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  • P value–driven methods were...
    Furuya-Kanamori, Luis; Xu, Chang; Lin, Lifeng; Doan, Tinh; Chu, Haitao; Thalib, Lukman; Doi, Suhail A.R.

    Journal of clinical epidemiology, February 2020, 2020-Feb, 2020-02-00, 20200201, Letnik: 118
    Journal Article

    The aim of the study was to investigate the effect of number of studies in a meta-analysis on the detection of publication bias using P value–driven methods. The proportion of meta-analyses detected by Egger's, Harbord's, Peters', and Begg's tests to have asymmetry suggestive of publication bias were examined in 5,014 meta-analyses from Cochrane reviews. P values were also assessed in meta-analyses with varying number of studies, whereas symmetry was held constant. A simulation study was conducted to investigate if the above tests underestimate or overestimate the presence of publication bias. The proportion of meta-analyses detected as asymmetrical via Egger's, Harbord's, Peters', and Begg's tests decreased by 42.6%, 41.1%, 29.3%, and 28.3%, respectively, when the median number of studies in the meta-analysis decreased from 87 to 14. P values decreased as the number of studies increased in the meta-analysis, despite the level of symmetry remaining constant. The simulation study confirmed that when publication bias is present, P value tests underestimate the presence of publication bias, particularly when study numbers are small. P value–based tests used for the detection of publication bias–related asymmetry in meta-analysis require careful examination, as they underestimate asymmetry. Alternative methods not dependent on the number of studies are preferable.