Forecasting: theory and practice Petropoulos, Fotios; Apiletti, Daniele; Assimakopoulos, Vassilios ...
International journal of forecasting,
07/2022, Letnik:
38, Številka:
3
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Odprti dostop
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to ...minimise risks and maximise utilities. The large number of forecasting applications calls for a diverse set of forecasting methods to tackle real-life challenges. This article provides a non-systematic review of the theory and the practice of forecasting. We provide an overview of a wide range of theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles, and approaches to prepare, produce, organise, and evaluate forecasts. We then demonstrate how such theoretical concepts are applied in a variety of real-life contexts.
We do not claim that this review is an exhaustive list of methods and applications. However, we wish that our encyclopedic presentation will offer a point of reference for the rich work that has been undertaken over the last decades, with some key insights for the future of forecasting theory and practice. Given its encyclopedic nature, the intended mode of reading is non-linear. We offer cross-references to allow the readers to navigate through the various topics. We complement the theoretical concepts and applications covered by large lists of free or open-source software implementations and publicly-available databases.
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui bagaimana pemanfaatan eksiklopedia oleh pemustaka di Perpustakaan Umum Daerah Kabupaten Wonosobo. Metode penelitian yang peneliti gunakan adalah metode ...deskriptif kualitatif. Data dikumpulkan dari studi literatur dan wawancara. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa koleksi yang sering dicari oleh pemustaka di layanan referensi perpustakaan Daerah Kabupaten Wonosobo adalah jurnal penelitian, referensi sejarah/data lokal. Pemustaka yang datang kelayanan referensi mayoritas adalah mahasiswa. Tetapi tidak terlalu banyak pemustaka yang memanfaatkan ensiklopedia.
This study aims to create a toponymy-based Digital Encyclopedia of the Cirebon City area which has biological elements so that it can be used as a learning resource for Plantae material for class X ...SMA/MA which is suitable for use in learning. This type of research is Research and Development (RD) using the ADDIE model. The results showed that there were 9 toponyms with biological elements in the form of plant names in Harjamukti District and Kesambi District in the Cirebon City area. The development of research results into learning resources on Plantae material in the form of a Digital Encyclopedia made using software called Sketchware. The Digital Encyclopedia created and developed in the form of an application can be run on smartphones with the Android operating system. The Digital Encyclopedia is suitable for use as a learning resource for Plantae Class X SMA/MA based on validation tests and teacher and student responsesABSTRAK: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk membuat Ensiklopedia Digital berbasis toponimi wilayah Kota Cirebon yang memiliki unsur biologis sehingga dapat dijadikan sumber belajar pada materi Plantae kelas X SMA/MA yang layak digunakan dalam pembelajaran. Jenis penelitian ini adalah Research and Development (RD) dengan menggunakan model ADDIE. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan terdapat 9 toponimi berunsur Biologi berupa nama tumbuhan pada Kecamatan Harjamukti dan Kecamatan Kesambi di wilayah Kota Cirebon. Pengembangan hasil penelitian menjadi sumber belajar pada materi Plantae berupa Ensiklopedia Digital dibuat dengan menggunakan software bernama Sketchware. Ensiklopedia Digital yang dibuat dan dikembangkan berupa aplikasi dapat dijalankan pada smartphone dengan sistem operasi Android. Ensiklopedia Digital layak digunakan sebagai sumber belajar materi Plantae Kelas X SMA/MA berdasarkan uji validasi serta respon guru dan siswa
Abstract
Wikipedia is by far the largest online encyclopedia, and the number of errors it contains is on par with the professional sources even in specialized topics such as biology or medicine. Yet, ...the academic world is still treating it with great skepticism because of the types of inaccuracies present there, the widespread plagiarism from Wikipedia, and historic biases, as well as jealousy regarding the loss of the knowledge dissemination monopoly. This article argues that it is high time not only to acknowledge Wikipedia's quality but also to start actively promoting its use and development in academia.
This study emphasized on the importance of teaching materials to improve the culture of scientific literacy in science learning through encyclopedic books. Thus, there was a scientific literacy among ...students and between teachers and students through a teaching material. The encyclopedic teaching materials were tailored to the students' interests aiming to create a culture of scientific literacy. The purpose of this study was to determine the learning outcomes and scientific literacy abilities of fifth grade students after using encyclopedic teaching materials. The research method used in this study was action research in which the researchers acted as collaborators while teachers as implementers of action. This study was conducted at 3 elementary schools in West Jakarta. The object was the science subject at grade V of elementary school which was developed in the form of encyclopedic teaching materials. This study resulted in an increase in science learning especially about human movement system, human respiratory system, and human circulatory system, which utilized an encyclopedic teaching materials. It was recommended that teachers could cultivate the students’ literacy through encyclopedic teaching materials on other subjects in order to facilitate students in the learning process.
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