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  • Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia
    BOLLERSLEV, TIM; TODOROV, VIKTOR

    The Journal of finance (New York), December 2011, Letnik: 66, Številka: 6
    Journal Article

    We show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the average equity and variance risk premia. Exploiting the special structure of the jump tails and the pricing thereof, we identify and estimate a new Investor Fears index. The index reveals large time-varying compensation for fears of disasters. Our empirical investigations involve new extreme value theory approximations and high-frequency intraday data for estimating the expected jump tails under the statistical probability measure, and short maturity out-of-the-money options and new model-free implied variation measures for estimating the corresponding risk-neutral expectations.