Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is a common comorbidity in patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD). We built and validated a model using the national inpatient sample (NIS) database to ...assess the contributory role of GERD in ILD-related hospitalizations mortality.
In this retrospective analysis, we extracted ILD-related hospitalizations data between 2007 and 2019 from the NIS database. Univariable logistic regression was used for predictor selection. Data were split into the training and validation cohorts (0.6 and 0.4, respectively). We used decision tree analysis (classification and regression tree, CART) to create a predictive model to explore the role of GERD in ILD-related hospitalizations mortality. Different metrics were used to evaluate our model. A bootstrap-based technique was implemented to balance our training data outcome to improve our model metrics in the validation cohort. We conducted a variance-based sensitivity analysis to evaluate GERD's importance in our model.
The model had a sensitivity of 73.43%, specificity of 66.15%, precision of 0.27, negative predictive value (NPV) of 93.62%, accuracy of 67.2%, Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) of 0.3, F1 score of 0.4, and area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.76. GERD did not predict survival in our cohort. GERD contribution to the model was ranked the eleventh among twenty-nine variables included in this analysis (importance of 0.003, normalized importance of 5%). GERD was the best predictor in ILD-related hospitalizations who didn't receive mechanical ventilation.
GERD is associated with mild ILD-related hospitalization. Our model-performance measures suggest overall an acceptable discrimination. Our model showed that GERD does not have a prognostic value in ILD-related hospitalization, indicating that GERD per se might not have any impact on mortality in hospitalized ILD patients.
Acute exacerbation of interstitial lung disease (ILD) is associated with a poor prognosis and high mortality. Numerous studies have documented acute exacerbation in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis ...(IPF), but less is known about these events in other ILDs that may present a progressive-fibrosing phenotype. We propose defining acute exacerbation as an acute, clinically significant respiratory deterioration, typically less than 1 month in duration, together with computerised tomography imaging showing new bilateral glass opacity and/or consolidation superimposed on a background pattern consistent with fibrosing ILDs. Drawing on observations in IPF, it is suspected that epithelial injury or proliferation and autoimmunity are risk factors for acute exacerbation in ILDs that may present a progressive-fibrosing phenotype, but further studies are required. Current acute exacerbation management strategies are based on recommendations in IPF, but no randomised controlled trials of acute exacerbation management have been performed. Although there are no formal strategies to prevent the development of acute exacerbation, possible approaches include antifibrotic drugs (such as nintedanib and pirfenidone), and minimising exposure to infection, airborne irritants and pollutants. This review discusses the current knowledge of acute exacerbation of ILDs that may present a progressive-fibrosing phenotype and acknowledges limitations of the data available.
Proposed criteria for progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease (PF-ILD) have been linked to increased mortality risk, but lung function trajectory after satisfying individual criteria remains ...unknown. Because survival is rarely employed as the primary end-point in therapeutic trials, identifying PF-ILD criteria that best predict subsequent change in forced vital capacity (FVC) could improve clinical trial design.
A retrospective, multicentre longitudinal cohort analysis was performed in consecutive patients with fibrotic connective tissue disease-associated ILD (CTD-ILD), chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis and idiopathic interstitial pneumonia at three US centres (test cohort) and one UK centre (validation cohort). 1-year change in FVC after satisfying proposed PF-ILD criteria was estimated using joint modelling. Subgroup analyses were performed to determine whether results varied across key subgroups.
1227 patients were included, with CTD-ILD predominating. Six out of nine PF-ILD criteria were associated with differential 1-year change in FVC, with radiological progression of fibrosis, alone and in combination with other features, associated with the largest subsequent decline in FVC. Findings varied significantly by ILD subtype, with CTD-ILD demonstrating little change in FVC after satisfying most PF-ILD criteria, while other ILDs showed significantly larger changes. Findings did not vary after stratification by radiological pattern or exposure to immunosuppressant therapy. Near-term change in FVC after satisfying proposed PF-ILD criteria was heterogeneous depending on the criterion assessed and was strongly influenced by ILD subtype.
These findings may inform future clinical trial design and suggest ILD subtype should be taken into consideration when applying PF-ILD criteria.
Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a devastating disease for patients and their loved ones. Since initial efforts to characterize this disease in the 1960s, understanding of IPF has evolved ...considerably. Such evolution has continually challenged prior diagnostic and treatment paradigms, ushering in an era of higher confidence diagnoses with less invasive procedures and more effective treatments. This review details how research and clinical experience over the past half century have led to a rethinking of IPF. Here, the evolution in understanding of IPF pathogenesis, diagnostic evaluation and treatment approach is discussed.
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