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  • Prognostic Utility of a Who...
    Kwan, Edmond M.; Fettke, Heidi; Docanto, Maria M.; To, Sarah Q.; Bukczynska, Patricia; Mant, Andrew; Pook, David; Ng, Nicole; Graham, Lisa-Jane K.; Mangiola, Stefano; Segelov, Eva; Mahon, Kate; Davis, Ian D.; Parente, Phillip; Pezaro, Carmel; Todenhöfer, Tilman; Horvath, Lisa G.; Azad, Arun A.

    European urology focus, January 2021, 2021-01-00, 20210101, Letnik: 7, Številka: 1
    Journal Article

    The treatment paradigm for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) has evolved significantly in recent years. Identifying predictive and/or prognostic biomarkers in the context of this rapidly expanding therapeutic armamentarium remains a pressing and unmet clinical need. To develop a prognostic whole-blood gene signature for mCRPC patients. As part of an ongoing prospective, multicentre biomarker research study (Australian Prostate Biomarker Alliance), we enrolled 115 mCRPC patients commencing chemotherapy (n = 34) or androgen receptor (AR) pathway inhibitors therapy (n = 81) and obtained pretreatment whole-blood samples in PAXgene RNA tubes. Gene expression was assessed using reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction. Gene transcripts correlating with overall survival (OS) at p < 0.10 in univariate Cox regression models were incorporated into a multigene signature. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and multivariate analyses were used to assess association with clinical outcomes. Prognostic strength of the signature was estimated using a concordance probability estimate (CPE). Based on univariate analysis for OS, the following genes were incorporated into a multigene signature: AR splice variant 7 (AR-V7), and three androgen-regulated genes: GRHL2, HOXB13, and FOXA1. The number of positive transcripts clearly stratified survival outcomes (median OS: not reached vs 24.8 mo vs 16.2 mo for 0, 1, and ≥2 transcripts, respectively; p = 0.0052). Notably, this multigene signature retained prognostic significance on multivariable analysis (hazard ratio, 2.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.1–4.0; p = 0.019). Moreover, CPE for this model was 0.78, indicating strong discriminative capacity. Limitations include short follow-up time. Our data demonstrate the prognostic utility of a novel whole-blood AR-based signature in mCRPC patients commencing contemporary systemic therapies. Our pragmatic assay requires minimal processing, can be performed in most hospital laboratories, and could represent a key prognostic tool for risk stratification in mCRPC. We found that expression of certain genes associated with the androgen receptor could help determine how long men with advanced prostate cancer survive after starting modern drug therapies. We demonstrated that a whole-blood androgen receptor-based multigene signature was an important prognostic tool in a cohort of metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients receiving contemporaneous systemic treatment. This signature may have a valuable role in upfront risk stratification and prognostication of mCRPC patients.