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Gregorčič, Tim; Rozman, Andrej; Repe, Blaž
Dela (Univerza v Ljubljani. Oddelek za geografijo), 12/2022 57Journal Article
V prispevku je predstavljen razvoj postopka proučevanja potencialnih vplivov podnebnih sprememb na slovenske gozdove v obdobju 2081–2100. Razvoj metodologije temelji na modeliranju ekoloških niš z uporabo metode maksimalne entropije. V raziskavi smo upoštevali dva podnebna scenarija smeri skupnega družbenogospodarskega razvoja (optimističnega SSP1-2,6 in pesimističnega SSP5-8,5). Slovenske gozdove smo razdelili na trinajst gozdnih vegetacijskih tipov. Statistični rezultati so pokazali, da je razvita metodologija primerna za namene tovrstnega proučevanja.
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