Subtype heterogeneity for breast cancer risk factors has been suspected, potentially reflecting etiologic differences and implicating risk prediction. However, reports are conflicting regarding the ...presence of heterogeneity for many exposures. To examine subtype heterogeneity across known breast cancer risk factors, we conducted a case-control analysis of 2,632 breast cancers and 15,945 controls in Sweden. Molecular subtype was predicted from pathology record-derived IHC markers by a classifier trained on PAM50 subtyping. Multinomial logistic regression estimated separate ORs for each subtype by the exposures parity, age at first birth, breastfeeding, menarche, hormone replacement therapy use, somatotype at age 18, benign breast disease, mammographic density, polygenic risk score, family history of breast cancer, and BRCA mutations. We found clear subtype heterogeneity for genetic factors and breastfeeding. Polygenic risk score was associated with all subtypes except for the basal-like (
< 0.0001). "Never breastfeeding" was associated with increased risk of basal-like subtype OR 4.17; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.89-9.21 compared with both nulliparity (reference) and breastfeeding. Breastfeeding was not associated with risk of HER2-overexpressing type, but protective for all other subtypes. The observed heterogeneity in risk of distinct breast cancer subtypes for germline variants supports heterogeneity in etiology and has implications for their use in risk prediction. The association between basal-like subtype and breastfeeding merits more research into potential causal mechanisms and confounders.
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An increasing volume of prostate biopsies and a worldwide shortage of urological pathologists puts a strain on pathology departments. Additionally, the high intra-observer and inter-observer ...variability in grading can result in overtreatment and undertreatment of prostate cancer. To alleviate these problems, we aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) system with clinically acceptable accuracy for prostate cancer detection, localisation, and Gleason grading.
We digitised 6682 slides from needle core biopsies from 976 randomly selected participants aged 50–69 in the Swedish prospective and population-based STHLM3 diagnostic study done between May 28, 2012, and Dec 30, 2014 (ISRCTN84445406), and another 271 from 93 men from outside the study. The resulting images were used to train deep neural networks for assessment of prostate biopsies. The networks were evaluated by predicting the presence, extent, and Gleason grade of malignant tissue for an independent test dataset comprising 1631 biopsies from 246 men from STHLM3 and an external validation dataset of 330 biopsies from 73 men. We also evaluated grading performance on 87 biopsies individually graded by 23 experienced urological pathologists from the International Society of Urological Pathology. We assessed discriminatory performance by receiver operating characteristics and tumour extent predictions by correlating predicted cancer length against measurements by the reporting pathologist. We quantified the concordance between grades assigned by the AI system and the expert urological pathologists using Cohen's kappa.
The AI achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0·997 (95% CI 0·994–0·999) for distinguishing between benign (n=910) and malignant (n=721) biopsy cores on the independent test dataset and 0·986 (0·972–0·996) on the external validation dataset (benign n=108, malignant n=222). The correlation between cancer length predicted by the AI and assigned by the reporting pathologist was 0·96 (95% CI 0·95–0·97) for the independent test dataset and 0·87 (0·84–0·90) for the external validation dataset. For assigning Gleason grades, the AI achieved a mean pairwise kappa of 0·62, which was within the range of the corresponding values for the expert pathologists (0·60–0·73).
An AI system can be trained to detect and grade cancer in prostate needle biopsy samples at a ranking comparable to that of international experts in prostate pathology. Clinical application could reduce pathology workload by reducing the assessment of benign biopsies and by automating the task of measuring cancer length in positive biopsy cores. An AI system with expert-level grading performance might contribute a second opinion, aid in standardising grading, and provide pathology expertise in parts of the world where it does not exist.
Swedish Research Council, Swedish Cancer Society, Swedish eScience Research Center, EIT Health.
Tumors are composed of multiple cell types besides the tumor cells themselves, including innate immune cells such as macrophages. Tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) are a heterogeneous population of ...myeloid cells present in the tumor microenvironment (TME). Here, they contribute to immunosuppression, enabling the establishment and persistence of solid tumors as well as metastatic dissemination. We have found that the pattern recognition scavenger receptor MARCO defines a subtype of suppressive TAMs and is linked to clinical outcome. An anti-MARCO monoclonal antibody was developed, which induces anti-tumor activity in breast and colon carcinoma, as well as in melanoma models through reprogramming TAM populations to a pro-inflammatory phenotype and increasing tumor immunogenicity. This anti-tumor activity is dependent on the inhibitory Fc-receptor, FcγRIIB, and also enhances the efficacy of checkpoint therapy. These results demonstrate that immunotherapies using antibodies designed to modify myeloid cells of the TME represent a promising mode of cancer treatment.
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•Scavenger receptor MARCO is expressed by suppressive tumor-associated macrophages•Antibody targeting of MARCO-expressing TAMs blocks tumor growth and metastasis•Anti-MARCO enhances the effect of checkpoint therapy in melanoma and colon carcinoma•MARCO is expressed on TAMs in human breast cancer and metastatic melanoma
Georgoudaki et al. show that tumor-associated macrophages can be targeted using an antibody toward the pattern recognition receptor MARCO. This results in altered macrophage polarization and a reduction in tumor growth and metastasis.
To infer the prognostic value of simultaneous androgen receptor (
) and
profiling in liquid biopsies from patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) starting a new line of
...signaling inhibitors (ARSi).
Between March 2014 and April 2017, we recruited patients with mCRPC (
= 168) prior to ARSi in a cohort study encompassing 10 European centers. Blood samples were collected for comprehensive profiling of CellSearch-enriched circulating tumor cells (CTC) and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). Targeted CTC RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) allowed the detection of eight
splice variants (ARV). Low-pass whole-genome and targeted gene-body sequencing of
and
was applied to identify amplifications, loss of heterozygosity, mutations, and structural rearrangements in ctDNA. Clinical or radiologic progression-free survival (PFS) was estimated by Kaplan-Meier analysis, and independent associations were determined using multivariable Cox regression models.
Overall, no single
perturbation remained associated with adverse prognosis after multivariable analysis. Instead, tumor burden estimates (CTC counts, ctDNA fraction, and visceral metastases) were significantly associated with PFS.
inactivation harbored independent prognostic value HR 1.88; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.18-3.00;
= 0.008, and outperformed ARV expression and detection of genomic
alterations. Using Cox coefficient analysis of clinical parameters and
status, we identified three prognostic groups with differing PFS estimates (median, 14.7 vs. 7.51 vs. 2.62 months;
< 0.0001), which was validated in an independent mCRPC cohort (
= 202) starting first-line ARSi (median, 14.3 vs. 6.39 vs. 2.23 months;
< 0.0001).
In an all-comer cohort, tumor burden estimates and
outperform any
perturbation to infer prognosis.See related commentary by Rebello et al., p. 1699.
Abstract Background Nottingham histological grade (NHG) is a well established prognostic factor in breast cancer histopathology but has a high inter-assessor variability with many tumours being ...classified as intermediate grade, NHG2. Here, we evaluate if DeepGrade, a previously developed model for risk stratification of resected tumour specimens, could be applied to risk-stratify tumour biopsy specimens. Methods A total of 11,955,755 tiles from 1169 whole slide images of preoperative biopsies from 896 patients diagnosed with breast cancer in Stockholm, Sweden, were included. DeepGrade, a deep convolutional neural network model, was applied for the prediction of low- and high-risk tumours. It was evaluated against clinically assigned grades NHG1 and NHG3 on the biopsy specimen but also against the grades assigned to the corresponding resection specimen using area under the operating curve (AUC). The prognostic value of the DeepGrade model in the biopsy setting was evaluated using time-to-event analysis. Results Based on preoperative biopsy images, the DeepGrade model predicted resected tumour cases of clinical grades NHG1 and NHG3 with an AUC of 0.908 (95% CI: 0.88; 0.93). Furthermore, out of the 432 resected clinically-assigned NHG2 tumours, 281 (65%) were classified as DeepGrade-low and 151 (35%) as DeepGrade-high. Using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model the hazard ratio between DeepGrade low- and high-risk groups was estimated as 2.01 (95% CI: 1.06; 3.79). Conclusions DeepGrade provided prediction of tumour grades NHG1 and NHG3 on the resection specimen using only the biopsy specimen. The results demonstrate that the DeepGrade model can provide decision support to identify high-risk tumours based on preoperative biopsies, thus improving early treatment decisions.
Histological grade is a well-known prognostic factor that is routinely assessed in breast tumours. However, manual assessment of Nottingham Histological Grade (NHG) has high inter-assessor and ...inter-laboratory variability, causing uncertainty in grade assignments. To address this challenge, we developed and validated a three-level NHG-like deep learning-based histological grade model (predGrade). The primary performance evaluation focuses on prognostic performance.
This observational study is based on two patient cohorts (SöS-BC-4, N = 2421 (training and internal test); SCAN-B-Lund, N = 1262 (test)) that include routine histological whole-slide images (WSIs) together with patient outcomes. A deep convolutional neural network (CNN) model with an attention mechanism was optimised for the classification of the three-level histological grading (NHG) from haematoxylin and eosin-stained WSIs. The prognostic performance was evaluated by time-to-event analysis of recurrence-free survival and compared to clinical NHG grade assignments in the internal test set as well as in the fully independent external test cohort.
We observed effect sizes (hazard ratio) for grade 3 versus 1, for the conventional NHG method (HR = 2.60 (1.18-5.70 95%CI, p-value = 0.017)) and the deep learning model (HR = 2.27, 95%CI 1.07-4.82, p-value = 0.033) on the internal test set after adjusting for established clinicopathological risk factors. In the external test set, the unadjusted HR for clinical NHG 2 versus 1 was estimated to be 2.59 (p-value = 0.004) and clinical NHG 3 versus 1 was estimated to be 3.58 (p-value < 0.001). For predGrade, the unadjusted HR for predGrade 2 versus 1 HR = 2.52 (p-value = 0.030), and 4.07 (p-value = 0.001) for preGrade 3 versus 1 was observed in the independent external test set. In multivariable analysis, HR estimates for neither clinical NHG nor predGrade were found to be significant (p-value > 0.05). We tested for differences in HR estimates between NHG and predGrade in the independent test set and found no significant difference between the two classification models (p-value > 0.05), confirming similar prognostic performance between conventional NHG and predGrade.
Routine histopathology assessment of NHG has a high degree of inter-assessor variability, motivating the development of model-based decision support to improve reproducibility in histological grading. We found that the proposed model (predGrade) provides a similar prognostic performance as clinical NHG. The results indicate that deep CNN-based models can be applied for breast cancer histological grading.
Humans have evolved intimate symbiotic relationships with a consortium of gut microbes (microbiome) and individual variations in the microbiome influence host health, may be implicated in disease ...etiology, and affect drug metabolism, toxicity, and efficacy. However, the molecular basis of these microbe-host interactions and the roles of individual bacterial species are obscure. We now demonstrate a"transgenomic" approach to link gut microbiome and metabolic phenotype (metabotype) variation. We have used a combination of spectroscopic, microbiomic, and multivariate statistical tools to analyze fecal and urinary samples from seven Chinese individuals (sampled twice) and to model the microbial-host metabolic connectivities. At the species level, we found structural differences in the Chinese family gut microbiomes and those reported for American volunteers, which is consistent with population microbial cometabolic differences reported in epidemiological studies. We also introduce the concept of functional metagenomics, defined as "the characterization of key functional members of the microbiome that most influence host metabolism and hence health." For example, Faecalibacterium prausnitzii population variation is associated with modulation of eight urinary metabolites of diverse structure, indicating that this species is a highly functionally active member of the microbiome, influencing numerous host pathways. Other species were identified showing different and varied metabolic interactions. Our approach for understanding the dynamic basis of host-microbiome symbiosis provides a foundation for the development of functional metagenomics as a probe of systemic effects of drugs and diet that are of relevance to personal and public health care solutions.
The histologic grade (HG) of breast cancer is an established prognostic factor. The grade is usually reported on a scale ranging from 1 to 3, where grade 3 tumours are the most aggressive. However, ...grade 2 is associated with an intermediate risk of recurrence, and carries limited information for clinical decision-making. Patients classified as grade 2 are at risk of both under- and over-treatment.
RNA-sequencing analysis was conducted in a cohort of 275 women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer. Multivariate prediction models were developed to classify tumours into high and low transcriptomic grade (TG) based on gene- and isoform-level expression data from RNA-sequencing. HG2 tumours were reclassified according to the prediction model and a recurrence-free survival analysis was performed by the multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model to assess to what extent the TG model could be used to stratify patients. The prediction model was validated in N=487 breast cancer cases from the The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data set. Differentially expressed genes and isoforms associated with HGs were analysed using linear models.
The classification of grade 1 and grade 3 tumours based on RNA-sequencing data achieved high accuracy (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.97). The association between recurrence-free survival rate and HGs was confirmed in the study population (hazard ratio of grade 3 versus 1 was 2.62 with 95 % confidence interval = 1.04-6.61). The TG model enabled us to reclassify grade 2 tumours as high TG and low TG gene or isoform grade. The risk of recurrence in the high TG group of grade 2 tumours was higher than in low TG group (hazard ratio = 2.43, 95 % confidence interval = 1.13-5.20). We found 8200 genes and 13,809 isoforms that were differentially expressed between HG1 and HG3 breast cancer tumours.
Gene- and isoform-level expression data from RNA-sequencing could be utilised to differentiate HG1 and HG3 tumours with high accuracy. We identified a large number of novel genes and isoforms associated with HG. Grade 2 tumours could be reclassified as high and low TG, which has the potential to reduce over- and under-treatment if implemented clinically.
Accurate detection of invasive breast cancer (IC) can provide decision support to pathologists as well as improve downstream computational analyses, where detection of IC is a first step. Tissue ...containing IC is characterized by the presence of specific morphological features, which can be learned by convolutional neural networks (CNN). Here, we compare the use of a single CNN model versus an ensemble of several base models with the same CNN architecture, and we evaluate prediction performance as well as variability across ensemble based model predictions.
Two in-house datasets comprising 587 whole slide images (WSI) are used to train an ensemble of ten InceptionV3 models whose consensus is used to determine the presence of IC. A novel visualisation strategy was developed to communicate ensemble agreement spatially. Performance was evaluated in an internal test set with 118 WSIs, and in an additional external dataset (TCGA breast cancer) with 157 WSI.
We observed that the ensemble-based strategy outperformed the single CNN-model alternative with respect to accuracy on tile level in 89 % of all WSIs in the test set. The overall accuracy was 0.92 (DICE coefficient, 0.90) for the ensemble model, and 0.85 (DICE coefficient, 0.83) for the single CNN alternative in the internal test set. For TCGA the ensemble outperformed the single CNN in 96.8 % of the WSI, with an accuracy of 0.87 (DICE coefficient 0.89), the single model provides an accuracy of 0.75 (DICE coefficient 0.78).
The results suggest that an ensemble-based modeling strategy for breast cancer invasive cancer detection consistently outperforms the conventional single model alternative. Furthermore, visualisation of the ensemble agreement and confusion areas provide direct visual interpretation of the results. High performing cancer detection can provide decision support in the routine pathology setting as well as facilitate downstream computational analyses.
•Improved detection of BC pathologies is beneficial for downstream tasks.•Ensembles of deep learning models are theoretically guaranteed to improve detection.•Each ensemble is trained with independent sets of 580+ WSI, a total of 2.5 M images.•The ensemble is trained on two datasets and evaluates on external datasets.•Visualisation of ensemble agreement points to areas that need human attention.
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