Cerebral autosomal dominant arteriopathy with subcortical infarcts and leukoencephalopathy, which is caused by mutations of the NOTCH3 gene, has a large heterogeneous progression, presenting with ...declines of various clinical scores and occurrences of various clinical event. To help assess disease progression, this work focused on predicting the composite endpoint of stroke-free survival time by comparing the performance of Cox proportional hazards regression to that of machine learning models using one of four feature selection approaches applied to demographic, clinical and magnetic resonance imaging observational data collected from a study cohort of 482 patients. The quality of the modeling process and the predictive performance were evaluated in a nested cross-validation procedure using the time-dependent Brier Score and AUC at 5 years from baseline, the former measuring the overall performance including calibration and the latter highlighting the discrimination ability, with both metrics taking into account the presence of right-censoring. The best model for each metric was the componentwise gradient boosting model with a mean Brier score of 0.165 and the random survival forest model with a mean AUC of 0.773, both combined with the LASSO feature selection method.
Background Prognostic factors are lacking in cardiac sarcoidosis (CS), and the effects of immunosuppressive treatments are unclear. Objectives To identify prognostic factors and to assess the effects ...of immunosuppressive drugs on relapse risk in patients presenting with CS. Methods From a cohort of 157 patients with CS with a median follow-up of 7 years, we analysed all cardiac and extra-cardiac data and treatments, and assessed relapse-free and overall survival. Results The 10-year survival rate was 90% (95% CI, 84-96). Baseline factors associated with mortality were the presence of high degree atrioventricular block (HR, 5.56, 95% CI 1.7-18.2, p = 0.005), left ventricular ejection fraction below 40% (HR, 4.88, 95% CI 1.26-18.9, p = 0.022), hypertension (HR, 4.79, 95% CI 1.06-21.7, p = 0.042), abnormal pulmonary function test (HR, 3.27, 95% CI 1.07-10.0, p = 0.038), areas of late gadolinium enhancement on cardiac magnetic resonance (HR, 2.26, 95% CI 0.25-20.4, p = 0.003), and older age (HR per 10 years 1.69, 95% CI 1.13-2.52, p = 0.01). The 10-year relapse-free survival rate for cardiac relapses was 53% (95% CI, 44-63). Baseline factors that were independently associated with cardiac relapse were kidney involvement (HR, 3.35, 95% CI 1.39-8.07, p = 0.007), wall motion abnormalities (HR, 2.30, 95% CI 1.22-4.32, p = 0.010), and left heart failure (HR 2.23, 95% CI 1.12-4.45, p = 0.023). After adjustment for cardiac involvement severity, treatment with intravenous cyclophosphamide was associated with a lower risk of cardiac relapse (HR 0.16, 95% CI 0.033-0.78, p = 0.024). Conclusions Our study identifies putative factors affecting morbidity and mortality in cardiac sarcoidosis patients. Intravenous cyclophosphamide is associated with lower relapse rates.
Inhibitory receptors expressed by T cells mediate tolerance to tumor antigens, with coexpression of these receptors exacerbating this dysfunctional state. Using the VectraR automated multiparametric ...immunofluorescence technique, we quantified intratumoral CD8
T cells coexpressing the inhibitory receptors PD-1 and Tim-3 from patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). A second validation cohort measured the same parameters by cytometry. The percentage of tumor-infiltrating CD8
T cells coexpressing PD-1 and Tim-3 correlated with an aggressive phenotype and a larger tumor size at diagnosis. Coexpression of PD-1 and Tim-3 above the median conferred a higher risk of relapse and a poorer 36-month overall survival. Notably, other CD8
T-cell subsets did not exert a similar effect on overall survival. Moreover, only the PD-1
Tim-3
subset of CD8
T cells exhibited impaired function after stimulation. Our findings establish intratumoral Tim-3
PD1
CD8
T cells as critical mediators of an aggressive phenotype in RCC. Use of the Vectra tool may be useful to identify similarly critical prognostic and predictive biomarkers in other tumor types and their response to immunotherapy.
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To improve the efficiency of clinical trials, leveraging external data on control and/or treatment effects, which is almost always available, appears to be a promising approach.
We used data from the ...experimental arm of the Covidicus trial evaluating high-dose dexamethasone in severely ill and mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients, using published data from the Recovery trial as external data, to estimate the 28-day mortality rate. Primary approaches to deal with external data were applied.
Estimates ranged from 0.241 ignoring the external data up to 0.294 using hierarchical Bayesian models. Some evidence of differences in mortality rates between the Covidicus and Recovery trials were observed, with an matched adjusted odds ratio of death in the Covidicus arm of 0.41 compared to the Recovery arm.
These indirect comparisons appear sensitive to the method used. None of those approaches appear robust enough to overcome randomized clinical trial data.
Covidicus Trial: NCT04344730, First Posted: 14/04/2020; Recovery trial: NCT04381936.
Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) have modified the management of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, including HCV-related cryoglobulinemic vasculitis (CryoVas). However, patients might ...experience vasculitis relapse, and no reliable predictors of CryoVas relapse after sustained virologic response (SVR) have been established. We aimed to describe HCV-CryoVas relapse rates and factors associated with it.
An international multicenter cohort where patients with HCV-CryoVas from Egypt, France, and Italy treated with DAA were analyzed retrospectively. Factors associated with relapse-free survival were evaluated in a multivariate-adjusted model.
Of 913 patients, 911 (99.8%) obtained SVR. After 35 months of the median follow-up, 798 patients (87.4%) had sustained remission of vasculitis, while 115 (12.6%) experienced CryoVas relapse. By the time of relapse, skin involvement was present in 100%, renal involvement in 85.2%, and peripheral neuropathy in 81.7%. Relapses were treated with glucocorticoids in 90.9%, associated with plasma exchange, cyclophosphamide, or rituximab in 50%, 37.3%, and 6.4%, respectively. The cumulative incidence of CryoVas relapse was 0.7% (95% CI 0.3-1.4), 12.3% (95% CI 10.2-14.6), and 13.1% (95% CI 11.0-15.5) at 12, 24, and 36 months after DAA treatment, respectively. Independent baseline risk factors associated with CryoVas relapse were male sex, skin ulcers, kidney involvement at baseline, and peripheral neuropathy at the end of DAA treatment. Death occurred in 11 relapsers, mainly due to infections.
A substantial proportion of patients with CryoVas experience relapse after DAA-induced SVR. Relapses are moderate-to-severe and affect survival after 24 months, mainly due to infections. Independent risk factors for relapse or death were found.
Given that novel anticancer therapies have different toxicity profiles and mechanisms of action, it is important to reconsider the current approaches for dose selection. In an effort to move away ...from considering the maximum tolerated dose as the optimal dose, the Food and Drug Administration Project Optimus points to the need of incorporating long-term toxicity evaluation, given that many of these novel agents lead to late-onset or cumulative toxicities and there are no guidelines on how to handle them. Numerous methods have been proposed to handle late-onset toxicities in dose-finding clinical trials. A summary and comparison of these methods are provided. Moreover, using PI3K inhibitors as a case study, we show how late-onset toxicity can be integrated into the dose-optimization strategy using current available approaches. We illustrate a re-design of this trial to compare the approach to those that only consider early toxicity outcomes and disregard late-onset toxicities. We also provide proposals going forward for dose optimization in early development of novel anticancer agents with considerations for late-onset toxicities.
Objective
To analyze the factors associated with response to anti–tumor necrosis factor (anti‐TNF) treatment and compare the efficacy and safety of infliximab (IFX) and adalimumab (ADA) in patients ...with refractory noninfectious uveitis.
Methods
This was a multicenter observational study of 160 patients (39% men and 61% women; median age 31 years interquartile range 21–42) with uveitis that had been refractory to other therapies, who were treated with anti‐TNF (IFX 5 mg/kg at weeks 0, 2, 6, and then every 5–6 weeks n = 98 or ADA 40 mg every 2 weeks n = 62). Factors associated with complete response were assessed by multivariate analysis. Efficacy and safety of IFX versus ADA were compared using a propensity score approach with baseline characteristics taken into account. Subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated.
Results
The main etiologies of uveitis included Behçet's disease (BD) (36%), juvenile idiopathic arthritis (22%), spondyloarthropathy (10%), and sarcoidosis (6%). The overall response rate at 6 and 12 months was 87% (26% with complete response) and 93% (28% with complete response), respectively. The median time to complete response was 2 months. In multivariate analysis, BD and occurrence of >5 uveitis flares before anti‐TNF initiation were associated with complete response to anti‐TNF (SHR 2.52 95% CI 1.35–4.71, P = 0.004 and SHR 1.97 95% CI 1.02–3.84, P = 0.045, respectively). Side effects were reported in 28% of patients, including serious adverse events in 13%. IFX and ADA did not differ significantly in terms of occurrence of complete response (SHR 0.65 95% CI 0.25–1.71, P = 0.39), serious side effects (SHR 0.22 95% CI 0.04–1.25, P = 0.089), or event‐free survival (SHR 0.55 95% CI 0.28–1.08, P = 0.083).
Conclusion
Anti‐TNF treatment is highly effective in refractory inflammatory uveitis. BD is associated with increased odds of response. IFX and ADA appear to be equivalent in terms of efficacy.
•We report and analyse all multi-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (MR-AB) infections in patients hospitalized in a burn unit from April to November 2014 in a prospective observational study.•We ...found that among 86 patients admitted to the ward, 15 acquired MR-AB nosocomial infection with a median time of 22 days.•Risk factors for MR-AB infection were SAPS II and ABSI scores, MR-AB colonization, invasive procedures and ≥2 skin grafts.•MR-AB infection was associated with an increased risk of death and a longer hospital stay.•Surveillance cultures should be performed to identify colonized patients in whom the risk of MR-AB infection is widely increased.•As it seems difficult to limit the number of skin grafts or invasive procedures needed to manage severely burned patients, prevention of MR-AB colonization remains critical.•This study is, to our knowledge, the first prospective study on the subject, which is a great asset.
Multidrug-Resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (MR-AB) can cause outbreaks in burn units. We aimed to study the incidence, risk factors and outcome of MR-AB infections in a burn unit (BU).
A prospective study was conducted from April to November, 2014 during an outbreak in a BU in Paris. Weekly surveillance cultures were performed to determine MR-AB colonization. MR-AB nosocomial infections, discharge or death without MR-AB infection were considered as competing events. To identify risk factors for MR-AB infection, baseline characteristics and time-dependent variables were investigated in univariate analyses using Cox models.
Eighty-six patients admissions were analyzed during the study period. Among them, 15 (17%) acquired MR-AB nosocomial infection. Median time to infection was 22days (interquartile range: 10–26 days). Cumulative incidence of MR-AB infections was 15% at 28days (95% CI=8–24). Risk factors for MR-AB infection in univariate analysis were SAPS II (Hazard Ratio (HR):1.08; 95% CI:1.05–1.12; P<0.0001) and ABSI (Abbreviated Burn Severity Index) scores (HR:1.32; 95% CI:1.12–1.56; P=0.001), MR-AB colonization (HR:10.2; 95%CI:2.05–50.3; P=0.004), invasive procedures (ventilation, arterial and/or venous catheter) (P=0.0001) and ≥2 skin grafts (HR:10.2; 95% CI:1.76–59.6; P=0.010). MR-AB infection was associated with an increased risk of death (HR: 7.11; 95%CI: 1.52–33.2; P=0.013) and longer hospital stay with a median estimated increase of 10days (IQR: 6; 14).
Incidence of MR-AB nosocomial infection was high during this outbreak, and was associated with prolonged hospitalization and increased risk of death. High patient severity scores, prior MR-AB colonization, invasive procedures and repeated skin grafts were associated with an increased risk of nosocomial infection.
Invasive fusariosis can be life-threatening, especially in immunocompromised patients who require intensive care unit (ICU) admission. We conducted a multicenter retrospective study to describe ...clinical and biologic characteristics, patient outcomes, and factors associated with death and response to antifungal therapy. We identified 55 patients with invasive fusariosis from 16 ICUs in France during 2002---2020. The mortality rate was high (56%). Fusariosis-related pneumonia occurred in 76% of patients, often leading to acute respiratory failure. Factors associated with death included elevated sequential organ failure assessment score at ICU admission or history of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation or hematologic malignancies. Neither voriconazole treatment nor disseminated fusariosis were strongly associated with response to therapy. Invasive fusariosis can lead to multiorgan failure and is associated with high mortality rates in ICUs. Clinicians should closely monitor ICU patients with a history of hematologic malignancies or stem cell transplantation because of higher risk for death.