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  • Measuring the effect of inf...
    Ozdemir, Ozgur; Kizildag, Murat; Dogru, Tarik; Madanoglu, Melih

    International journal of hospitality management, 20/May , Letnik: 103
    Journal Article

    This study investigates the effect of infectious disease uncertainty on hotel room demand covering the period 2005–2020. Also, the extent to which the effect of uncertainty borne by infectious diseases varies across different hotels segments are examined. Furthermore, the latest infectious disease pandemic, COVID-19, was used to test the joint impact of state-imposed restrictions and infectious disease uncertainty on hotel room demand. Using Infectious Disease Equity Market Volatility (EMV-ID) tracker as a proxy for uncertainty, the findings showed that infectious disease uncertainty leads to a decline in state-level hotel occupancy both in the short- and long-run. These results rule out the potential confounding effect of state-level restrictions by demonstrating that EMV-ID accounts for additional variance in hotel demand. Findings also indicate that this negative effect is not uniform across hotel segments; the greater levels of state-imposed restrictions lead to decreases in hotel room demand. Practical and research implications are discussed. •The impact infectious diseases induced uncertainty on U.S. hotel industry is examined.•Infectious disease equity market volatility tracker is used as the proxy of uncertainty.•Infectious disease induced uncertainty is negatively associated with hotel room demand in lagged terms.•The negative effect of infectious disease uncertainty is more profound on upscale hotels compared to economy hotels.•States with higher infectious disease-related restrictions experience a greater decline in room demand than states with fewer restrictions.