Institute for Economic Research, Lj. (IERLJ)
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Investicije v raziskave in razvoj v SlovenijiPezdir, RadoV tem delovnem zvezku skušamo aproksimirati trajektorijo bruto investicij v raziskave in razvoj (BIRR) ter oceniti njen nadaljni razvoj s pomočjo nevronskih mrež. V prvem delu raziskave se posvetimo ... pregledu struktur značilnosti sodelovanja med znanostjo in gospodarstvom, s čimer skušamo identificirati najpomembnejše mehanizme povečevanja inovacijske sposobnosti slovenskega gospodarstva. Nato izvedemo različne scenarije razvoja analizirane trajektorije, s čimer želimo preveriti konvergenco trajektorije slovenskih izdatkov za BIRR k ciljnim trajektorijam. Najprej izvedemo aproksimacijo s pomočjo enodimenzionalne nevronske mreže in enostavne napovedi, ki temeljijo na historičnih podatkih povprečne letne stopnje rasti posameznih vhodnih podatkov. Sledi aproksimacija s pomočjo večdimenzionalne nevronske mreže, kjer skušamo ob pomanjkanju pravega strukturalnega modela poiskati nelinearno povezavo med vhodnimi (več dimenzijami) in izhodnimi podatki. Izdelamo napoved s pomočjo uporabe historičnih podatkov za povprečne letne stopnje rasti posameznih vrst vhodnih podatkov. Raziskavo zaključujemo z nekaterimi priporočili nosilcem ekonomske politike.Type of material - scientific monograph ; adult, seriousPublication and manufacture - Ljubljana : Inštitut za civilizacijo in kulturo - ICK, 2005Language - slovenianISBN - 961-6554-05-0COBISS.SI-ID - 222832384
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Inštitut 0000006825 IN: 100002912 Inštitut 6825 IN: 100002912 |
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Pezdir, Rado | 24556 |
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