented and categorized.The future trends of tracking systems are also highlighted.
The credit card customer churn rate is the percentage of a bank’s customers that stop using that bank’s services. Hence, developing a prediction model to predict the expected status for the customers ...will generate an early alert for banks to change the service for that customer or to offer them new services. This paper aims to develop credit card customer churn prediction by using a feature-selection method and five machine learning models. To select the independent variables, three models were used, including selection of all independent variables, two-step clustering and k-nearest neighbor, and feature selection. In addition, five machine learning prediction models were selected, including the Bayesian network, the C5 tree, the chi-square automatic interaction detection (CHAID) tree, the classification and regression (CR) tree, and a neural network. The analysis showed that all the machine learning models could predict the credit card customer churn model. In addition, the results showed that the C5 tree machine learning model performed the best in comparison with the three developed models. The results indicated that the top three variables needed in the development of the C5 tree customer churn prediction model were the total transaction count, the total revolving balance on the credit card, and the change in the transaction count. Finally, the results revealed that merging the multi-categorical variables into one variable improved the performance of the prediction models.
Biomedical voice measurements have been used by many physicians and scientists to distinguish Parkinson's patients from ordinary people. Measurements of biomedical voices involve many variables ...calculated from signal analysis of the voice. These variables can be used to distinguish Parkinson's patients from non-Parkinson's patients. Unfortunately, using all computed variables may be ineffective and inaccurate due to the complexity of establishing a relationship between all the input variables and Parkinson's states.
This paper describes the development of a hybrid optimizer by combining two optimization algorithms: the Grey Wolf Optimizer and the Whale Optimizer. The hybrid optimizer enhances feature selection to provide a fast and robust Parkinson's prediction model. Additionally, this research incorporates five other feature selection algorithms for comparison purposes: Ranker, Greedy, BestFirst, Hybrid Grey Wolf Optimization, and Whale Optimization. The outputs from these algorithms are fed into six prediction models to determine the most accurate combination. These models include the neural network, Quest, Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection, support vector machine, CR-tree, and logistic regression models. Subsequently, the developed models are compared to identify the most accurate model based on various performance metrics.
The combination of the hybrid grey wolf and whale models yielded the highest scores in most metrics, achieving a perfect recall and a high F1 score. All models generated similar output, with an accuracy greater than 0.89. Quest, CR-tree, and neural networks are the most reliable and accurate models.
Biomedical sound measurements can be used to develop an accurate and cost-effective Parkinson's prediction model.
The past decade has witnessed significant turmoil and political conflicts in several Middle Eastern countries, such as Egypt, Syria, and Libya, called the Arab Spring. These revolutions did not only ...affect the countries mentioned previously; their neighboring countries were also directly affected. This study explores the impact of the Syrian refugee influx on the stock exchange market of one of its neighboring countries, namely Jordan. The Syrian civil war represents a recent catastrophic event that has resulted in over three million refugees migrating to various countries worldwide. The main objective of this paper is to examine the effect of the Syrian war on Jordan’s stock exchange market. The study utilizes the stock exchange indices as indicators of the performance of the exchange market, including Financials, Services, Industries, and General indices as dependent variables, and seven dummy variables are defined as representatives of the main events occurring in the Syrian civil war during the period 2011–2018 as independent variables. Multiple statistical analysis techniques, including correlation coefficients, error functions, and stepwise regression, are employed to analyze the selected variables. The findings reveal an inverse influence of the Syrian war on Jordan’s stock market. These findings can potentially enhance the development of prediction models for stock indices in Jordan and other countries by incorporating relevant variables.
Coronavirus epidemic caused an emergency in South Korea. The first infected case came to light on 20 January 2020 followed by 9583 more cases that were reported by 29 March 2020. This indicates that ...the number of confirmed cases is increasing rapidly, which can cause a nationwide crisis for the country. The aim of this study is to fill a gap between previous studies and the current rate of spreading of COVID‐19 by extracting a relationship between independent variables and the dependent ones. This study statistically analyzed the effect of factors such as sex, region, infection reasons, birth year, and released or diseased date on the reported number of recovered and deceased cases. The results found that sex, region, and infection reasons affected both recovered and deceased cases, while birth year affected only the deceased cases. Besides, no deceased cases are reported for released cases, while 11.3% of deceased cases positive confirmed after their deceased. Unknown reason of infection is the main variable that detected in South Korea with more than 33% of total infected cases.
Highlights
‐Sex, Birth date, country, and region are significant with the number of deceased cases in South Korea.
‐Multinomial logistic regression is efficient to be used in predicting deceased and recovered cases in South Korea.
‐Confirmed date and infection reasons do not affect on deceased cases based on current data.
‐Confirmed date and region variables are significant with recovered cases.
The air quality index (AQI) can be described using different pollutant indices. Many investigators study the effect of stock prices and air quality in the field to show if there is a relationship ...between changing the stock market and the concentration of various pollutants. This study aims to find a relationship between Saudi Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) and multiple pollutants, including particulate matter (PM10), ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO), and AQI. Based on tree models, the relationship is created using linear regression and two prediction models, Chi-square Automatic Interaction Detection (CHAID), and CR-Tree. In order to achieve the target of this research, the TASI dataset relates to six pollutants using time; afterward, the new dataset is divided into three parts—test, validate, and train—after eliminating the outlier data. In order to test the performance of two prediction models, R2 and various error functions are used. The linear regression model results found that PM10, NO2, CO, month, day, and year are significant, whereas O3, SO2, and AQI indices are insignificant. The test dataset showed that R2 scores are 0.995 and 0.986 for CR-Tree and CHAID, respectively, with RMSE values of 387 and 227 for CR-Tree and CHAID, respectively. The prediction models showed that the CHAID model performed better than CR-Tree because it used only three indices, namely, PM10, AQI, and O3, with year and month. The results indicated an effect between changing TASI and the three pollutants, PM10, AQI, and O3.
Summary
Different solar tracking variables have been employed to build intelligent solar tracking systems without considering the dominant and optimum ones. Thus, several low performance intelligent ...solar tracking systems have been designed and implemented due to the inappropriate combination of solar tracking variables and intelligent predictors to drive the solar trackers. This research aims to investigate and evaluate the most effective and dominant variables on dual‐ and single‐axis solar trackers and to find the appropriate combination of solar variables and intelligent predictors. The optimum variables will be found by using correlation results between different variables and both orientation and tilt angles. Then, to use the selected variables to develop different intelligent solar trackers. The results revealed that month, day, and time are the most effective variables for horizontal single‐axis and dual‐axis solar tracking systems. Using these variables in cascade multilayer perceptron (CMLP) and multilayer perceptron (MLP) produced high performance. These predictors could predict both orientation and tilt angles efficiently. It is found that day variable is very effective to increase the performance of solar trackers although day variable is neither correlated nor significant with both orientation and tilt angles. Linear regression predicted less than 70% of the given data in most cases, whereas nonlinear models could predict the optimum orientation and tilt angles. In single‐axis tracker, month, day, and time variables achieved prediction rates of 96.85% and 96.83% for three hidden layers of MLP and CMLP, respectively, whereas the MSE are 0.0025 and 0.0008, respectively. In dual‐axis solar tracker, MLP and CMLP predicted 96.68% and 97.98% respectively, with MSE of 0.0007 for both.
This research aims to investigate and evaluate the most effective and dominant variables on dual and horizontal single‐axis solar trackers and to find the appropriate combination of solar variables and intelligent predictors. The optimum variables will be found by using correlation results between different variables and both orientation and tilt angles. In single‐axis tracker, month, day, and time variables achieved predictions rates of 96.85% and 96.83% for three hidden layers of MLP and CMLP, respectively. In dual‐axis solar trackers, MLP and CMLP predicted 96.68% and 97.98% respectively.
Intelligent solar tracking systems to track the trajectory of the sun across the sky has been actively studied and proposed nowadays. Several low performance intelligent solar tracking systems have ...been designed and implemented. Multilayer perceptron (MLP) is one of the common controllers that used to drive solar tracking systems. However, when the input data are complex for neural network, neural network would not well explain the relationship between these data. Thus, it performed worse than when the input data are simple. Using a premapping of relationship between samples of data as input to neural network along with the original input data could probably a strong guide to help neural network to reach the desired goal and predict the output variables faster and more accurate. It is found that using the output of logistic regression as input to neural network would faster the process of finding the predicted output by neural network. Thus, this study aims to propose new efficient and low complexity single and dual axis solar tracking systems by integrating supervised logistic regression (LR) and supervised MLP or cascade multilayer perceptron (CMLP). LR models are trained by using one of unsupervised clustering techniques (k‐means, fuzzy c‐means, and hierarchical clustering algorithms). The proposed models were used to predict both tilt and orientation angles by two different data sets (month, day, and time variables data set) and (month, day, time, Isc, Voc, and power radiation variables data sets). The results revealed that the proposed MLP/CMLP‐LR systems are able to increase the prediction rate and decrease the mean square error rate as compared to conventional models in both single and dual axis solar tracking systems. The new developed intelligent systems achieved less number of overall connections, less number of neurons, and less time complexity. The finding suggests that the proposed intelligent solar tracking systems has a great potential to be applied for real‐world applications (i.e., solar heating systems, solar lightening systems, factories, and solar powered ventilation.