NTF, Department of Geology, Lj. (NTFGEO)
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Analiza vpliva podnebnih sprememb na količinsko stanje vodonosnikov Zgornjega Posočja : modeliranje odnosa med padavinami in odtokom : diplomsko delo = analysis of climate change influences on quantitative status of aquifers in Upper Soča valley : modelling based on rainfall run-off relationRozman, David, geolog, 1985-Osnovni namen raziskave v diplomski nalogi je preučiti možen vpliv podnebnih sprememb na odtok ter napajanje in količinsko stanje podzemne vode v prihodnosti na območju Zgornjega Posočja s pomočjo ... hidrološkega modela odnosa med padavinami in odtokom. Preučevano območje se nahaja v severozahodni Sloveniji in zajema povodje zgornjega toka reke Soče s pritoki od izvira do vodomerne postaje Doblar. Večina preučevanega območja predstavlja alpsko ozemlje z reliefnimi in podnebnimi posebnostmi, ki jih je potrebno upoštevati pri postavitvi hidrološkega modela. Znotraj območja sem omejil manjša povodja, za katera sem izvedel simulacijo odtoka v prihodnosti s pomočjo programske opreme MIKE11. Pripravil sem natančno napoved količine padavin, evapotranspiracije in temperature zraka. Pri uporabi regionalnega podnebnega modela je zaradi omejene ločljivosti potrebna prostorska ekstrapolacija podatkov in korekcija vhodnih spremenljivk hidrološkega modela, ki sem jo izvedel s primerjavo opazovanih in modeliranih časovnih serij iz preteklosti. Za obdobje od leta 2070 do 2100 je v Zgornjem Posočju v primerjavi z obdobjem od leta 1960 do 1990 napovedan dvig srednje letne temperature zraka za 5°C. Zaradi posledično povečane evapotranspiracije in manjše količine snežnih padavin je napovedano za 3 % zmanjšano napajanje podzemne vode. Z validacijo je bilo ugotovljeno, da so modeli povodij variabilni in razmeroma nezanesljivi. Standardni hidrološki model, ki temeljina odnosu med padavinami in odtokom ni ustrezen za to raziskavo.Type of material - undergraduate thesis ; adult, seriousPublication and manufacture - Ljubljana : [D. Rozman], sep. 2009Language - slovenianCOBISS.SI-ID - 789342
Author
Rozman, David, geolog, 1985-
Other authors
Brenčič, Mihael |
Janža, Mitja
Topics
hidrogeologija |
podnebne spremembe |
vodonosniki |
padavine |
Zgornje Posočje
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NTF, Department of Geology, Lj. |
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Geologija D ROZMAN David Analiza vpliva IN: 000014602 Geologija D ROZMAN David Analiza vpliva IN: 000014602 |
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Database name | Field | Year |
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Links to authors' personal bibliographies | Links to information on researchers in the SICRIS system |
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Rozman, David, geolog, 1985- | ![]() |
Brenčič, Mihael | 14134 |
Janža, Mitja | 19280 |
Source: Personal bibliographies
and: SICRIS
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