•Investigates individuals’ immediate travel response to COVID-19 restrictions.•Analyzes in-home, out-of-home activities and long-distance travel.•Out-of-home activities were reduced by around 50% ...during COVID-19.•Higher income group is likely to decrease out-of-home activities.•Long distance trips to visit friends and family are likely to be cancelled.
COVID-19 has made unprecedented impacts on our daily life. This paper investigates individuals’ immediate response to COVID-19, exploring out-of-home activities, in-home activities, and long-distance travel. Data for the Kelowna region of Canada comes from a web-based COVID−19 Survey for assessing Travel impact (COST). In addition to analyzing the survey, this research models adjustments in travel decisions by developing ordered logit models for in-home and out-of-home activities, and a binomial logit model for long-distance travel. Data analysis suggests a reduction of about 50% out-of-home activities/day/person during COVID-19 compared to the pre-pandemic period, with the only exception being picking up online orders which significantly increased in frequency. Individuals were engaged in longer duration of in-home activities; the average duration of teleworking, online shopping for groceries and other goods at-home was around 5.5 h/day/person, 32 min/day/person, and 26 min/day/person respectively. The out-of-home activity model results suggest that higher income, younger and middle aged individuals, and full-time workers are more likely to decrease their out-of-home activity; whereas, males, lower income groups, health care professionals, and picking up online orders are more likely to increase. The in-home activity model suggests that older and younger adults, higher and lower income, full-time workers, and highly educated individuals are most likely to increase their in-home activity frequency; in contrast, health care professionals are likely to decrease. Long-distance travel model results reveal that seniors, students, and airline travelers are more likely to reschedule; whereas, trips to visit friends and family are more likely to be cancelled.
The future of telecommuting post COVID-19 pandemic Rahman Fatmi, Mahmudur; Mehadil Orvin, Muntahith; Elizabeth Thirkell, Corrie
Transportation research interdisciplinary perspectives,
12/2022, Volume:
16
Journal Article
Peer reviewed
Open access
•Investigates individuals’ preferences towards work-from-home (WFH) post COVID-19.•Utilizes data from a stated preference survey conducted in the British Columbia.•Develops a random parameter ordered ...logit model that captures heterogeneity.•Confirms the effects of residential & dwelling on WFH preferences after pandemic.•Larger sized dwelling, larger sized apartments have positive effect on frequent WFH.•Confirms heterogeneity for commute distance and distance to urban center.
COVID-19 caused unprecedented changes in the daily lives of many people worldwide, with many working from home for the first time. This shift in working arrangement has the potential to have a lasting impact in future. This paper investigates longer-term impacts of COVID-19 on work-arrangements, specifically, individuals’ preferences towards work-from-home post COVID-19. This study utilizes data from a stated preference component of a travel survey conducted in the Central Okanagan region of British Columbia. A random parameter ordered logit model is developed to accommodate the ordinal nature of the preference variable and capture unobserved heterogeneity. One of the key features of the study is to confirm the effects of residential choice in-terms of location characteristics and dwelling attributes on work-from-home preferences after the pandemic. For example, individuals’ dwelling attributes such as larger sized dwelling, larger sized apartments are likely to have positive effect on frequent work-from-home. The model confirms significant heterogeneity, in relation to location characteristics such as commute distance and distance to urban center. For instance, initially, females were less likely to work-from-home. However, they showed significant heterogeneity with large standard deviation, specifically their preference was found to vary by residential location. For instance, females residing farther from urban centers prefer a higher frequency of work-from-home. Elasticity analysis suggests that part-time female workers, mid-age individuals, full-time workers with children, and full-time workers with longer commutes have a significantly higher probability to work-from-home every day after the pandemic. The findings of the study provide important insights which will assist in developing effective work-from-home strategies post-the-pandemic.
COVID-19 has drastically altered the daily lives of many people, forcing them to spend more time at home. This shift significantly increased online grocery shopping and ordering for food while ...restrictions and social distancing measures were in place. As re-opening begins, little is known about the way virtual and in-person shopping/eating activities will evolve after the pandemic. This study adopts a multivariate ordered probit model to investigate individuals’ preferences toward the following activities after the pandemic: online grocery shopping, in-store grocery shopping, online ordering of food, and eating-out at restaurants. The model retained statistically significant error correlations among the activities, confirming the need for joint modeling. Model results suggested that individuals with lower income and with children are likely to perform grocery shopping and eating-out activities in person. Individuals owning a vehicle and a driver’s license have a higher likelihood of less frequent online shopping and more frequent in-store grocery shopping. Individuals with transit passes prefer to order groceries online and engage in eat-out activities frequently. Individuals residing in mixed land use areas prefer frequent in-store grocery shopping whereas suburban dwellers prefer it less frequently. The model confirms complementarity and substitution effects. For instance, online food ordering revealed a complementary effect on eating-out activities whereas online grocery shopping confirmed a substitution effect on in-store grocery shopping. These findings provide important behavioral insights into travel activity patterns in the post-pandemic era, which will help in understanding the inter-relationships between online and in-person shopping/eating activities, and accommodating such inter-dependencies within the travel demand forecasting models for effective policy-making.
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