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  • The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable
    Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
    A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear ... less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we donćt know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible". For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us andshape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything weknow about what we donćt know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan.
    Vrsta gradiva - knjiga ; neleposlovje za odrasle
    Izdaja - [2nd ed.], paperback ed.
    Založništvo in izdelava - New York : Random House, cop. 2010
    Jezik - angleški
    ISBN - 978-0-8129-7381-5
    COBISS.SI-ID - 20477414

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Gimnazija Vič, Ljubljana
prosto - na dom, čas izposoje: 14 dni
Signatura – lokacija, inventarna št. ... Status izvoda
Knjižnica
821.111 TALEB, NASSIM NICHOLAS The black swan
IN: 100022365 Knjižnica
821.111 TALEB, NASSIM NICHOLAS The black swan
IN: 100022365 		prosto - na dom, čas izposoje: 14 dni
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