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  • Pricing the term structure ...
    Adrian, Tobias; Crump, Richard K.; Moench, Emanuel

    Journal of financial economics, 10/2013, Letnik: 110, Številka: 1
    Journal Article

    We show how to price the time series and cross section of the term structure of interest rates using a three-step linear regression approach. Our method allows computationally fast estimation of term structure models with a large number of pricing factors. We present specification tests favoring a model using five principal components of yields as factors. We demonstrate that this model outperforms the Cochrane and Piazzesi (2008) four-factor specification in out-of-sample exercises but generates similar in-sample term premium dynamics. Our regression approach can also incorporate unspanned factors and allows estimation of term structure models without observing a zero-coupon yield curve.