Large submarine landslides can have serious socioeconomic consequences as they have the potential to cause tsunamis and damage seabed infrastructure. It is important to understand the frequency of ...these landslides, and how that frequency is related to climate-driven factors such as sea level or sedimentation rate, in order to assess their occurrence in the future. Recent studies have proposed that more landslides occur during periods of sea level rise and lowstand, or during periods of rapid sedimentation. In this contribution we test these hypotheses by analysing the most comprehensive global data set of ages for large (>1 km3) late Quaternary submarine landslides that has been compiled to date. We include the uncertainties in each landslide age that arise from both the dating technique, and the typically larger uncertainties that result from the position of the samples used for dating. Contrary to the hypothesis that continental slope stability is linked to sea level change, the data set does not show statistically significant patterns, trends or clusters in landslide abundance. If such a link between sea level and landslide frequency exists it is too weak to be detected using the available global data base. It is possible that controlling factors vary between different geographical areas, and their role is therefore hidden in a global data set, or that the uncertainties within the dates is too great to see an underlying correlation. Our analysis also shows that there is no evidence for an immediate influence of rapid sedimentation on slope stability as failures tend to occur several thousand years after periods of increased sedimentation rates. The results imply that there is not a strong global correlation of landslide frequency with sea level changes or increases in local sedimentation rate, based on the currently available ages for large submarine landslides.
•Most comprehensive data base of ages of submarine landslides to date.•Includes uncertainty intervals to age estimates and local sedimentation rates.•No statistical evidence for link between sea level and submarine landslide abundance.•Little evidence for immediate influence of rapid sedimentation on slope stability.
Volcanic island flank collapses have the potential to trigger devastating tsunamis threatening coastal communities and infrastructure. The 1888 sector collapse of Ritter Island, Papua New Guinea (in ...the following called Ritter) is the most voluminous volcanic island flank collapse in historic times. The associated tsunami had run-up heights of more than 20 m on the neighboring islands and reached settlements 600 km away from its source. This event provides an opportunity to advance our understanding of volcanic landslide-tsunami hazards. Here, we present a detailed reconstruction of the 1888 Ritter sector collapse based on high-resolution 2D and 3D seismic and bathymetric data covering the failed volcanic edifice and the associated mass-movement deposits. The 3D seismic data reveal that the catastrophic collapse of Ritter occurred in two phases: (1) Ritter was first affected by deep-seated, gradual spreading over a long time period, which is manifest in pronounced compressional deformation within the volcanic edifice and the adjacent seafloor sediments. A scoria cone at the foot of Ritter acted as a buttress, influencing the displacement and deformation of the western flank of the volcano and causing shearing within the volcanic edifice. (2) During the final, catastrophic phase of the collapse, about 2.4 km3 of Ritter disintegrated almost entirely and traveled as a highly energetic mass flow, which incised the underlying sediment. The irregular topography west of Ritter is a product of both compressional deformation and erosion. A crater-like depression underlying the recent volcanic cone and eyewitness accounts suggest that an explosion may have accompanied the catastrophic collapse. Our findings demonstrate that volcanic sector collapses may transform from slow gravitational deformation to catastrophic collapse. Understanding the processes involved in such a transformation is crucial for assessing the hazard potential of other volcanoes with slowly deforming flanks such as Mt. Etna or Kilauea.
•First 3D seismic cube covering a failed volcanic flank and its slide deposits.•Slow gradual spreading may transform into catastrophic collapse.•Hummocky deposit topography is a interplay compressional deformation and erosion.•Less than 20% of total slide volume contributed to tsunami genesis.
Submarine landslides can destroy seafloor infrastructures and generate devastating tsunamis. In spite of decades of research into the functioning of submarine landslides there are still numerous open ...questions, in particular how different phases of sliding influence each other. Here, we re‐analyze Ana Slide—a relatively small (<1 km3) landslide offshore the Balearic Islands, which is unique in the published literature because it is completely imaged by high‐resolution 3D reflection seismic data. Ana Slide comprises three domains: (a) a source area that is almost completely evacuated with evidence of headscarp retrogression, (b) an adjacent downslope translational domain representing a by‐pass zone for the material that was mobilized in the source area, and (c) the deposit formed by the mobilized material, which accumulated downslope in a sink area and deformed slope sediment. Isochron maps show deep chaotic seismic units underneath the thickest deposits. We infer that the rapid deposition of the landslide material deformed the underlying sediments. A thin stratified sediment unit between three lobes suggests that Ana Slide evolved in two failure stages separated by several tens of thousands of years. This illustrates the problem of over‐estimating the volume of mobilized material and under‐estimating the complexity even of relatively simple slope failures without high‐quality 3D reflection seismic data.
Plain Language Summary
We investigate a submarine landslide in the Balearic Islands off Spain. The aim is to find out how such landslides work. This study is special because it can draw on a unique data set: the complete imaging of this landslide with high quality reflection seismic data. We find that previous studies have over‐estimated the volume of the mobilized material because deformed sediments below the landslide were also counted, and that the slide actually consisted of two individual slope failures that occurred at the same place but in distinct episodes separated by some tends of thousands of years. Together these results show that there is a large risk of overestimating landslide‐related tsunami hazards when this kind of reflection seismic data is not available.
Key Points
Ana Slide is completely covered by 3D reflection seismic data and its kinematic development is addressed
Large parts of the volume previously interpreted as landslide material was deformed in‐situ
Ana Slide developed during two separate phases that involved likely significantly smaller volumes of material than previously proposed
Submarine landslides on open continental slopes can be prodigious in scale. They are an important process for global sediment fluxes, and can generate very damaging tsunamis. Submarine landslides are ...far harder to monitor directly than terrestrial landslides, and much greater uncertainty surrounds their preconditioning factors and triggers. Submarine slope failure often occurs on remarkably low (< 2°) gradients that are almost always stable on land, indicating that particularly high excess pore pressures must be involved. Earthquakes trigger some large submarine landslides, but not all major earthquakes cause widespread slope failure. The headwalls of many large submarine landslides appear to be located in water depths that are too deep for triggering by gas hydrate dissociation. The available evidence indicates that landslide occurrence is either weakly (or not) linked to changes in sea level or atmospheric methane abundance, or the available dates for open continental slope landslides are too imprecise to tell. Similarly, available evidence does not strongly support a view that landslides play an important role in methane emissions that cause climatic change. However, the largest and best-dated open continental slope landslide (the Storegga Slide) coincides with a major cooling event 8,200 years ago. This association suggests that caution may be needed when stating that there is no link between large open slope landslides and climate change.
The current understanding of tsunamis generated by volcanic-island landslides is reliant on numerical models benchmarked against reconstructions of past events. As the largest historical event with ...timed tsunami observations, the 1888 sector collapse of Ritter Island, Papua New Guinea provides an outstanding opportunity to better understand the linked process of landslide emplacement and tsunami generation. Here, we use a combination of geophysical imaging, bathymetric mapping, seafloor observations and sampling to demonstrate that the Ritter landslide deposits are spatially and stratigraphically heterogeneous, reflecting a complex evolution of mass-flow processes. The primary landslide mass was dominated by well-bedded scoriaceous deposits, which rapidly disintegrated to form an erosive volcaniclastic flow that incised the substrate over much of its pathway. The major proportion of this initial flow is inferred to have been deposited up to 80 km from Ritter. The initial flow was followed by secondary failure of seafloor sediment, over 40 km from Ritter. The most distal part of the 1888 deposit has parallel internal boundaries, suggesting that multiple discrete units were deposited by a series of mass-flow processes initiated by the primary collapse. The last of these flows was derived from a submarine eruption triggered by the collapse. This syn-collapse eruption deposit is compositionally distinct from pre- and post-collapse eruptive products, suggesting that the collapse immediately destabilised the underlying magma reservoir. Subsequent eruptions have been fed by a modified plumbing system, constructing a submarine volcanic cone within the collapse scar through at least six post-collapse eruptions. Our results show that the initial tsunami-generating landslide at Ritter generated a stratigraphically complex set of deposits with a total volume that is several times larger than the initial failure. Given the potential for such complexity, there is no simple relationship between the volume of the tsunamigenic phase of a volcanic-island landslide and the final deposit volume, and deposit area or run-out cannot be used to infer primary landslide magnitude. The tsunamigenic potential of prehistoric sector-collapse deposits cannot, therefore, be assessed simply from surface mapping, but requires internal geophysical imaging and direct sampling to reconstruct the event.
•Ritter Island's sector collapse provides an exemplar of volcanic tsunami hazards.•Deposit heterogeneity reflects erosion, secondary failure and a triggered eruption.•The volume of the distal deposit alone far exceeds the tsunamigenic failure.•A single catastrophic collapse led to stratigraphically complex distal deposits.•Accurate assessment of tsunami potential requires internal imaging and sampling.
Digital elevation models (DEMs) are crucial in natural hazard assessments, as they often present the only comprehensive information. While satellites deliver remote sensing information of the land ...surface of up to 2m resolution, only 25% of the seafloor is mapped with a minimum resolution of 400m. The acquisition of high-resolution bathymetry requires hydroacoustic surveys by research vessels or autonomous vehicles, which is time-consuming and expensive. Predicted bathymetry from satellite altimetry, on the other hand, is widely available but has a significantly lower spatial resolution and high uncertainties in elevation, especially in shallow waters. The research on volcanic islands as a source of both volcanic as well as marine hazards such as tsunamis, is greatly limited by the lack of high-resolution bathymetry. Here we compare 24 geomorphometric parameters of 47 volcanic islands derived from a) the comprehensive bathymetric data of the General Bathymetric Chart of the Ocean (GEBCO) and b) high-resolution (< 250m), ship-based bathymetry. Out of 24 parameters tested, 20 show < ± 2.5% median deviation, and quartiles < ± 10%. Parameters describing the size of a volcanic island are the most robust and slope parameters show the greatest deviations. With this benchmark, we will be able to increase geomorphometric investigations to volcanic islands where little or no high-resolution bathymetry data is available.
Volcanoes are sources of numerous threats including lava flows, pyroclastic flows, ash dispersal and landslides or sector collapses. In addition to these commonly known volcanic hazards, ...volcano-induced tsunamis can occur in the marine environment, introducing a major hazard that can affect populations located far away from the volcanoes. Existing tsunami warning systems generally do not account for volcano-generated tsunamis, due to the multiple source mechanisms that can cause such tsunamis, a limited understanding of precursory signals for these events, and the need for local detection rather than remote sensing. Among these source mechanisms of volcanic tsunamis, sector and lateral collapses are at the high risk-low frequency extreme of risk matrices. Marine volcanoes grow in specific environments, with factors like marine clays, constant full saturation, sediment transport and remobilization, interaction with ocean dynamics, and sea level changes that may impact edifice stability in distinct ways. The majority of historically documented marine volcano collapses occurred at erupting volcanoes, suggesting that eruptions could serve as a remotely detectable warning signal for collapses. However, careful examination of temporal sequences of these examples reveals that collapses do not always follow eruptions. Consequently, there is a need for identifying other, more robust precursors to volcano collapse, in particular in the marine environment, where the consequences of collapses may be widespread.
Coastal and ocean island volcanoes are renowned for having unstable flanks. This can lead to flank deformation on a variety of temporal and spatial scales ranging from slow creep to catastrophic ...sector collapse. A large section of these unstable flanks is often below sea level, where information on the volcano-tectonic structure and ground deformation is limited. Consequently, kinematic models that attempt to explain measured ground deformation onshore associated with flank instability are poorly constrained in the offshore area. Here, we attempt to determine the locations and the morpho-tectonic structures of the boundaries of the submerged unstable southeastern flank of Mount Etna (Italy). The integration of new marine data (bathymetry, microbathymetry, offshore seismicity, reflection seismic lines) and published marine data (bathymetry, seafloor geodesy, reflection seismic lines) allows identifying the lineament north of Catania Canyon as the southern lateral boundary with a high level of confidence. The northern and the distal (seaward) boundaries are less clear because no microbathymetric or seafloor geodetic data are available. Hypotheses for their locations are presented. Geophysical imaging suggests that the offshore Timpe Fault System is a shallow second-order structure that likely results from extensional deformation within the moving flank. Evidence for active uplift and compression upslope of the amphitheater-shaped depression from seismic data along with subsidence of the onshore Giarre Wedge block observed in ground deformation data leads us to propose that this block is a rotational slump, which moves on top of the large-scale instability. The new shoreline-crossing structural assessment may now inform and improve kinematic models.
Bathymetric data reveal abundant submarine landslides along the deformation front of the northern Cascadia margin that might have significant tsunami potential. Radiocarbon age dating showed that ...slope failures are early to mid-Holocene. The aim of this study is the analysis of slope stability to investigate possible trigger mechanisms using the factor of safety analysis technique on two prominent frontal ridges. First-order values for the earthquake shaking required to generate instability are derived. These are compared to estimated ground accelerations for large (
M
=5 to 8) crustal earthquakes to giant (
M
=8 to 9) megathrust events. The results suggest that estimated earthquake accelerations are insufficient to destabilize the slopes, unless the normal sediment frictional resistance is significantly reduced by, for example, excess pore pressure. Elevated pore pressure (overpressure ratio of 0.4) should significantly lower the threshold for earthquake shaking, so that a medium-sized
M
=5 earthquake at 10 km distance may trigger submarine landslides. Preconditioning of the slopes must be limited primarily to the mid- to early Holocene as slope failures are constrained to this period. The most likely causes for excess pore pressures include rapid sedimentation at the time of glacial retreat, sediment tectonic deformation, and gas hydrate dissociation as result of ocean warming and sea level rise. No slope failures comparable in size and volume have occurred since that time. Megathrust earthquakes have occurred frequently since the most recent failures in the mid-Holocene, which emphasizes the importance of preconditioning for submarine slope stability.
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