Increases in government spending trigger substitution effects—both inter- and intra-temporal—and a wealth effect. The ultimate impacts on the economy hinge on current and expected monetary and fiscal ...policy behavior. Studies that impose active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy typically find that government consumption crowds out private consumption: higher future taxes create a strong negative wealth effect, while the active monetary response increases the real interest rate. This paper estimates Markov-switching policy rules for the United States and finds that monetary and fiscal policies fluctuate between active and passive behavior. When the estimated joint policy process is imposed on a conventional new Keynesian model, government spending generates positive consumption multipliers in some policy regimes and in simulated data in which all policy regimes are realized. The paper reports the model's predictions of the macroeconomic impacts of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act's implied path for government spending under alternative monetary–fiscal policy combinations.
Wenkai He shows why England and Japan, facing crises in public finance, developed the tools and institutions of a modern fiscal state, while China, facing similar circumstances, did not. He's ...explanation for China's failure at a critical moment illuminates one of the most important but least understood transformations of the modern world.
This paper estimates the dynamic effects of changes in taxes in the United States. We distinguish between changes in personal and corporate income taxes and develop a new narrative account of federal ...tax liability changes in these two tax components. We develop an estimator which uses narratively identified tax changes as proxies for structural tax shocks and apply it to quarterly post-WWII data. We find that short run output effects of tax shocks are large and that it is important to distinguish between different types of taxes when considering their impact on the labor market and on expenditure components.
About ten years ago, the OECD, together with the G20 countries, launched the BEPS project with the aim of adapting existing international tax structures to progressive globalisation. As a result or ...as part of this project, 139 countries have now participated in the development of an internationally agreed minimum tax system, the so-called GloBE rules ('Pillar Two'). The United States has played a crucial role in this development. Nina Schmidt examines whether and to what extent the US has or will implement the consensus solution for effective minimum taxation at the national level, and what the consequences might be if the US does not implement the GloBE Rules at the national level.
This study investigates Chinese A-share listed companies in the new energy industry for the period 2007–2019. We shed new light on the nexus between fiscal policy uncertainty and corporate innovation ...investment. The main empirical findings are threefold. First, fiscal policy uncertainty significantly reduces new energy enterprises' innovation investment, and the adverse effect is mainly due to the decline in the incentive effect of government support on innovation investment. Second, product market competition reduces the adverse effect of fiscal policy uncertainty on innovation investment, which indicates that the strategic growth option theory holds to a certain extent. Third, bank credit constraint is the mechanism by which fiscal policy uncertainty restrains innovation investment. Overall, although there may be differences in the influence mechanism of fiscal policy uncertainty on innovation, the empirical evidence generally does not support the viewpoint of ownership differences. The conclusions continue to hold after controlling for endogeneity and conducting a series of robustness tests.
•Shed new light on the nexus of fiscal policy uncertainty and corporate innovation investment.•Investigate A-share listed companies in China's new energy industry for the 2007–2019 period.•Findings show that the fiscal policy uncertainty significantly reduces the innovation investment of new energy enterprises.•Product market competition reduces the adverse effect of fiscal policy uncertainty on innovation investment.•Bank credit constraint is the mechanism that fiscal policy uncertainty restrains innovation investment.
The postcommunist transitions produced two very different types of states. The "contractual" state is associated with the countries of Eastern Europe, which moved toward democratic regimes, ...consensual relations with society, and clear boundaries between political power and economic wealth. The "predatory" state is associated with the successors to the USSR, which instead developed authoritarian regimes, coercive relations with society, and poorly defined boundaries between the political and economic realms. InCapital, Coercion, and Postcommunist States, Gerald M. Easter shows how the cumulative result of the many battles between state coercion and societal capital over taxation gave rise to these distinctive transition outcomes.
Easter's fiscal sociology of the postcommunist state highlights the interconnected paths that led from the fiscal crisis of the old regime through the revenue bargains of transitional tax regimes to the eventual reconfiguration of state-society relations. His focused comparison of Poland and Russia exemplifies postcommunism's divergent institutional forms. The Polish case shows how conflicts over taxation influenced the emergence of a rule-of-law contractual state, social-market capitalism, and civil society. The Russian case reveals how revenue imperatives reinforced the emergence of a rule-by-law predatory state, concessions-style capitalism, and dependent society.
The Leap of Faith Steinmo, Sven H
2018, 2018-08-02, 2018-07-19, 2018-08-14
eBook, Book
Open access
This is the first book to compare the history of tax compliance in several countries (Sweden, Britain, Italy, Romania, and the United States). The book clearly elaborates the policy lessons from the ...five cases explored for countries who are currently trying to build successful and effective tax policies. Makes the direct connection between historical cases and current policy issues in developed and developing countries.
This paper estimates the effect of the Maastricht treaty's fiscal criterion on the distribution of EU countries' general government deficits. Using a treatment effects approach, we find that the 3 ...percent deficit ceiling acts as a "magnet", increasing the number of observations around the threshold by 20 percent, while reducing the occurrence of both large government deficits and surpluses. Our results imply that the rule had an effect on deficits even when it was not complied with. Country-specific results under the rank invariance assumption indicate that all countries have seen their fiscal position improve on average because of the deficit rule.
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