From the moment governments began making money from levying duty on imported goods, a smuggling trade developed to avoid paying such taxes. Whilst the popular image of historic smuggling remains a ...romantic one, this book makes clear that the illicit trade could be a large-scale and systematic business that relied on the connivance of well-connected merchants. Taking the port of Bristol as a case study, the book provides the most sophisticated historical study ever undertaken of the smugglers' trade, in England or abroad. Following on from the author's prize-winning article in Economic History Review, the volume employs the business accounts of sixteenth-century merchants to reconstruct their illicit operations. It presents a detailed analysis of the merchants' illegal businesses, assessing how individual merchants, and Bristol's commercial class, were able to protect their contraband trade. More fundamentally, it examines how and why the illicit trade developed, why the Crown was unable to suppress it, and the role smuggling played within Bristol's wider economy. Through an investigation of these matters the study explores a world that has long attracted popular interest, but which has always been assumed to be immune to serious historical investigation. The book offers a pioneering study, demonstrating that a detailed examination of a particular time and place, based on a close and integrated reading of both official and private records, can make it possible for historians to investigate illicit economies to a greater degree than has previously been believed possible.
The Modified Bristol Stool Form Scale Wegh, Carrie A.M.; Hermes, Gerben D.A.; Schoterman, Margriet H.C. ...
Journal of pediatric gastroenterology and nutrition,
August 2021, Letnik:
73, Številka:
2
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Odprti dostop
ABSTRACT
Objective:
The aim of the study was to assess whether the modified Bristol Stool Form Scale (m‐BSFS) is reliable, valid and user‐friendly to use by parents, grandparents, and day childcare ...employees to evaluate stool consistency in toilet and nontoilet‐trained toddlers in the Netherlands.
Study design:
Translation to Dutch and validity of the m‐BSFS (scoring 32 general stool pictures) for 1 to 3 year old toddlers (n = 89) was evaluated by parents, grandparents, and day childcare employees. A subgroup of participants scored an additional 7 pictures of stools in a diaper to validate the m‐BSFS for non‐toilet‐trained toddlers (n = 16). To determine inter‐rater reliability, 2‐way random effects single‐rater intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC)consistency was used. Intra‐rater reliability was measured by Cohen kappa (κ) by rating the same pictures in random order twice, with at least 1 week between the first and second scoring.
Results:
Inter‐ and intra‐rater reliability of the m‐BSFS were above recommended minimal standards of 0.61 for the 32 general stool pictures as well as for the 7 pictures of stools in a diaper. ICCconsistency for the general stool pictures of the first and second ratings were 0.71 (n = 89) and 0.79 (n = 77), respectively, with a κ of 0.71 (n = 77). ICCconsistency for the stools in diaper pictures of the first and second ratings were 0.93 (n = 16) and 0.93 (n = 15), respectively, with a κ of 0.77 (n = 15).
Conclusions:
The m‐BSFS is reliable, valid and user‐friendly to use by Dutch‐speaking parents, grandparents, and day childcare workers to evaluate stool consistency in both toilet‐ and nontoilet‐trained toddlers in the Netherlands.
Summary Background National levels of personal health-care access and quality can be approximated by measuring mortality rates from causes that should not be fatal in the presence of effective ...medical care (ie, amenable mortality). Previous analyses of mortality amenable to health care only focused on high-income countries and faced several methodological challenges. In the present analysis, we use the highly standardised cause of death and risk factor estimates generated through the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) to improve and expand the quantification of personal health-care access and quality for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2015. Methods We mapped the most widely used list of causes amenable to personal health care developed by Nolte and McKee to 32 GBD causes. We accounted for variations in cause of death certification and misclassifications through the extensive data standardisation processes and redistribution algorithms developed for GBD. To isolate the effects of personal health-care access and quality, we risk-standardised cause-specific mortality rates for each geography-year by removing the joint effects of local environmental and behavioural risks, and adding back the global levels of risk exposure as estimated for GBD 2015. We employed principal component analysis to create a single, interpretable summary measure–the Healthcare Quality and Access (HAQ) Index–on a scale of 0 to 100. The HAQ Index showed strong convergence validity as compared with other health-system indicators, including health expenditure per capita (r=0·88), an index of 11 universal health coverage interventions ( r =0·83), and human resources for health per 1000 ( r =0·77). We used free disposal hull analysis with bootstrapping to produce a frontier based on the relationship between the HAQ Index and the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a measure of overall development consisting of income per capita, average years of education, and total fertility rates. This frontier allowed us to better quantify the maximum levels of personal health-care access and quality achieved across the development spectrum, and pinpoint geographies where gaps between observed and potential levels have narrowed or widened over time. Findings Between 1990 and 2015, nearly all countries and territories saw their HAQ Index values improve; nonetheless, the difference between the highest and lowest observed HAQ Index was larger in 2015 than in 1990, ranging from 28·6 to 94·6. Of 195 geographies, 167 had statistically significant increases in HAQ Index levels since 1990, with South Korea, Turkey, Peru, China, and the Maldives recording among the largest gains by 2015. Performance on the HAQ Index and individual causes showed distinct patterns by region and level of development, yet substantial heterogeneities emerged for several causes, including cancers in highest-SDI countries; chronic kidney disease, diabetes, diarrhoeal diseases, and lower respiratory infections among middle-SDI countries; and measles and tetanus among lowest-SDI countries. While the global HAQ Index average rose from 40·7 (95% uncertainty interval, 39·0–42·8) in 1990 to 53·7 (52·2–55·4) in 2015, far less progress occurred in narrowing the gap between observed HAQ Index values and maximum levels achieved; at the global level, the difference between the observed and frontier HAQ Index only decreased from 21·2 in 1990 to 20·1 in 2015. If every country and territory had achieved the highest observed HAQ Index by their corresponding level of SDI, the global average would have been 73·8 in 2015. Several countries, particularly in eastern and western sub-Saharan Africa, reached HAQ Index values similar to or beyond their development levels, whereas others, namely in southern sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, and south Asia, lagged behind what geographies of similar development attained between 1990 and 2015. Interpretation This novel extension of the GBD Study shows the untapped potential for personal health-care access and quality improvement across the development spectrum. Amid substantive advances in personal health care at the national level, heterogeneous patterns for individual causes in given countries or territories suggest that few places have consistently achieved optimal health-care access and quality across health-system functions and therapeutic areas. This is especially evident in middle-SDI countries, many of which have recently undergone or are currently experiencing epidemiological transitions. The HAQ Index, if paired with other measures of health-system characteristics such as intervention coverage, could provide a robust avenue for tracking progress on universal health coverage and identifying local priorities for strengthening personal health-care quality and access throughout the world. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
In the late 1980s, a potentially significant site with links to the city's medieval Jews was discovered in Bristol. The site has 'Scheduled Monument' status, granted by Historic England, and has been ...described as a ritual bath, ranging from mikveh to bet tohorah. This paper takes an interdisciplinary approach, discussing the complexities of interpreting the monument, its authenticity, and significance to the memory of local medieval Jewish history. This paper highlights utilises the historical narrative of the site and the roles of multiple stakeholders to frame wider considerations of prominent issues concerning identity, authority and ownership.
An Open Access edition will be available on publication. The murder of George Floyd in 2020, the renewed international take up of the cry Black Lives Matter and the subsequent toppling of a statue ...commemorating slave-merchant-turned-philanthropist Edward Colston in Bristol provoked urgent questions on memorialisation, white privilege, social justice and repair. Debates on how legacies of colonialism and empire in Britain should be addressed spilled out of the scholarly world into the public discourse. In the immediate wake of the statue toppling this book offers a unique, distinctive and timely contribution to those debates: a series of voices and experiences are offered as critical commentaries and accounts of recent interventions on an official heritage narrative. It sets out to break the ‘dead silence’, by bringing together diverse perspectives from academics, artists, activists, heritage professionals and tourist guides. The book offers fresh insights, referencing work attending to the impacts and legacies of colonisation primarily in Bath and Bristol, augmented with comparative contributions from Lancaster and Mexico offering significant and pertinent resonances. A range of strategies are explored towards enabling silenced voices to be heard and engage in conversations about how the past is represented, including Co-Creation, new agonistic museum practices, innovative creative and somatic approaches.
How local geomorphic and hydrologic features mediate the sensitivity of stream thermal regimes to variation in climatic conditions remains a critical uncertainty in understanding aquatic ecosystem ...responses to climate change. We used stable isotopes of hydrogen and oxygen to estimate contributions of snow and rainfall to 80 boreal streams and show that differences in snow contribution are controlled by watershed topography. Time series analysis of stream thermal regimes revealed that streams in rain‐dominated, low‐elevation watersheds were 5–8 times more sensitive to variation in summer air temperature compared to streams draining steeper topography whose flows were dominated by snowmelt. This effect was more pronounced across the landscape in early summer and less distinct in late summer. Thus, the impact of climate warming on freshwater thermal regimes will be spatially heterogeneous across river basins as controlled by geomorphic features. However, thermal heterogeneity may be lost with reduced snowpack and increased ratios of rain to snow in stream discharge.
Key Points
Topography controls hydrology and thereby mediates stream thermal regimes
Snowmelt thermally buffers streams to air temperature in steeper watersheds
Thermal heterogeneity across river basins could be lost with reduced snowpack
Declining Bristol Bay red king crab (BBRKC) abundance has triggered recent closures of this iconic Bering Sea fishery and raised interest in bycatch in non-directed fisheries as a possible ...conservation concern. One particular concern is the effectiveness of static closed areas for bycatch fisheries in an era of climate warming and widespread distribution shifts. However, spatial data for supporting management decisions concerning bycatch is lacking, as fisheries-independent data are collected only in the summer, and the relationship to BBRKC distribution in the fall/winter/spring, when most bycatch occurs, is unknown. We filled this information gap by using fishery-dependent data to build predictive models of BBRKC bycatch distribution in non-pelagic trawl groundfish fisheries in the data-poor seasons. We trained Boosted Regression Tree models for bycatch occurrence and abundance of four BBRKC sex-size/maturity categories, and evaluation metrics indicated good to excellent predictive ability across all models. We found that flatfish directed-fishery CPUE, summer survey CPUE for BBRKC and flatfish, and depth were important predictors for bycatch occurrence and abundance. Physical variables (ice cover and temperature) were generally less important. We also found strong correlations between the mean latitude of observed bycatch and the summer survey for BBRKC, highlighting the ability of summer survey data to predict non-summer bycatch distributions. BBRKC bycatch prediction is a tractable problem, and our results are the first step towards operating models that may be used to evaluate proposed management actions. We also conclude that northward shifts in fishery-independent and -dependent data suggest the possible value of reassessing decades-old static closure areas for managing BBRKC bycatch.
An increasing number of cities around the world are engaging with the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). How and why? We provide a critical reflection on SDG 'localization' derived from an ...action research project in the city of Bristol, UK. Through a research partnership with local government and non-governmental stakeholders we supported integration of the SDGs into local policy and urban monitoring efforts. Embedding the Goals in local policy making was largely a process of 'translation', which was achieved through a form of 'embedded advocacy' supported by a university-city partnership. We found that the Goals have local convening power, serve as a mechanism for building international city networks, and are instrumentalized by cities to signal global ambitions and progressive identities by embracing an internationally sanctioned policy agenda. New methods and frameworks for monitoring the SDGs are needed to fully realize the emerging 'subnational turn' in global policy.
Studies of a rising middle class in the nineteenth century have suggested that economic success was often accompanied by political influence, and a growing sense of social respectability. Tracing the ...business interests of one family from a grocer's shop in the Cotswolds in the late eighteenth century to the establishment of a Bristol-based, internationally-known company in the nineteenth century, this case study suggests that the growth of denominational life offered wealthy Baptists a particular place of respectability and service.
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