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  • A guide to systematic revie...
    Debray, Thomas P A; Damen, Johanna A A G; Snell, Kym I E; Ensor, Joie; Hooft, Lotty; Reitsma, Johannes B; Riley, Richard D; Moons, Karel G M

    BMJ (Online), 01/2017, Letnik: 356
    Journal Article

    Validation of prediction models is highly recommended and increasingly common in the literature. A systematic review of validation studies is therefore helpful, with meta-analysis needed to summarise the predictive performance of the model being validated across different settings and populations. This article provides guidance for researchers systematically reviewing and meta-analysing the existing evidence on a specific prediction model, discusses good practice when quantitatively summarising the predictive performance of the model across studies, and provides recommendations for interpreting meta-analysis estimates of model performance. We present key steps of the meta-analysis and illustrate each step in an example review, by summarising the discrimination and calibration performance of the EuroSCORE for predicting operative mortality in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting.