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Cousien, Anthony; Ledien, Julia; Souv, Kimsan; Leang, Rithea; Huy, Rekol; Fontenille, Didier; Ly, Sowath; Duong, Veasna; Dussart, Philippe; Piola, Patrice; Cauchemez, Simon; Tarantola, Arnaud
Emerging infectious diseases, 12/2019, Letnik: 25, Številka: 12Journal Article
In Cambodia, dengue outbreaks occur each rainy season (May-October) but vary in magnitude. Using national surveillance data, we designed a tool that can predict 90% of the variance in peak magnitude by April, when typically <10% of dengue cases have been reported. This prediction may help hospitals anticipate excess patients.
