This paper summarizes the technical activities of the Task Force on Power System Dynamic State and Parameter Estimation. This Task Force was established by the IEEE Working Group on State Estimation ...Algorithms to investigate the added benefits of dynamic state and parameter estimation for the enhancement of the reliability, security, and resilience of electric power systems. The motivations and engineering values of dynamic state estimation (DSE) are discussed in detail. Then, a set of potential applications that will rely on DSE is presented and discussed. Furthermore, a unified framework is proposed to clarify the important concepts related to DSE, forecasting-aided state estimation, tracking state estimation, and static state estimation. An overview of the current progress in DSE and dynamic parameter estimation is provided. The paper also provides future research needs and directions for the power engineering community.
Sensing and measurement systems are quintessential to the safe and reliable operation of electric power grids. Their strategic placement is of ultimate importance because it is not economically ...viable to install measurement systems on every node and branch of a power grid, though they need to be monitored. An overwhelming number of strategies have been developed to meet oftentimes multiple conflicting objectives. The prime challenge in formulating the problem lies in developing a heuristic or an optimisation model that, though mathematically tractable and constrained in cost, leads to trustworthy technical solutions. Further, large‐scale, long‐term deployments pose additional challenges because the boundary conditions change as technologies evolve. For instance, the advent of new technologies in sensing and measurement, as well as in communications and networking, might impact the cost and performance of available solutions and shift initially set conditions. Also, the placement strategies developed for transmission grids might not be suitable for distribution grids, and vice versa, because of unique characteristics; therefore, the strategies need to be flexible, to a certain extent, because no two power grids are alike. Despite the extensive literature on the present topic, the focus of published works tends to be on a specific subject, such as the optimal placement of measurements to ensure observability in transmission grids. There is a dearth of work providing a comprehensive picture for developing optimal placement strategies. Because of the ongoing efforts on the modernisation of electric power grids, there is a need to consolidate the status quo while exposing its limitations to inform policymakers, industry stakeholders, and researchers on the research‐and‐development needs to push the boundaries for innovation. Accordingly, this paper first reviews the state‐of‐the‐art considering both transmission and distribution grids. Then, it consolidates the key factors to be considered in the problem formulation. Finally, it provides a set of perspectives on the measurement placement problem, and it concludes with future research directions.
This paper develops a robust dynamic mode decomposition (RDMD) method endowed with statistical and numerical robustness. Statistical robustness ensures estimation efficiency at the Gaussian and ...non-Gaussian probability distributions, including heavy-tailed distributions. The proposed RDMD is statistically robust because the outliers in the data set are flagged via projection statistics and suppressed using a Schweppe-type Huber generalized maximum-likelihood estimator that minimizes a convex Huber cost function. The latter is solved using the iteratively reweighted least-squares algorithm that is known to exhibit an excellent convergence property and numerical stability than the Newton algorithms. Several numerical simulations using canonical models of dynamical systems demonstrate the excellent performance of the proposed RDMD method. The results reveal that it outperforms several other methods proposed in the literature.
This paper develops a robust estimator of correlation as a data preprocessing stage to the Prony method that is able to suppress white impulsive noise. The method consists of the following steps. ...First, the bus voltage magnitudes and phase angles are combined to build a set of complex-valued measurements. Second, the outliers of the complex-valued data samples, which are induced by impulsive noise, are identified and suppressed using the iteratively reweighted phase-phase correlator; the latter is a robust estimator of correlation for complex-valued Gaussian processes, which has been extended here to handle outliers in both magnitude and phase angle of voltage phasor measurements. Finally, the classical Prony method is applied on the robustly estimated voltage phase angles. The good performance of the proposed method is demonstrated through simulations carried out on the two-area four-machine system, on the simplified WECC 179-bus system, as well as on real PMU data. Simulation results show that the method is very fast to compute and is compatible with real-time application requirements.
This paper develops a robust generalized maximum-likelihood Koopman operator-based Kalman filter (GM-KKF) to estimate the rotor angle and speed of synchronous generators. The approach is data driven ...and model independent. Its design phase is carried out offline and requires estimates of the synchronous generators' rotor angle and speed, along with active and reactive power at the generators' terminal; in real-time operation, only measurements of the rotor speed, active, and reactive power are used. We first investigate the probability distribution of the transformed dynamic states by means of Q-Q plots and verify that the states of the GM-KKF approximately follow a Student's t -distribution with 20 degrees of freedom when the initial state vector is normally distributed. Under this assumption, our filter presents high statistical efficiency. Numerical simulations carried out on the IEEE 39-bus test system reveal that the GM-KKF has a faster convergence rate than the non-robust Koopman operator-based Kalman filter thanks to the adoption of a batch-mode regression formulation. They also show that the computing time of the GM-KKF is roughly reduced by one-third as compared to the one taken by our previously developed robust GM-extended Kalman filter.
This paper develops a robust iterated extended Kalman filter (EKF) based on the generalized maximum likelihood approach (termed GM-IEKF) for estimating power system state dynamics when subjected to ...disturbances. The proposed GM-IEKF dynamic state estimator is able to track system transients in a faster and more reliable way than the conventional EKF and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF) thanks to its batch-mode regression form and its robustness to innovation and observation outliers, even in position of leverage. Innovation outliers may be caused by impulsive noise in the dynamic state model while observation outliers may be due to large biases, cyber attacks, or temporary loss of communication links of PMUs. Good robustness and high statistical efficiency under Gaussian noise are achieved via the minimization of the Huber convex cost function of the standardized residuals. The latter is weighted via a function of robust distances of the two-time sequence of the predicted state and innovation vectors and calculated by means of the projection statistics. The state estimation error covariance matrix is derived using the total influence function, resulting in a robust state prediction in the next time step. Simulation results carried out on the IEEE 39-bus test system demonstrate the good performance of the GM-IEKF under Gaussian and non-Gaussian process and observation noise.
We propose a Koopman operator-based surrogate model for propagating parameter uncertainties in power system nonlinear dynamic simulations. First, we augment a priori known state-space model by ...reformulating parameters deemed uncertain as pseudo-state variables. Then, we apply the Koopman operator theory to the resulting state-space model and obtain a linear dynamical system model. This transformation allows us to analyze the evolution of the system dynamics through its Koopman eigenfunctions, eigenvalues, and modes. Of particular importance for this letter, the obtained linear dynamical system is a surrogate that enables the evaluation of parameter uncertainties by simply perturbing the initial conditions of the Koopman eigenfunctions associated with the pseudo-state variables. Simulations carried out on the New England test system reveal the excellent performance of the proposed method in terms of accuracy and computational efficiency.
•A comprehensive review of inertia estimation techniques is provided for SGs, including the model-based and measurement-based approaches.•This is the first attempt to propose new potential algorithms ...for the estimation of the inertia from different VIE-based CIGs according to their various control characteristics.•New insights for future work on quantifying power system inertia considering CIGs and their potential applications are extensively discussed.
Understanding and quantifying the inertia of power systems with the integration of converter-interfaced generation (CIG) plays an essential role in the safe transition to a future low-inertia scenario. This paper provides a comprehensive summary of inertia definitions for both synchronous generators and CIGs as well as their corresponding estimation methods. In particular, the estimation methods are categorized as model-based and measurement-based approaches considering both small and large disturbances. The advantages and disadvantages of different methods are carefully discussed. This paper also offers for the first time a framework to quantify the virtual inertia of CIGs at the component and aggregation levels, an open problem in the literature. Finally, future directions for inertia estimation are identified and discussed. This significantly benefits the design of appropriate control and protection schemes in achieving a more reliable, secure, and resilient power system.
The saturation of the nonlinear magnetic circuit of synchronous generators is often neglected when performing Kalman filter-based dynamic state estimation (DSE), yielding significant estimation bias. ...This letter addresses this problem and proposes a generalized DSE framework to handle magnetic saturation. Moreover, this letter derives a state initialization procedure that improves the Kalman filter tracking speed. The framework is flexible in dealing with different saturation functions and generator models. Numerical results on the Texas 2000-bus system verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.
We report the saturation of the nonlinear magnetic circuit of synchronous generators is often neglected when performing Kalman filter-based dynamic state estimation (DSE), yielding significant ...estimation bias. This letter addresses this problem and proposes a generalized DSE framework to handle magnetic saturation. Moreover, this letter derives a state initialization procedure that improves the Kalman filter tracking speed. The framework is flexible in dealing with different saturation functions and generator models. Numerical results on the Texas 2000-bus system verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.
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