Natural disturbances like wildfire, windthrow and insect outbreaks are critical drivers of composition, structure and functioning of forest ecosystems. They are strongly climate‐sensitive, and are ...thus likely to be distinctly affected by climatic changes. Observations across Europe show that in recent decades, forest disturbance regimes have intensified markedly, resulting in a strong increase in damage from wind, bark beetles and wildfires. Climate change is frequently hypothesized as the main driving force behind this intensification, but changes in forest structure and composition associated with management activities such as promoting conifers and increasing standing timber volume (i.e. ‘forest change’) also strongly influence susceptibility to disturbances. Here, we show that from 1958 to 2001, forest change contributed in the same order of magnitude as climate change to the increase in disturbance damage in Europe's forests. Climate change was the main driver of the increase in area burnt, while changes in forest extent, structure and composition particularly affected the variation in wind and bark beetle damage. For all three disturbance agents, damage was most severe when conducive weather conditions and increased forest susceptibility coincided. We conclude that a continuing trend towards more disturbance‐prone conditions is likely for large parts of Europe's forests, and can have strong detrimental effects on forest carbon storage and other ecosystem services. Understanding the interacting drivers of natural disturbance regimes is thus a prerequisite for climate change mitigation and adaptation in forest ecosystem management.
•Browsing by ungulate herbivores is concentrated upon deciduous tree short saplings.•The most preferred tree species are: rowan, sycamore maple and goat willow.•Browsing frequency is positively ...correlated with stand openness.•Browsing frequency is not related to environmental variables.•CWD accumulation affects the browsing frequency in a non-linear way.
We analyzed the effects of natural disturbances on relationships between forest regeneration and ungulate browsing. Specifically, we asked if natural disturbances affect preferences of ungulate herbivores towards tree species and size classes; and how local and landscape-scale environmental factors affect spatial patterns of ungulate browsing in disturbed forest ecosystems. Our research was conducted in the Tatra National Park, a mountain range affected by large-scale intense disturbances over the last few decades. We used field data collected in a network of regularly distributed 600 circular sample plots where young trees were recorded and examined for browsing signs. Using forage ratio, the Ivlev’s electivity index and chi square tests, we found that the preferences of wild ungulates were similar to those known from undisturbed forests. Our analyses showed preference for deciduous species, especially rowan, sycamore maple and goat willow. The most common species, Norway spruce was strongly avoided by browsing ungulates. Short saplings from 0.5 m to 1.3 m tall were the most browsed size class. Effects of environmental variables on browsing were analyzed with zero-inflated negative binomial models. The occurrence of browsing was positively related to the total number of young trees and mature tree mortality. This suggests the influence of disturbances on spatial patterns of browsing pressure. The browsing frequency (number of browsed individuals per plot) was affected by mature tree mortality and densities of young palatable trees, including silver fir, sycamore maple and rowan. Elevation, geology, soil type, and potential solar radiation did not show any significant influence on the browsing frequency. Browsing frequency was also positively related to the distance to roads and hiking trails, indicating the role of human pressure upon the behaviour of ungulate herbivores. In addition, we analyzed the effects of accumulation of coarse woody debris (CWD) on browsing frequency and found this relationship to be nonlinear. Analysis for all tree species revealed that at low levels of CWD, the browsing frequency increased with CWD accumulation as a consequence of forest regeneration. However, a large amount of CWD (>25 m3) resulted in a decrease in browsing frequency, and this relationship was species-specific.
Ecosystem service (ES) mapping has been developed with the aim of supporting ecosystem management, but ES maps often lack information about uncertainty and risk, which is essential for ...decision-making. In this paper, we use a risk-based approach to map ES in mountain forests, which are experiencing an increasing rate of natural disturbances, such as windthrow, bark beetle outbreaks, and forest fires. These disturbances affect the capacity of forests to provide essential ecosystem services, such as protection from natural hazards, wood production, and carbon sequestration, thus posing a challenge for forest management. At the same time, disturbances may also have a positive effect on certain services, e.g. by improving habitats for species that rely on dead wood. We integrate forests’ susceptibility to natural disturbances into probabilistic Bayesian Network models of a set of ES (avalanche protection, carbon sequestration, recreation, habitats, and wood production), which combine information from remote sensing, social media and in-situ data, existing process-based models, and local expert knowledge. We use these models to map the level of the services and the associated uncertainties under scenarios with and without natural disturbances in two case study areas in the Swiss Alps. We use clustering to identify bundles of risk to ES, and compare the patterns of risk between the non-protected area of Davos and the strictly protected area of the Swiss National park with its surroundings. The spatially heterogeneous pattern of risk to ES reflects topographic variability and the forest characteristics that drive disturbance susceptibility, but also the demand for ecosystem services. In the landscape of Davos, the most relevant risks to ES are related to decreases in the protection against avalanches and carbon sequestration, as well as some risk to wood production and recreation. In the strictly protected Swiss National Park, the overall level of ES risk is lower, with an increase in habitat quality under the disturbance scenario. This risk-based approach can help identify stands with high levels of ES that are particularly susceptible to disturbances, as well as forests with a more stable ES provision, which can help define priorities in forest management planning.
•Mountain forest ecosystem services are at risk due to natural disturbances.•We map risks to ecosystem services in (non)protected areas in the Swiss Alps.•Disturbances have spatially heterogeneous effects on ecosystem services.•The spatial pattern of risk is influenced by demand for ecosystem services.•Risk to ecosystem services is lower in a strictly protected area.
•Forests of the Apennines have been poorly explored in the ecological literature.•Anthropogenic disturbances and land use changes are the main drivers of forest dynamics.•Regimes of natural ...disturbances (avalanches, fires, wind, insects) are masked by human impacts.•Specific and genetic diversity (e.g., trailing edges) are an important source of resilience and adaptive potential.
Forests of the Apennines are characterised by high canopy cover and high tree species diversity (being at the interface between two major climatic zones of Europe), and provide important ecosystem functions to millions of people. They exemplify cutting-edge themes such as forest ecology in warmer climates, consequences of heavy land use, and resilience at the trailing edge of the distribution of many European forest species (Silver fir, Norway spruce, Beech, Black pine, Birch).
We introduce the setting under the geological and climatological point of view and review the literature on the interactions between these long-term drivers and the specific, structural, and genetic diversity of these forest communities (e.g., effects of glacial refugia or tectonic/volcanic activity), followed by a brief outline of what little is known about natural disturbance regimes and their range of variability. Anthropogenic disturbances (fire, grazing) and land use changes (abandonment of cropland and pasture) have been by far the main drivers of forest dynamics at least for the last two millennia, determining for examples overageing of coppices, treeline advances, forest encroachment on former agricultural land.
We suggest considerations about the interplay between these land use changes and disturbance drivers (e.g. fuel continuity), summarize comparisons between managed and unmanaged forests (e.g., increase in tree size, deadwood, biodiversity indicators), and elaborate on current proposals for climate-adapted management, highlighting specific and genetic diversity as an important source of resilience and adaptive potential.
Microalgae biotechnology is a great candidate for carbon neutralization, wastewater treatment and the sustainable production of biofuels and food. Efficient and cost-effective microalgae production ...depends on highly coordinating the resources used for algal growth. However, dynamic natural disturbances such as culture temperature and sunlight can lead to the poor coordination and waste of resources. Open ponds are the most commonly used commercial microalgal production systems, and enhanced mixing can significantly increase their productivity, but mixing energy can be seriously wasted due to dynamic disturbances, presenting a hindrance to further reducing production costs. Herein, a smart and precise mixing strategy was developed for open ponds in which a paddle wheel's stirring speed for an open pond was smartly and precisely controlled in real time based on dynamic variations in light intensity and culture temperature. The proposed technology achieved the same biomass productivity of Spirulina platensis (8.37 g m−2 day−1) as a control with a constant high mixing rate under dynamic disturbances while reducing mixing energy inputs by approximately 30 % compared to the control. This study provides a promising method to address serious resource waste and poor coordination due to dynamic natural disturbances, holding great potential for efficient and cost-effective microalgae production.
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•Dynamic natural disturbances lead to serious resource waste during algae production.•The immersion depth of a paddle wheel has a significant effect on culture mixing.•Smart and precise mixing saves energy inputs by 30 % without reducing productivity.•Smart and precise algae cultivation technology was proposed and prospected.
•Unmanaged forests supply high levels of climate regulation and erosion regulation.•Best practice management slightly improved water regulation.•Climate change was a stronger driver of ecosystem ...services than management.•Control of management on ecosystem services decreased with severe climate change.•Site and land-use legacies modulated the effect of management on ecosystem services.
Forest ecosystems provide a wide variety of ecosystem services to society. In harsh mountain environments, the regulating services of forests are of particular importance. Managing mountain forests for regulating services is a cost- and labor intensive endeavor. Yet, also unmanaged forests regulate the environment. In the context of evidence-based decision making it is thus important to scrutinize if current management recommendations improve the supply of regulating ecosystem services over unmanaged development trajectories. A further issue complicating decision making in the context of regulating ecosystem services is their high sensitivity to climate change. Climate-mediated increases in natural disturbances, for instance, could strongly reduce the supply of regulating services from forests in the future. Given the profound environmental changes expected for the coming decades it remains unclear whether forest management will still be able to significantly control the future trajectories of mountain forest development, or whether the management effect will be superseded by a much stronger climate and disturbance effect. Here, our objectives were (i) to quantify the future regulating service supply from a 6456 ha landscape in the Stubai valley in Tyrol, Austria, and (ii) to assess the relative importance of management, climate, and natural disturbances on the future supply of regulating ecosystem services. We focused our analysis on climate regulation, water regulation, and erosion regulation, and used the landscape simulation model iLand to quantify their development under different climate scenarios and management strategies. Our results show that unmanaged forests are efficient in providing regulating ecosystem services. Both climate regulation and erosion regulation were higher in unmanaged systems compared to managed systems, while water regulation was slightly enhanced by management. Overall, direct effects of climate change had a stronger influence on the future supply of regulating services than management and natural disturbances. The ability of management to control ecosystem service supply decreased sharply with the severity of future climate change. This finding highlights that forest management could be severely stymied in the future if climate change continues to proceed at its current rate. An improved quantitative understanding of the drivers of future ecosystem service supply is needed to more effectively combine targeted management efforts and natural ecosystem dynamics towards sustaining the benefits society derives from forests in a rapidly changing world.
Abstract
Carbon allocation plays a key role in ecosystem dynamics and plant adaptation to changing environmental conditions. Hence, proper description of this process in vegetation models is crucial ...for the simulations of the impact of climate change on carbon cycling in forests. Here we review how carbon allocation modelling is currently implemented in 31 contrasting models to identify the main gaps compared with our theoretical and empirical understanding of carbon allocation. A hybrid approach based on combining several principles and/or types of carbon allocation modelling prevailed in the examined models, while physiologically more sophisticated approaches were used less often than empirical ones. The analysis revealed that, although the number of carbon allocation studies over the past 10 years has substantially increased, some background processes are still insufficiently understood and some issues in models are frequently poorly represented, oversimplified or even omitted. Hence, current challenges for carbon allocation modelling in forest ecosystems are (i) to overcome remaining limits in process understanding, particularly regarding the impact of disturbances on carbon allocation, accumulation and utilization of nonstructural carbohydrates, and carbon use by symbionts, and (ii) to implement existing knowledge of carbon allocation into defence, regeneration and improved resource uptake in order to better account for changing environmental conditions.
•This study reviews the importance of forest genetic resources in adaptation to climate change.•Climate change will render previously locally-adapted populations less suited to new ...conditions.•Climate change will affect the distribution of FGR through its effects on pests, diseases and fire.•We provide management strategies for conserving the evolutionary potential of forest genetic resources.
The current distribution of forest genetic resources on Earth is the result of a combination of natural processes and human actions. Over time, tree populations have become adapted to their habitats including the local ecological disturbances they face. As the planet enters a phase of human-induced climate change of unprecedented speed and magnitude, however, previously locally-adapted populations are rendered less suitable for new conditions, and ‘natural’ biotic and abiotic disturbances are taken outside their historic distribution, frequency and intensity ranges. Tree populations rely on phenotypic plasticity to survive in extant locations, on genetic adaptation to modify their local phenotypic optimum or on migration to new suitable environmental conditions. The rate of required change, however, may outpace the ability to respond, and tree species and populations may become locally extinct after specific, but as yet unknown and unquantified, tipping points are reached. Here, we review the importance of forest genetic resources as a source of evolutionary potential for adaptation to changes in climate and other ecological factors. We particularly consider climate-related responses in the context of linkages to disturbances such as pests, diseases and fire, and associated feedback loops. The importance of management strategies to conserve evolutionary potential is emphasised and recommendations for policy-makers are provided.
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