The concentration of radiocarbon (14C) differs between ocean and atmosphere. Radiocarbon determinations from samples which obtained their 14C in the marine environment therefore need a ...marine-specific calibration curve and cannot be calibrated directly against the atmospheric-based IntCal20 curve. This paper presents Marine20, an update to the internationally agreed marine radiocarbon age calibration curve that provides a non-polar global-average marine record of radiocarbon from 0–55 cal kBP and serves as a baseline for regional oceanic variation. Marine20 is intended for calibration of marine radiocarbon samples from non-polar regions; it is not suitable for calibration in polar regions where variability in sea ice extent, ocean upwelling and air-sea gas exchange may have caused larger changes to concentrations of marine radiocarbon. The Marine20 curve is based upon 500 simulations with an ocean/atmosphere/biosphere box-model of the global carbon cycle that has been forced by posterior realizations of our Northern Hemispheric atmospheric IntCal20 14C curve and reconstructed changes in CO2 obtained from ice core data. These forcings enable us to incorporate carbon cycle dynamics and temporal changes in the atmospheric 14C level. The box-model simulations of the global-average marine radiocarbon reservoir age are similar to those of a more complex three-dimensional ocean general circulation model. However, simplicity and speed of the box model allow us to use a Monte Carlo approach to rigorously propagate the uncertainty in both the historic concentration of atmospheric 14C and other key parameters of the carbon cycle through to our final Marine20 calibration curve. This robust propagation of uncertainty is fundamental to providing reliable precision for the radiocarbon age calibration of marine based samples. We make a first step towards deconvolving the contributions of different processes to the total uncertainty; discuss the main differences of Marine20 from the previous age calibration curve Marine13; and identify the limitations of our approach together with key areas for further work. The updated values for ΔR, the regional marine radiocarbon reservoir age corrections required to calibrate against Marine20, can be found at the data base http://calib.org/marine/.
The mechanisms of Late Pleistocene megafauna extinctions remain fiercely contested, with human impact or climate change cited as principal drivers. We compared ancient DNA and radiocarbon data from ...31 detailed time series of regional megafaunal extinctions and replacements over the past 56,000 years with standard and new combined records of Northern Hemisphere climate in the Late Pleistocene. Unexpectedly, rapid climate changes associated with interstadial warming events are strongly associated with the regional replacement or extinction of major genetic clades or species of megafauna. The presence of many cryptic biotic transitions before the Pleistocene/Holocene boundary revealed by ancient DNA confirms the importance of climate change in megafaunal population extinctions and suggests that metapopulation structures necessary to survive such repeated and rapid climatic shifts were susceptible to human impacts.
Radiocarbon (14C) ages cannot provide absolutely dated chronologies for archaeological or paleoenvironmental studies directly but must be converted to calendar age equivalents using a calibration ...curve compensating for fluctuations in atmospheric 14C concentration. Although calibration curves are constructed from independently dated archives, they invariably require revision as new data become available and our understanding of the Earth system improves. In this volume the international 14C calibration curves for both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, as well as for the ocean surface layer, have been updated to include a wealth of new data and extended to 55,000 cal BP. Based on tree rings, IntCal20 now extends as a fully atmospheric record to ca. 13,900 cal BP. For the older part of the timescale, IntCal20 comprises statistically integrated evidence from floating tree-ring chronologies, lacustrine and marine sediments, speleothems, and corals. We utilized improved evaluation of the timescales and location variable 14C offsets from the atmosphere (reservoir age, dead carbon fraction) for each dataset. New statistical methods have refined the structure of the calibration curves while maintaining a robust treatment of uncertainties in the 14C ages, the calendar ages and other corrections. The inclusion of modeled marine reservoir ages derived from a three-dimensional ocean circulation model has allowed us to apply more appropriate reservoir corrections to the marine 14C data rather than the previous use of constant regional offsets from the atmosphere. Here we provide an overview of the new and revised datasets and the associated methods used for the construction of the IntCal20 curve and explore potential regional offsets for tree-ring data. We discuss the main differences with respect to the previous calibration curve, IntCal13, and some of the implications for archaeology and geosciences ranging from the recent past to the time of the extinction of the Neanderthals.
Titanium and iron concentration data from the anoxic Cariaco Basin, off the Venezuelan coast, can be used to infer variations in the hydrological cycle over northern South America during the past ...14,000 years with subdecadal resolution. Following a dry Younger Dryas, a period of increased precipitation and riverine discharge occurred during the Holocene "thermal maximum." Since ∼5400 years ago, a trend toward drier conditions is evident from the data, with high-amplitude fluctuations and precipitation minima during the time interval 3800 to 2800 years ago and during the "Little Ice Age." These regional changes in precipitation are best explained by shifts in the mean latitude of the Atlantic Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), potentially driven by Pacific-based climate variability. The Cariaco Basin record exhibits strong correlations with climate records from distant regions, including the high-latitude Northern Hemisphere, providing evidence for global teleconnections among regional climates.
Climate model simulations of the summer South Asian monsoon predict increased rainfall in response to anthropogenic warming. However, instrumental data show a decline in Indian rainfall in recent ...decades, underscoring the critical need for additional, independent records of past monsoon variability. Here, we present new reconstructions of annual summer South Asian Monsoon circulation over the past 250 years, based on the geochemical barium‐calcium signature of dust present in Red Sea corals. These records reveal how monsoon circulation has evolved with warming climate and indicate a significant multi‐century long monsoon intensification, with decreased multidecadal variance. Stronger monsoon circulation would have increased the moisture transport from the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal over the Indian subcontinent. If these trends continue, the monsoon circulation and associated moisture transport and precipitation will remain strong and stable for several decades.
Plain Language Summary
Despite the importance of the summer South Asian monsoon in controlling the timing and amount of precipitation delivered to more than a billion people across South Asia, there remains considerable uncertainty in how the monsoon system has changed as climate has warmed over the past couple centuries. Understanding the past behavior of the monsoon system aids in the projection of future monsoon variability and trends. In this paper, we present new, independent reconstructions of South Asian monsoon circulation. These reconstructions are derived from the geochemistry of corals collected from the Red Sea. Winds driven by the South Asian monsoon circulation blow dust from the Tokar Gap region of Sudan, which is deposited on the Red Sea. The dust releases barium to seawater, which is then incorporated into coral skeletons. These records show a multi‐century long trend of increasing monsoon intensity and weakening multidecadal‐scale variability. This suggests that as the climate warmed, the monsoon circulation became stronger and more stable on multidecadal timescales. Stronger monsoon circulation would have increased the moisture transport over the Indian subcontinent, increasing precipitation. If these trends continue, we would expect the monsoon circulation and associated precipitation to remain strong and stable for several decades.
Key Points
Summer South Asian monsoon circulation is reconstructed from coral geochemistry
Reconstructions reveal century‐scale trends of increasing monsoon strength and decreasing decadal‐scale variability
Reconstructed trends agree with climate models forced by observed long‐term warming
Sedimentary time series of color reflectance and major element chemistry from the anoxic Cariaco Basin off the coast of northern Venezuela record large and abrupt shifts in the hydrologic cycle of ...the tropical Atlantic during the past 90,000 years. Marine productivity maxima and increased precipitation and riverine discharge from northern South America are closely linked to interstadial (warm) climate events of marine isotope stage 3, as recorded in Greenland ice cores. Increased precipitation at this latitude during interstadials suggests the potential for greater moisture export from the Atlantic to Pacific, which could have affected the salinity balance of the Atlantic and increased thermohaline heat transport to high northern latitudes. This supports the notion that tropical feedbacks played an important role in modulating global climate during the last glacial period.
Climate and the Collapse of Maya Civilization Haug, Gerald H.; Günther, Detlef; Peterson, Larry C. ...
Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science),
03/2003, Letnik:
299, Številka:
5613
Journal Article
Recenzirano
In the anoxic Cariaco Basin of the southern Caribbean, the bulk titanium content of undisturbed sediment reflects variations in riverine input and the hydrological cycle over northern tropical South ...America. A seasonally resolved record of titanium shows that the collapse of Maya civilization in the Terminal Classic Period occurred during an extended regional dry period, punctuated by more intense multiyear droughts centered at approximately 810, 860, and 910 A.D. These new data suggest that a century-scale decline in rainfall put a general strain on resources in the region, which was then exacerbated by abrupt drought events, contributing to the social stresses that led to the Maya demise.
Postglacial fluctuations of Southern Patagonian Icefield (SPI) glaciers are well constrained on the leeward side of the Andes, but they remain mostly unknown on the windward side of the icefield, ...where most glaciers are marine-terminating. Here, we reconstruct the postglacial fluctuations of the HPS19, Penguin, and Europa glaciers along the hyperhumid western side of the SPI using a multi-proxy sedimentological and geochemical analysis of a 12.2 m long sediment core from Wide Channel (50°S). Results show that the glaciers retreated into Penguin and Europa fjords by 11.2 cal kyr BP and that they were relatively stable and marine-terminating between 11.2 and 5.8 cal kyr BP. Thereafter, they fluctuated rapidly, with four marked episodes of glacier shrinkage at 5.8–4.8, 3.9–2.4, 1.0–0.2 cal kyr BP, and during the 20th century. Although the HPS19, Penguin, and Europa glaciers were calving into Penguin and Europa fjords during most of the Holocene, our data suggest that they retreated to land-based positions between 5.8 and 4.8 cal kyr BP. The comparison of our sediment record with geological archives from both sides of the Patagonian icefields (46°–56°S) suggests synchronous glacier variability on multi-centennial timescales during the Neoglacial period, which is particularly clear after 2.5 cal kyr BP. We conclude that western SPI outlet glaciers remained relatively stable during the first half of the Holocene but fluctuated considerably during the Neoglacial period, and that they retreated to locations further inland than today during the first retreat of the Neoglacial period between 5.8 and 4.8 cal kyr BP.
•SPI outlet glaciers retreated into Penguin and Europa fjords by 11.2 cal kyr BP.•Glaciers were relatively stable between 11.2 and 5.8 cal kyr BP.•High glacier variability during the last 5.8 kyr.•Glacier shrinkage occurred at 5.8–4.8, 3.9–2.4, 1.0–0.2 cal kyr BP, and during the 20th century.•Glaciers on both sides of the Patagonian Andes fluctuated synchronously on multi-centennial timescales during the last 5.8 kyr.
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