Cardiac intensivists frequently assess patient readiness to wean off mechanical ventilation with an extubation readiness trial despite it being no more effective than clinician judgement alone. We ...evaluated the utility of high-frequency physiologic data and machine learning for improving the prediction of extubation failure in children with cardiovascular disease.
This was a retrospective analysis of clinical registry data and streamed physiologic extubation readiness trial data from one paediatric cardiac ICU (12/2016-3/2018). We analysed patients' final extubation readiness trial. Machine learning methods (classification and regression tree, Boosting, Random Forest) were performed using clinical/demographic data, physiologic data, and both datasets. Extubation failure was defined as reintubation within 48 hrs. Classifier performance was assessed on prediction accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.
Of 178 episodes, 11.2% (N = 20) failed extubation. Using clinical/demographic data, our machine learning methods identified variables such as age, weight, height, and ventilation duration as being important in predicting extubation failure. Best classifier performance with this data was Boosting (prediction accuracy: 0.88; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.74). Using physiologic data, our machine learning methods found oxygen saturation extremes and descriptors of dynamic compliance, central venous pressure, and heart/respiratory rate to be of importance. The best classifier in this setting was Random Forest (prediction accuracy: 0.89; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.75). Combining both datasets produced classifiers highlighting the importance of physiologic variables in determining extubation failure, though predictive performance was not improved.
Physiologic variables not routinely scrutinised during extubation readiness trials were identified as potential extubation failure predictors. Larger analyses are necessary to investigate whether these markers can improve clinical decision-making.
Family-centred rounds benefit families and clinicians and improve outcomes in general paediatrics, but are understudied in subspecialty settings. We sought to improve family presence and ...participation in rounds in a paediatric acute care cardiology unit.
We created operational definitions for family presence, our process measure, and participation, our outcome measure, and gathered baseline data over 4 months of 2021. Our SMART aim was to increase mean family presence from 43 to 75% and mean family participation from 81 to 90% by 30 May, 2022. We tested interventions with iterative plan-do-study-act cycles between 6 January, 2022 and 20 May, 2022, including provider education, calling families not at bedside, and adjustment to rounding presentations. We visualised change over time relative to interventions with statistical control charts. We conducted a high census days subanalysis. Length of stay and time of transfer from the ICU served as balancing measures.
Mean presence increased from 43 to 83%, demonstrating special cause variation twice. Mean participation increased from 81 to 96%, demonstrating special cause variation once. Mean presence and participation were lower during high census (61 and 93% at project end) but improved with special cause variation. Length of stay and time of transfer remained stable.
Through our interventions, family presence and participation in rounds improved without apparent unintended consequences. Family presence and participation may improve family and staff experience and outcomes; future research is warranted to evaluate this. Development of high level of reliability interventions may further improve family presence and participation, particularly on high census days.
Abstract Background Current guidelines recommend epinephrine every 3 to 5 minutes during cardiopulmonary resuscitation. For adults with in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA), longer dosing intervals are ...associated with improved survival to discharge. This study investigates whether longer epinephrine dosing intervals were associated with improved survival to discharge during pediatric IHCA. Methods Retrospective review of AHA Get With The Guidelines-Resuscitation registry identified 1,630 pediatric IHCAs that met inclusion criteria. Average epinephrine dosing interval was defined by dividing duration of resuscitation after first dose of epinephrine by total doses. Average dosing intervals were categorized as 1 to 5 minutes, >5 to <8 minutes, and 8 to <10 minutes/dose. Primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge. Multivariable logistic regression models controlled for age, gender, illness category, location of arrest, arrest duration, time of day, and time to first epinephrine dose. Secondary analysis separated patients on vasoactive infusion at the time of arrest from those without an infusion in place. Results Odds ratios (OR) calculated using 1 to 5 minutes/dose interval as reference. For the total cohort, adjusted OR for survival to hospital discharge for >5 to <8 minutes was 1.81 (95% CI 1.26-2.59), and 8 to <10 minutes 2.64 (95% CI 1.53-4.55). For patients not receiving vasoactive infusion, adjusted OR for survival to discharge for >5 to <8 minutes was 1.99 (95% CI 1.29-3.06) and 8 to <10 minutes 2.67 (95% CI 1.14-5.04). Conclusions Longer average dosing intervals than currently recommended for epinephrine administration during pediatric IHCA were associated with improved survival to hospital discharge.
For the more than 40,000 children in the United States undergoing congenital heart surgery annually, the relationship between hospital quality and costs remains unclear. Prior studies report ...conflicting results and clinical outcomes have continued to improve over time. We examined a large contemporary cohort, aiming to better inform ongoing initiatives seeking to optimize health care value in this population.
Clinical information (The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Database) was merged with standardized cost data (Pediatric Health Information Systems) for children undergoing heart surgery from 2010 to 2015. In-hospital cost variability was analyzed using Bayesian hierarchical models adjusted for case-mix. Quality metrics examined included in-hospital mortality, postoperative complications, postoperative length of stay (PLOS), and a composite.
Overall, 32 hospitals (n = 45,315 patients) were included. Median adjusted cost per case varied across hospitals from $67,700 to $51,200 in the high vs low cost tertile (ratio 1.32; 95% credible interval, 1.29 to 1.35), and all quality metrics also varied across hospitals. Across cost tertiles, there were no significant differences in the quality metrics examined, with the exception of PLOS. The PLOS findings were driven by high-risk The Society of Thoracic Surgeons-European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery categories 4 and 5 cases (adjusted median length of stay 16.8 vs 14.9 days in high vs low cost tertile ratio 1.13, 1.05 to 1.24), and intensive care unit PLOS.
Contemporary congenital heart surgery costs vary across hospitals but were not associated with most quality metrics examined, highlighting that performance in one area does not necessarily convey to others. Cost variability was associated with PLOS, particularly related to intensive care unit PLOS and high-risk cases. Care processes influencing PLOS may provide targets for value-based initiatives in this population.
Accurate hospital outcome measures in congenital heart surgery are important to multiple initiatives. While methods have been developed to account for differences in procedural case-mix, ...characteristics patients bring into the operation that may also vary across hospitals and influence outcome have received less attention. We evaluated the impact of these characteristics in a large cohort.
Patients undergoing congenital heart surgery at centers participating in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database (2010 to 2013) with adequate data quality were included. Variation across hospitals in important patient characteristics was examined, and hospital operative mortality rates were compared with and without adjustment for patient characteristics.
Overall, 86 centers (52,224 patients) were included. There was greater than twofold variation across hospitals for nearly all patient characteristics examined. For example, the proportion of a center's surgical population comprised of neonates ranged from 12.8% to 26.6% across hospitals; the proportion with a non-cardiac anomaly ranged from 0.7% to 5.0%. When hospital mortality rankings were evaluated based on "standard" (adjustment for differences in procedural case-mix alone) versus "full" models (adjustment for both differences in procedural case-mix and patient characteristics), 14.0% changed their ranking for mortality by 20 or greater positions, 34.9% of centers changed which mortality quartile they were classified in, and 14.0% changed their statistical classification (statistically higher, lower, or same-as-expected mortality).
Characteristics of patients undergoing congenital heart surgery vary across centers and impact hospital outcomes assessment. Methods to assess outcomes and relative performance should account for these characteristics.
In congenital heart surgery, hospital performance has historically been assessed using widely available administrative data sets. Recent studies have demonstrated inaccuracies in case ascertainment ...(coding and inclusion of eligible cases) in administrative versus clinical registry data; however, it is unclear whether this impacts assessment of performance on a hospital level.
Merged data from The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) database (clinical registry) and the Pediatric Health Information Systems (PHIS) database (administrative data set) for 46,056 children undergoing cardiac operations (2006-2010) were used to evaluate in-hospital mortality for 33 hospitals based on their administrative versus registry data. Standard methods to identify/classify cases were used: Risk Adjustment in Congenital Heart Surgery, version 1 (RACHS-1) in the administrative data and STS-European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery (STAT) methodology in the registry.
Median hospital surgical volume based on the registry data was 269 cases per year; mortality was 2.9%. Hospital volumes and mortality rates based on the administrative data were on average 10.7% and 4.7% lower, respectively, although this varied widely across hospitals. Hospital rankings for mortality based on the administrative versus registry data differed by 5 or more rank positions for 24% of hospitals, with a change in mortality tertile classification (high, middle, or low mortality) for 18% and a change in statistical outlier classification for 12%. Higher volume/complexity hospitals were most impacted. Agency for Healthcare Quality and Research (AHRQ) methods in the administrative data yielded similar results.
Inaccuracies in case ascertainment in administrative versus clinical registry data can lead to important differences in assessment of hospital mortality rates for congenital heart surgery.
Performance assessment in congenital heart surgery is challenging due to the wide heterogeneity of disease. We describe current case mix across centers, evaluate methodology inclusive of all cardiac ...operations versus the more homogeneous subset of Society of Thoracic Surgeons benchmark operations, and describe implications regarding performance assessment.
Centers (n = 119) participating in the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database (2010 through 2014) were included. Index operation type and frequency across centers were described. Center performance (risk-adjusted operative mortality) was evaluated and classified when including the benchmark versus all eligible operations.
Overall, 207 types of operations were performed during the study period (112,140 total cases). Few operations were performed across all centers; only 25% were performed at least once by 75% or more of centers. There was 7.9-fold variation across centers in the proportion of total cases comprising high-complexity cases (STAT 5). In contrast, the benchmark operations made up 36% of cases, and all but 2 were performed by at least 90% of centers. When evaluating performance based on benchmark versus all operations, 15% of centers changed performance classification; 85% remained unchanged. Benchmark versus all operation methodology was associated with lower power, with 35% versus 78% of centers meeting sample size thresholds.
There is wide variation in congenital heart surgery case mix across centers. Metrics based on benchmark versus all operations are associated with strengths (less heterogeneity) and weaknesses (lower power), and lead to differing performance classification for some centers. These findings have implications for ongoing efforts to optimize performance assessment, including choice of target population and appropriate interpretation of reported metrics.
To determine whether a collaborative learning strategy-derived clinical practice guideline can reduce the duration of endotracheal intubation following infant heart surgery.
Prospective and ...retrospective data collected from the Pediatric Heart Network in the 12 months pre- and post-clinical practice guideline implementation at the four sites participating in the collaborative (active sites) compared with data from five Pediatric Heart Network centers not participating in collaborative learning (control sites).
Ten children's hospitals.
Data were collected for infants following two-index operations: 1) repair of isolated coarctation of the aorta (birth to 365 d) and 2) repair of tetralogy of Fallot (29-365 d). There were 240 subjects eligible for the clinical practice guideline at active sites and 259 subjects at control sites.
Development and application of early extubation clinical practice guideline.
After clinical practice guideline implementation, the rate of early extubation at active sites increased significantly from 11.7% to 66.9% (p < 0.001) with no increase in reintubation rate. The median duration of postoperative intubation among active sites decreased from 21.2 to 4.5 hours (p < 0.001). No statistically significant change in early extubation rates was found in the control sites 11.7% to 13.7% (p = 0.63). At active sites, clinical practice guideline implementation had no statistically significant impact on median ICU length of stay (71.9 hr pre- vs 69.2 hr postimplementation; p = 0.29) for the entire cohort. There was a trend toward shorter ICU length of stay in the tetralogy of Fallot subgroup (71.6 hr pre- vs 54.2 hr postimplementation, p = 0.068).
A collaborative learning strategy designed clinical practice guideline significantly increased the rate of early extubation with no change in the rate of reintubation. The early extubation clinical practice guideline did not significantly change postoperative ICU length of stay.
Anatomic repair of congenitally corrected transposition of the great arteries has become a useful surgical strategy with potential advantages over conventional surgical repair. We describe early and ...intermediate outcomes after anatomic repair and analyze potential risk factors influencing these outcomes.
A retrospective review was performed on all patients undergoing anatomic repair between January 1993 and January 2009. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Variables potentially associated with outcome were identified a priori. Bivariate analyses were performed to determine the association between these variables and all outcome measures.
In 65 patients who underwent anatomic repair, 35 had Senning/arterial switch and 30 had Senning/Rastelli. Early and intermediate survival rates for Senning/arterial switch operations were 94% and 91%, respectively. Repairs were successful in patients with tricuspid regurgitation, left ventricular outflow obstruction, and left ventricular dysfunction. Predictors of outcome were not identified in this subset. Early and intermediate survival rates for Senning/Rastelli operations were 77% and 60%, respectively. Longer aortic cross-clamp (p = 0.03) and cardiopulmonary bypass times (p = 0.01) were associated with mortality. Ventricular septal defect enlargement was associated with surgical heart block (p < 0.01). Age, prior procedures, atrial-apical discordance, and tricuspid regurgitation were not associated with outcome.
Senning/arterial switch operations can be performed with excellent intermediate-term outcomes in patients with lesions previously thought to confer higher risk. Candidates for Senning/Rastelli procedures may be at increased risk for postoperative morbidity and mortality. More data are necessary to determine factors influencing outcome after anatomic repair.
PDF
